Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)
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  Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)
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Author Topic: Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)  (Read 201201 times)
Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #900 on: May 16, 2017, 07:39:48 PM »

Cherokee for Norman.

84% in, Norman up 13341-12802.

Places with votes left:

Lancaster - 53% Norman
Chester - 56% Pope
York - 55% Pope
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #901 on: May 16, 2017, 07:40:09 PM »

Now of the 57 precincts out 50 are from york co. Now it is truly up to margin control.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #902 on: May 16, 2017, 07:45:57 PM »

I think Norman has this.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #903 on: May 16, 2017, 07:50:21 PM »


Still 42% left in York - if the margin stays at the 1200 votes it's at now Norman's fine (the only other thing left is Lancaster, where it's 53% Norman so far), but if Pope can grow the margin.....
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #904 on: May 16, 2017, 07:55:03 PM »


Don't be so quick to speak, there is still votes out in york county, and if pope can work some magic with the margins...
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #905 on: May 16, 2017, 07:55:17 PM »

91% in, Norman up 15103-14718.

Everything is in except a third of York, where Pope is up by 9.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #906 on: May 16, 2017, 08:02:15 PM »

94% in. Norman up 16,236   to 15,567. or about 51-49.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #907 on: May 16, 2017, 08:03:41 PM »

Calling this election for Norman! He's up 16236-15567 with 94% in! The rest of York just won't be enough.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #908 on: May 16, 2017, 08:08:59 PM »

Final Results:


CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Ralph Norman
17,772   50.3%   
Tommy Pope
17,572   49.7   
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Ebsy
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« Reply #909 on: May 16, 2017, 08:11:58 PM »

Looks like the polling showing this as a 1 point race was quite accurate.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #910 on: May 16, 2017, 08:20:10 PM »

GA State Senate results?
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #911 on: May 16, 2017, 08:23:26 PM »

^Not seeing numbers anywhere. AP doesn't have it (which is what NYT uses), and neither does the SOS or DDHQ.
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cinyc
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« Reply #912 on: May 16, 2017, 08:25:33 PM »

^Not seeing numbers anywhere. AP doesn't have it (which is what NYT uses), and neither does the SOS or DDHQ.

KAY KIRKPATRICK (REP)         55.43%    7,920
CHRISTINE TRIEBSCH (DEM)  44.57%    6,368

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/69574/Web02-state/#/

The Fulton County part of the district is all in. The Cobb County part still reporting.  Kirkpatrick should have this.



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Holmes
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« Reply #913 on: May 16, 2017, 08:30:14 PM »

Yeah, Kirkpatrick has it. The margin will increase with only Cobb left but if Triebsch can stay above 40-41%, it wouldn't be a bad result.
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« Reply #914 on: May 16, 2017, 08:36:45 PM »

No call yet for some reason.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #915 on: May 16, 2017, 08:38:52 PM »


The AP has some weird policy of not calling races that are within so many votes. As you can see from this thread, I have no such policy, and have called the race.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #916 on: May 16, 2017, 08:48:43 PM »

Yes! Norman will be a great congressman!
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #917 on: May 16, 2017, 08:56:58 PM »

Yes! Norman will be a great congressman!

Well first he has to beat this guy in the General:



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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #918 on: May 16, 2017, 09:07:32 PM »

Yes! Norman will be a great congressman!

Well first he has to beat this guy in the General:





That'll be a cakewalk. Today was the defacto election, June 20th is more of a formality for this district.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #919 on: May 16, 2017, 09:09:56 PM »


There's been discussion in the GA-6 thread.

KAY KIRKPATRICK (REP)         56.98%   18,602
CHRISTINE TRIEBSCH (DEM)  43.02%   14,046

The margin in this district is almost identical to Trump's margin (13).
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #920 on: May 16, 2017, 09:10:43 PM »

^Not seeing numbers anywhere. AP doesn't have it (which is what NYT uses), and neither does the SOS or DDHQ.

KAY KIRKPATRICK (REP)         55.43%    7,920
CHRISTINE TRIEBSCH (DEM)  44.57%    6,368

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/69574/Web02-state/#/

The Fulton County part of the district is all in. The Cobb County part still reporting.  Kirkpatrick should have this.





