Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)

[windjammer]

The Pub will win like by 10 points and will dramatically underperform Trump. But it won't be a close result.

[windjammer]

The Pub will win like by 10 points and will dramatically underperform Trump. But it won't be a close result.

Estes only winning by 7-10% would be huge and should scare the hell out of Republicans if it happens.

Oh I totally agree with you on this.

[windjammer]

The Pub will win by 10 points. The dem nominee should then run for some statewide offices in KS, he would have a non negligible chance to win.

[windjammer]

Don't forget the GA state senate election too Wulfric!

[windjammer]

Don't forget the GA state senate election too Wulfric!

I don't care about that.

Well you should as it would give a good indication to GA-06

[windjammer]

I think people are missing what lesson should be taken from this run off.

At the first round: republicans were leading 60-40, and now they won only 57-43.


That means the dem who finished first improved by 3 the democrats overall.

That feels good for Ossoff as in the district overall republicans were leading 51-49

[windjammer]

Not sure if this is the right thread to post this, but a GOP poll has Norman up 17 points:

Q:The candidates in the 2017 Special Election for United States Congress are the Democrat Archie
Parnell and the Republican Ralph Norman. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?

Archie Parnell (D): 36%
Ralph Norman (R): 53%
Undecided: 11%

Survey conducted May 17 through May 18, 2017.

Link.

I suppose the undecided skew a bit dem but that would still end up something like +13 for the GOP

[windjammer]

Great news, DCCC putting some money ($275,000) in SC-5 for Parnell.

http://www.postandcourier.com/news/national-democrats-making-modest-investment-in-south-carolina-race-to/article_69adf2f6-4a2b-11e7-8289-c776fc08cfce.html

I've been talking to some people there, and they wouldn't have put this money in unless their internals had tightened, or if the GOP is spending money as well.

Sadly, I don't see how he could win. It would be quite a good performance if he could lose by single digits

[windjammer]

So:

Ossoff wins by 0.1  point: THE REPUBLICANS ARE DOOMED, THE SENATE WILL FLIP.

Handel wins by 0.1 point: THE DEMOCRATS WILL NEVER REGAIN THE HOUSE BECAUSE MUH HYPOCRIT SUBURBANS AND NON COLLEGE WHITES