FL-Gravis: Close race, many undecideds
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  FL-Gravis: Close race, many undecideds
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Author Topic: FL-Gravis: Close race, many undecideds  (Read 1893 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: April 03, 2017, 03:28:28 PM »

General election match-ups

32% Putnam (R)
31% Gillum (D)

34% Morgan (D)
33% Putnam (R)

34% Graham (D)
32% Putnam (R)

33% Gillum (D)
26% Corcoran (R)

39% Morgan (D)
27% Corcoran (R)

34% Graham (D)
29% Corcoran (R)

DEM primary:

24% Patrick Murphy
23% Andrew Gillum
9% John Morgan
8% Gwen Graham

36% uncertain

GOP primary
:

21% Adam Putnam
5% David Jolly
5% Richard Corcoran
4% Jack Latvala
2% Rick Baker

63% uncertain


Same poll has Bill Nelson up 15 points over Rick Scott.

http://orlando-politics.com/2017/04/03/florida-poll-results/
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heatcharger
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« Reply #1 on: April 03, 2017, 03:30:45 PM »

Does someone from Florida know why Scott is at -14 approval? It's Gravis, but still, I thought he rebuilt his image after Hurricane Matthew. Also, Patrick Murphy isn't gonna run lol.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #2 on: April 03, 2017, 03:45:38 PM »

Who would most Murphy respondents vote for? Graham I guess?
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Donerail
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« Reply #3 on: April 03, 2017, 05:07:32 PM »
« Edited: April 04, 2017, 08:58:00 AM by SJoyce »

Who would most Murphy respondents vote for? Graham I guess?

Murphy respondents won't break in any particular way - they're voting Murphy because he's the only Democrat they have heard of (which explains, to some extent, the Gillum vote as well - he's the only one actively campaigning). I don't have a good explanation for why Morgan is so low though.
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mds32
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« Reply #4 on: April 04, 2017, 08:45:17 AM »

In the primary election polls it seems that Putnam is going to blow it out of the park.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: April 04, 2017, 10:37:00 PM »

Narrow Democratic win nxt Nov; Dems pickup FL,NJ, IL, MD, NM, NV, MI, and ME
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #6 on: April 05, 2017, 10:30:07 AM »

Narrow Democratic win nxt Nov; Dems pickup FL,NJ, IL, MD, NM, NV, MI, and ME
Maryland going blue is most definitely not happening.  Illinois probably won't either (though I'm more cautious there). As for the others, Florida is competitive, and Martinez and Sandoval could have a good effect on keeping Nevada and New Mexico red.  Michigan and Maine are most likely gone, though.  I agree with you there.
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15 Down, 35 To Go
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #7 on: April 05, 2017, 11:45:32 AM »

If this is the same poll that was so Democratic leaning that it had Nelson +15 (when most other show a much closer race), this certainly is a good sign.  Florida is really best described as a very light red state that can swing Democratic if the national mood is in their favor.
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#gravelgang #lessiglad
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« Reply #8 on: April 05, 2017, 01:21:28 PM »

Narrow Democratic win nxt Nov; Dems pickup FL,NJ, IL, MD, NM, NV, MI, and ME
Maryland going blue is most definitely not happening.  Illinois probably won't either (though I'm more cautious there). As for the others, Florida is competitive, and Martinez and Sandoval could have a good effect on keeping Nevada and New Mexico red.  Michigan and Maine are most likely gone, though.  I agree with you there.

Rauner is sitting in the 30's in approval ratings. He's certainly not "favored", but definitely not DOA--yet. And we don't know yet about Hogan. Maryland has a very high and inelastic D floor.

Rauner is as close to DOA as one can get without being completely DOA. If IL dems are dumb enough to nom Pritzker, it would make Bruce less DOA.

B.R.-Generic Dem (Likely D), B.R.-Pritzker (Lean D)
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: April 05, 2017, 09:16:14 PM »

Last poll showed Rauner trailing any Democrat by wide margin and Hogan narrowly leads 41-37, I stand by my prediction.
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