2016: Brian Schweitzer vs. Donald Trump

[Suburbia]

Former Montana Gov. Brian Schweitzer wins the Democratic presidential nomination over Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders. He picks former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb to reinforce a working class Democratic presidential ticket. He runs against businessman Donald Trump, who sweeps the GOP presidential nomination over populism, just like Schweitzer. Who wins?

[NHI]

Interesting dynamics.

Schweitzer: 287 (49%)
Trump: 251 (46%)

[Kingpoleon]

272: Brian Schweitzer/Henry Cuellar - 46.1%
266: Donald Trump/Mary Fallin - 44.6%
Gary Johnson/William Weld - 5.3%
Evan McMullin/Jennifer Rubin - 3.3%
Others -.7%

[Lord Admirale]

Businessman Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Governor Mike Pence (R-IN) - 311 EV
Governor Brian Schweitzer (D-MT)/Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) - 221 EV
CIA Officer Evan McMullin (I-UT)/Businesswoman Mindy Finn (I-CA) - 6 EV

Schweitzer's name recognition is low outside of his home state, however he is fairly popular there, so its easy for him to take Montana. New Hampshire and Minnesota go to Trump as a result. McMullin wins Utah by a margin less than 200 votes.