Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

O’Connor up 2-1 in early voting https://mobile.twitter.com/darreldrowland/status/1017200227298791425

That is not a correct conclusion from the data.  Nobody knows who those votes were cast for until they are counted.

Also this is just in Franklin County.

'
Also, this isn't even partisan registration (Ohio doesn't have that). It's just what party you voted for the last primary you voted in IIRC.

Which if anything, is probably skewed towards Republicans.

Yeah, it is, because lots of non-republicans took a republican ballot in 2016 to vote for Kasich in hopes it would help deny Trump the nomination. Republican Ballots had a YUGE advantage in primary turnout as a result. This was also why Hillary won that primary by as much as she did, lots of Sanders folks crossed over and voted for Kasich.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I trust Miles, this race is back on my radar.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I trust Miles, this race is back on my radar.

.

Yes it is

[Hindsight was 2020]

Ha told you guy http://www.dispatch.com/news/20180714/capitol-insider--local-democrats-show-early-voting-interest?template=ampart&__twitter_impression=true

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Looks like the GOP took this race for granted

[terp40hitch]

Looks like the GOP took this race for granted

I think the GOP thinks this is a secure race for them but they do still have a better ground game compared to the democrats

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I said Balderson should win by seven. But, even if he does win, DeWine should be worried, cause the Dems are energized

[Brittain33]

Is there enough time for the Politico article “Republicans are freaking out about loser candidate in special election” followed a week later by “Republicans knocking on doors, making phone calls to ensure victory in special election”? I feel like we got that series at least twice already.

[Hindsight was 2020]

One of the former GOP primary candidates is endorsing O’Connor https://shareblue.com/danny-oconnor-republican-endorsement-troy-balderson-ohio/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

One of the former GOP primary candidates is endorsing O’Connor https://shareblue.com/danny-oconnor-republican-endorsement-troy-balderson-ohio/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

Nice!

[Arkansas Yankee]

One of the former GOP primary candidates is endorsing O’Connor https://shareblue.com/danny-oconnor-republican-endorsement-troy-balderson-ohio/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

That candidate got 783 votes.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

O'Bannon will wind up winning, hello Rep elect OBannon😁

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

O'Bannon will wind up winning, hello Rep elect OBannon😁

first time an O'Bannon wins a race since 2000?

[Ebsy]

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/1018939889600081920

[Zaybay]

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/1018939889600081920

I dont think hes winning this. He will need a lot of momentum to take this.

[ON Progressive]

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/1018939889600081920

I dont think hes winning this. He will need a lot of momentum to take this.

It is a couple points better than his last poll, and a Green taking 5% in a special would be really strange considering there's a history of special election electorates being the most partisan of any.

[Zaybay]

https://twitter.com/DKElections/status/1018939889600081920

I dont think hes winning this. He will need a lot of momentum to take this.

It is a couple points better than his last poll, and a Green taking 5% in a special would be really strange considering there's a history of special election electorates being the most partisan of any.

True, but the fact that a Green Candidate is getting 5% is a bad sign. Also, the R has much more consolidated support. Now that I think about it more, he does have a good chance, but he needs some more momentum.

[Antonio the Sixth]

> internals, guys

[Brittain33]

The Green candidate is *not* getting 5%. The fact O'Connor is down by 5 in his own internal and has to inflate totals for a Green candidate to give the impression there are gettable leftist voters in this district not in his 43% is what gives cause for skepticism. This poll is consistent with him losing like Tiperary.

[Ebsy]

Everyone knows it is an internal. Certainly more credible than a lot of the stuff posted on this forum!

[Zaybay]

Everyone knows it is an internal. Certainly more credible than a lot of the stuff posted on this forum!

Ooof, good one.

But I feel internals get a bad name, always cast aside as garbage. Internals can sometimes be the most accurate data for a race, cause the candidate wants to know the exact numbers. Its bad that he released these, but lets wait a bit. If the R(cant recall the name) doesn't release a counter, then that says a lot more. It says that A. they dont have internals that say hes in the lead or commanding B. The internal released is rather close to the results they are getting. There was a thing about this on G Elliott Morris about this, I believe.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

DeWine is leading in the same poll that showed Brown ahead by 4. DeWine leads 42-38, OH leans R

[Brittain33]

DeWine is leading in the same poll that showed Brown ahead by 4. DeWine leads 42-38, OH leans R

It’s a TEA PARTY POLL.

[Antonio the Sixth]

DeWine is leading in the same poll that showed Brown ahead by 4. DeWine leads 42-38, OH leans R

Brown is not winning by 4 lol

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I was just saying  that it's not like Cordray has suddenly taken the lead and is leading by six, like most Democrats think he's gonna win by; however, Sherrod Brown will win by six. Neither, are Dems gonna win FL by six, which had Putman ahead of Dems as well.,