Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)

[Sorenroy]

Not seeing numbers [for Georgia's 32nd] anywhere

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/69574/Web02-state/#/

That sad 26% turnout...

[Adam Griffin]

Grey = partial precincts; many had huge swings that painted an inaccurate picture, so I just colored them grey instead.

[Miles]

SC-05 map:

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

^Not seeing numbers anywhere. AP doesn't have it (which is what NYT uses), and neither does the SOS or DDHQ.

KAY KIRKPATRICK (REP)         55.43%    7,920
CHRISTINE TRIEBSCH (DEM)  44.57%    6,368

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/69574/Web02-state/#/

The Fulton County part of the district is all in. The Cobb County part still reporting.  Kirkpatrick should have this.

For reference, Ossoff got 43% in the jungle primary in the area overlapping this. I think it might be fair to say that this area in general is no longer rock ribbed

So a first-time Democratic candidate running a pretty bare-bones campaign financially-speaking managed to basically a) match Clinton's margin and b) match Ossoff's share of the vote here in a runoff held separately from the congressional runoff. That says a lot, even before considering she got close to 45% of the vote in one of the most historically-GOP areas of the state.

Maybe "the Discrepancy" (as I've called it) involving metro ATL voters being more GOP downballot is finally starting to dissolve...or maybe it dissolves whenever an incumbent is out of the picture and the area(s) start voting more like what demography would suggest.  

I do think you make a good point about incumbency. I can see voters in this district voting for a Democrat for President or in an open race, they did it last November and last month. But Price and Isakson performed very well here too. I think next year's gubernatorial race will be interesting here, at least if Democrats run a good candidate.

I don't give two hecks about whatever else you said, but your words that I just bolded and underlined for emphasis, communicate a lie. Trump won the district in the general election last year, that's a fact.

[Virginiá]

I don't give two hecks about whatever else you said, but your words that I just bolded and underlined for emphasis, communicate a lie. Trump won the district in the general election last year, that's a fact.

Hey, let's be civil here. That was pretty hostile for no good reason that I can see.

[windjammer]

I think people are missing what lesson should be taken from this run off.

At the first round: republicans were leading 60-40, and now they won only 57-43.


That means the dem who finished first improved by 3 the democrats overall.

That feels good for Ossoff as in the district overall republicans were leading 51-49

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

OP updated for the next election.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Final SC-5 Results (Post-Recount):

RALPH NORMAN – 17,823 – (50.31 percent)
TOMMY POPE – 17,602 – (49.69 percent)

[The Other Castro]

It's somewhat strange how little attention has been given to SC-5. Yes, it's not likely to be nearly as competitive as GA-6, but it's still on the same day.

[BuckeyeNut]

It's somewhat strange how little attention has been given to SC-5. Yes, it's not likely to be nearly as competitive as GA-6, but it's still on the same day.

Probably why it hasn't gotten the same attention, no?

[The Other Castro]

It's somewhat strange how little attention has been given to SC-5. Yes, it's not likely to be nearly as competitive as GA-6, but it's still on the same day.

Probably why it hasn't gotten the same attention, no?

I don't expect it to get the same attention, but at least some. KS-4 was somewhat hyped before its election day, while I don't think I've seen anything about SC-5.

[Ebsy]

It's somewhat strange how little attention has been given to SC-5. Yes, it's not likely to be nearly as competitive as GA-6, but it's still on the same day.

Probably why it hasn't gotten the same attention, no?

I don't expect it to get the same attention, but at least some. KS-4 was somewhat hyped before its election day, while I don't think I've seen anything about SC-5.

DCCC just commissioned polling of it. If it looks competitive, they will act.

[Maxwell]

Both of the top tier GOP candidates were fairly competent and might even be categorized as better than the incumbent who left (Mick Mulvaney, who was an austerity nut who won the district by very underwhelming margins). Archie Parnell strikes me as the right kind of Dem for this district, but I doubt he'll make it.

[MT Treasurer]

Not sure if this is the right thread to post this, but a GOP poll has Norman up 17 points:

Q:The candidates in the 2017 Special Election for United States Congress are the Democrat Archie
Parnell and the Republican Ralph Norman. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?

Archie Parnell (D): 36%
Ralph Norman (R): 53%
Undecided: 11%

Survey conducted May 17 through May 18, 2017.

Link.

[Maxwell]

yeah that sounds about right.

[Ebsy]

Nancy Pelosi questions but no Paul Ryan? Looks like they might have withheld whatever numbers they had on him. I'm guessing they weren't good.

[The Other Castro]

When they ask questions like that first, it primes the respondents and makes the survey potentially less accurate.

[windjammer]

Not sure if this is the right thread to post this, but a GOP poll has Norman up 17 points:

Q:The candidates in the 2017 Special Election for United States Congress are the Democrat Archie
Parnell and the Republican Ralph Norman. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?

Archie Parnell (D): 36%
Ralph Norman (R): 53%
Undecided: 11%

Survey conducted May 17 through May 18, 2017.

Link.

I suppose the undecided skew a bit dem but that would still end up something like +13 for the GOP

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

According to that poll, Parnell leads among Dems 78-11, Norman leads among Reps 82-12, and Parnell leads among Indies 42-35. Only 6% of reps are undecided vs. 10% of Dems and 24% of Indies. Also the poll is probably a bit too favorable to Norman in its methodology as it is an internal for him. Parnell may have a shot at reaching Obama's 44% showing.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Updated OP with dates of congressional special elections after June 20.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Clarification for tonight: While it is likely that the MT-AL main thread will be more active, I will still post results updates here occasionally and link to sources for results.

AP by county: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2017/by_county/MT_Page_0525.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

NYT Results Page: https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/montana-house-special-election

[AtorBoltox]

Shouldn't results be coming in now?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Shouldn't results be coming in now?

no, polls are still open until 10 pm EST

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.   
Greg Gianforte
Rep.
50,887   48.4%   
Rob Quist
Dem.
48,105   45.8   
Mark Wicks
Lib.
6,100   5.8   
11% reporting (77 of 681 precincts)