Final Results:

KAY KIRKPATRICK (REP) 56.98% 18,602
CHRISTINE TRIEBSCH (DEM) 43.02% 14,046

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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #921 on: May 16, 2017, 09:18:09 PM »

^Not seeing numbers anywhere. AP doesn't have it (which is what NYT uses), and neither does the SOS or DDHQ.

KAY KIRKPATRICK (REP)         55.43%    7,920
CHRISTINE TRIEBSCH (DEM)  44.57%    6,368

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/69574/Web02-state/#/

The Fulton County part of the district is all in. The Cobb County part still reporting.  Kirkpatrick should have this.





For reference, Ossoff got 43% in the jungle primary in the area overlapping this. I think it might be fair to say that this area in general is no longer rock ribbed

So a first-time Democratic candidate running a pretty bare-bones campaign financially-speaking managed to basically a) match Clinton's margin and b) match Ossoff's share of the vote here in a runoff held separately from the congressional runoff. That says a lot, even before considering she got close to 45% of the vote in one of the most historically-GOP areas of the state.

Maybe "the Discrepancy" (as I've called it) involving metro ATL voters being more GOP downballot is finally starting to dissolve...or maybe it dissolves whenever an incumbent is out of the picture and the area(s) start voting more like what demography would suggest.  
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Holmes
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« Reply #922 on: May 16, 2017, 09:26:00 PM »

^Not seeing numbers anywhere. AP doesn't have it (which is what NYT uses), and neither does the SOS or DDHQ.

KAY KIRKPATRICK (REP)         55.43%    7,920
CHRISTINE TRIEBSCH (DEM)  44.57%    6,368

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/69574/Web02-state/#/

The Fulton County part of the district is all in. The Cobb County part still reporting.  Kirkpatrick should have this.





For reference, Ossoff got 43% in the jungle primary in the area overlapping this. I think it might be fair to say that this area in general is no longer rock ribbed

So a first-time Democratic candidate running a pretty bare-bones campaign financially-speaking managed to basically a) match Clinton's margin and b) match Ossoff's share of the vote here in a runoff held separately from the congressional runoff. That says a lot, even before considering she got close to 45% of the vote in one of the most historically-GOP areas of the state.

Maybe "the Discrepancy" (as I've called it) involving metro ATL voters being more GOP downballot is finally starting to dissolve...or maybe it dissolves whenever an incumbent is out of the picture and the area(s) start voting more like what demography would suggest.  

I do think you make a good point about incumbency. I can see voters in this district voting for a Democrat for President or in an open race, they did it last November and last month. But Price and Isakson performed very well here too. I think next year's gubernatorial race will be interesting here, at least if Democrats run a good candidate.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #923 on: May 16, 2017, 09:58:45 PM »

^Not seeing numbers anywhere. AP doesn't have it (which is what NYT uses), and neither does the SOS or DDHQ.

KAY KIRKPATRICK (REP)         55.43%    7,920
CHRISTINE TRIEBSCH (DEM)  44.57%    6,368

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/69574/Web02-state/#/

The Fulton County part of the district is all in. The Cobb County part still reporting.  Kirkpatrick should have this.





For reference, Ossoff got 43% in the jungle primary in the area overlapping this. I think it might be fair to say that this area in general is no longer rock ribbed

So a first-time Democratic candidate running a pretty bare-bones campaign financially-speaking managed to basically a) match Clinton's margin and b) match Ossoff's share of the vote here in a runoff held separately from the congressional runoff. That says a lot, even before considering she got close to 45% of the vote in one of the most historically-GOP areas of the state.

Maybe "the Discrepancy" (as I've called it) involving metro ATL voters being more GOP downballot is finally starting to dissolve...or maybe it dissolves whenever an incumbent is out of the picture and the area(s) start voting more like what demography would suggest.  

I do think you make a good point about incumbency. I can see voters in this district voting for a Democrat for President or in an open race, they did it last November and last month. But Price and Isakson performed very well here too. I think next year's gubernatorial race will be interesting here, at least if Democrats run a good candidate.

Hold your horses. Yes, last month a dem won the district with a plurality, but Trump won this district in the general election last year. Granted dems have been doing great in this area, and the republicans are doing bad here, but don't go around spreading misinformation. Trump won the district.
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Holmes
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« Reply #924 on: May 16, 2017, 10:00:35 PM »

Hold your horses on what? I literally said wait and see.
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