IL-GOV 2018: Which Illinois Democrat can beat Gov. Bruce Rauner?
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  IL-GOV 2018: Which Illinois Democrat can beat Gov. Bruce Rauner?
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Poll
Question: Which Illinois Democrat can beat Gov. Bruce Rauner?
#1
State Senator Daniel Biss
 
#2
Chris Kennedy
 
#3
Chicago Alderman Ameya Pawar
 
#4
J.B. Pritzker
 
#5
Cook County Sheriff Tom Dart
 
#6
Valerie Jarrett
 
#7
Former First Lady Michelle Obama
 
#8
Former President Barack Obama
 
#9
Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel
 
#10
Illinois House Speaker Michael Madigan
 
#11
Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan
 
#12
State Senator Kwame Raoul
 
#13
Jonathan Jackson
 
#14
Other
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 62

Author Topic: IL-GOV 2018: Which Illinois Democrat can beat Gov. Bruce Rauner?  (Read 3302 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
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« on: April 12, 2017, 08:57:09 PM »

Illinois's gubernatorial election in 2018 will be one of the most expensive gubernatorial elections not only in Illinois' history, but potentially, in national history. It will probably be one of the most watched gubernatorial races in 2018. Which Illinois Democrat could beat Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: April 12, 2017, 09:09:37 PM »

Where is all of the above?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: April 12, 2017, 09:10:11 PM »

Most of them can. I hope Biss can beat THE MILLONAHS AND BILLIONAHS in the race, because out of the current crop of candidates he's my favorite.
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Rjjr77
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« Reply #3 on: April 12, 2017, 09:33:10 PM »

Kennedy has a decent shot at winning in my opinion. Regardless though, Rauner is in some serious danger right now. I could see most of these Democrats winning against him in 2018.

i dunno, if that latest approval poll is true hes over 40% approval under 50% disapproval, and hes got 50 million with no primary, thats not a terrible spot for an incumbent
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #4 on: April 12, 2017, 09:50:50 PM »

Most of them can. I hope Biss can beat THE MILLONAHS AND BILLIONAHS in the race, because out of the current crop of candidates he's my favorite.
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JGibson
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« Reply #5 on: April 12, 2017, 10:01:15 PM »

My rankings of those currently running:
1. Daiber
2. Pawar
3. Biss
4. Kennedy
5. Pritzker

The top 3 are relatively close to me.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #6 on: April 12, 2017, 10:28:18 PM »

Everyone listed.

Kennedy has a decent shot at winning in my opinion. Regardless though, Rauner is in some serious danger right now. I could see most of these Democrats winning against him in 2018.

i dunno, if that latest approval poll is true hes over 40% approval under 50% disapproval, and hes got 50 million with no primary, thats not a terrible spot for an incumbent

It's a blue state Trump midterm. He needs to be polling like Baker and Hogan to even have a chance.
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Rjjr77
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« Reply #7 on: April 12, 2017, 10:33:48 PM »

Everyone listed.

Kennedy has a decent shot at winning in my opinion. Regardless though, Rauner is in some serious danger right now. I could see most of these Democrats winning against him in 2018.

i dunno, if that latest approval poll is true hes over 40% approval under 50% disapproval, and hes got 50 million with no primary, thats not a terrible spot for an incumbent

It's a blue state Trump midterm. He needs to be polling like Baker and Hogan to even have a chance.

Not true at all.
Money and a nasty primary can go along way. Don't underestimate the state of Illinois ability to compartmentalism their governor's races. Rauners going to spend 100 million total on his side, all without a primary, while the democrats will be carving each other up. Being -7 is a good spot
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Ye We Can
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« Reply #8 on: April 12, 2017, 10:54:19 PM »

Biss is the strongest candidate in the current field.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #9 on: April 12, 2017, 11:55:35 PM »

While I'd probably endorse Rauner against any of these except maybe Barack/Michelle, all of them would have at least 50% odds to win.
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Donerail
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« Reply #10 on: April 13, 2017, 12:43:10 AM »

The vast majority of these people are neither running nor considering it. The one man who is considering running (Summers) isn't on the list.

