ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are

[Maxwell]

ahahaha i knew it. Cramer is a trash candidate.

[Maxwell]

I'm ready for one spicey negative Republican primary.

[Maxwell]

Campbell is Rick Berg-level boring, and if Cramer runs a Campbell-Cramer primary will be brutal, and Cramer would almost certainly be the victor.

I mean a Rick Berg redux may be enough to off Heitkamp, but I doubt it.

[Maxwell]

Probably high 50s early 60s, which means she probably barely leads/in a statistical tie with any GOP contender.

[Maxwell]

Heitkamp is as impressive an incumbent as Cramer is an unimpressive candidate and a man with a foot always in his mouth, but this is a 63% Trump state. Heitkamp is obviously helped by how elastic the state is, but still I wouldn't be surprised if she lost.

[Maxwell]

Underrated concern in this race - Will native americans and enviormental activists, a sizable chunk of the ND Democratic Base, actually bother to even fill out a ballot for the Senate race? I think this is more of a concern here than even West Virginia, where there were real protests over oil construction by activists and Heitkamp sided with the oil industry hard.

I feel like the margin in this race is incredibly influx because of those factors. Will the new people living here to work in the oil industry actually vote Heitkamp or will they abandon her for someone who will probably serve the industry better in Cramer.