Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)

[Holmes]

It's better to view this election through a racial lens, and not an ideological one.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

With more votes finally in, Gomez continues to lead, but not by a lot:


CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.   
Jimmy Gomez
Democrat
10,248   52.2%   
Robert Ahn
Democrat
9,385   47.8   
11% reporting (21 of 192 precincts)

[The Other Castro]

Gomez is probably going to destroy with Election Day vote, build up a big lead.

[socaldem]

It's better to view this election through a racial lens, and not an ideological one.

This is good news for progressive city councilman David Ryu who is ell-positioned for higher office as the Korean-American community in Los Angeles continues to flex its political muscles...

Robert Ahn was a joke candidate. A real candidate with such strong support and engagement in the community could do well...

[Figueira]

Anh's a ConservaDem, no?

Compared to Gomez, he's the more moderate of the two, but he's still a fairly generic liberal, probably to the left of most Democrats.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Gomez may have this.


CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.
Jimmy Gomez
Dem.
11,210   53.9%
Robert Ahn
Dem.
9,603   46.1
19% reporting (37 of 192 precincts)

[The Other Castro]

Gomez may have this.

May? He's going to win by like 20 points.

[Figueira]

Way too early to call, but I'd be shocked if Ahn wins at this point.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Wulfric Projection: GOMEZ WINS

CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.
Jimmy Gomez
Dem.
13,837   57.1%
Robert Ahn
Dem.
10,408   42.9
42% reporting (80 of 192 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.
Jimmy Gomez
Dem.
16,856   58.5%
Robert Ahn
Dem.
11,961   41.5
73% reporting (140 of 192 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Final Results:

CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.
Jimmy Gomez
Dem.
19,761   60.1%
Robert Ahn
Dem.
13,108   39.9
100% reporting (192 of 192 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

OP updated for the next event.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Tonight, this thread will focus mostly on SC-5 results. GA-6 results will be primarily on the main thread for that race, although occasional updates will be posted here.

[Virginiá]

Tonight, this thread will focus mostly on SC-5 results. GA-6 results will be primarily on the main thread for that race, although occasional updates will be posted here.

What is your prediction for the final margins for SC-5?

I looked back, and the best performance for the current district lines was in 2012, where the Democrat lost by around 11 points. Not that I expect a Republican loss here, but given everything we've seen in other districts, I'd have to think that a loss larger than 2012's margin would not be that great. That is, unless there is something about that election that I'm missing.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

^ I expect the '08/'12 presidential result - R +11 - to be a good estimate.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Anyway, links to the NYTimes and AP results plz?

NYTimes results:
https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/georgia-congressional-runoff-ossoff-handel

For South Carolina:
https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/south-carolina-house-special-election

[windjammer]

So:

Ossoff wins by 0.1  point: THE REPUBLICANS ARE DOOMED, THE SENATE WILL FLIP.

Handel wins by 0.1 point: THE DEMOCRATS WILL NEVER REGAIN THE HOUSE BECAUSE MUH HYPOCRIT SUBURBANS AND NON COLLEGE WHITES

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Polls have closed

[Mr. Smith]

So:

Ossoff wins by 0.1  point: THE REPUBLICANS ARE DOOMED, THE SENATE WILL FLIP.

Handel wins by 0.1 point: THE DEMOCRATS WILL NEVER REGAIN THE HOUSE BECAUSE MUH HYPOCRIT SUBURBANS AND NON COLLEGE WHITES

Or

Handel wins by 0.1: Oh well, Ossoff still overperformed compared to the others that ran

Ossoff wins by 0.1: Pfft, he barely won after all that, he's beatable in 2018 you guys!

[RogueBeaver]

WSJ's Reid Epstein: both sides tentatively expect Handel to eke it out.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.   
Archie Parnell
Democrat
340   57.5%   
Ralph Norman
Republican
245   41.5   
Victor Kocher
Libertarian
4   0.7   
David Kulma
Green
2   0.3   
Josh Thornton
American Party
0   0.0   

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.   
Archie Parnell
Democrat
2,359   60.7%   
Ralph Norman
Republican
1,503   38.7   
Victor Kocher
Libertarian
10   0.3   
David Kulma
Green
8   0.2   
Josh Thornton
American Party
5   0.1   
3% reporting (9 of 359 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.   
Archie Parnell
Democrat
3,518   59.5%   
Ralph Norman
Republican
2,364   40.0   
David Kulma
Green
12   0.2   
Victor Kocher
Libertarian
11   0.2   
Josh Thornton
American Party
6   0.1   
5% reporting (19 of 359 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.   
Ralph Norman
Republican
8,634   50.9%   
Archie Parnell
Democrat
8,160   48.1   
Josh Thornton
American Party
59   0.3   
Victor Kocher
Libertarian
51   0.3   
David Kulma
Green
49   0.3   
14% reporting (51 of 359 precincts)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

100% of the Early Vote is in, No Election Day Vote yet:

CANDIDATE   PARTY   VOTES   PCT.   
Jon Ossoff
Democrat
58,152   50.7%   
Karen Handel
Republican
56,619   49.3   
<1% reporting (0 of 208 precincts)