Biss is my pick, Pawar close behind.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #11 on: April 13, 2017, 08:47:10 AM »

Kennedy would be my choice in this field. No to Pritzker
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Chief Justice Keef
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« Reply #12 on: April 13, 2017, 09:28:26 AM »

Pretty much most of them, but I'd rather see Biss become the nominee than Kennedy or Pritzker.
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Don Vito Corleone
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« Reply #13 on: May 19, 2017, 11:41:04 PM »

Almost all of them, perhaps the only one who can't is Rahm Emanuel.
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JoshPA
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« Reply #14 on: May 20, 2017, 05:05:23 PM »

depends on voter turnout voter turnout is low for democrats in the offyear i say rauner got a hell of better chance that is likely of keeping his the gov mansion then kirk had at keeping his seat.
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Shameless Lefty Hack
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« Reply #15 on: May 21, 2017, 04:51:46 AM »

Right now I'm just laughing at the idea of President Obama, after a job that aged him like, 20 years, choosing the nice, peaceful, relaxing sinecure that is being the Governor of *Illinois*.

But yeah, I like Danny Biss
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peterthlee
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« Reply #16 on: May 21, 2017, 09:28:35 AM »

All of the above.
The question should be about the margin of victory.
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History505
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« Reply #17 on: May 21, 2017, 12:13:52 PM »

I'm not from Illinois, but looking at his approvals and him being from a blue state, I would say a decent amount of them. Although I wouldn't see Obama as a potential candidate for Governor because that would kinda be a step down from the Presidency.
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#gravelgang #lessiglad
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« Reply #18 on: May 22, 2017, 11:11:31 AM »

All of the above.
The question should be about the margin of victory.

Highest to lowest potential margin of victory (ceiling) among the Dems running: Biss>Pawar>Kennedy>>>>>>Pritzker.

Biss (and to a lesser extent, Pawar) would generate more Sanders-wing turnout and votes; Pawar may be able to run up the score among Asian-American voters that are numerous in the suburbs, enough so to keep the Chicago burbs outside of Cook competitive. Kennedy is still RFK's son, which, somehow, still matters to a lot of people, even though the man has serious anti-charisma, and Pritzker is Democratic Bruce Rauner.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #19 on: May 22, 2017, 11:25:45 AM »

All of the above.
The question should be about the margin of victory.

Highest to lowest potential margin of victory (ceiling) among the Dems running: Biss>Pawar>Kennedy>>>>>>Pritzker.

Biss (and to a lesser extent, Pawar) would generate more Sanders-wing turnout and votes; Pawar may be able to run up the score among Asian-American voters that are numerous in the suburbs, enough so to keep the Chicago burbs outside of Cook competitive. Kennedy is still RFK's son, which, somehow, still matters to a lot of people, even though the man has serious anti-charisma, and Pritzker is Democratic Bruce Rauner.

Thankfully Prince Madigan has made the best possible decision for Democratic Victory.....

and backed J. B. Pritzker.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #20 on: May 28, 2017, 03:24:34 PM »

Chris Kennedy is going to knock the living crap out of this dummy.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #21 on: May 28, 2017, 03:44:00 PM »

Chris Kennedy is going to knock the living crap out of this dummy.

I doubt Kennedy is going to win the nomination, especially with Madigan, The Trade Unions, and Likely AFL-CIO all backing Pritzker.

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Donerail
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« Reply #22 on: May 28, 2017, 03:45:30 PM »

Chris Kennedy is going to knock the living crap out of this dummy.

I doubt Kennedy is going to win the nomination, especially with Madigan, The Trade Unions, and Likely AFL-CIO all backing Pritzker.

This is true—he is aggressively anti-charismatic and will presumably drop out fairly soon.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #23 on: May 28, 2017, 03:51:48 PM »

I think any of them could. Except Rahm Emmanuel.
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #24 on: May 28, 2017, 03:54:07 PM »

Anyone besides Literally Rauner with a D next to his name (Pritzker) would be favored.

With Pritzker its pure tossup.
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