PA-GOV 2018: Does Tom Wolf win a 2nd term?

[I’m not Stu]

Will Tom Wolf win another term, or will he be the third one-term Tom?

[Heisenberg]

Will Tom Wolf win another term, or will he be the third one-term Tom?

Ridge is NOT a one-term Tom, he was elected to serve two terms. There's a difference between resigning to join the cabinet and being defeated for reelection.

[I’m not Stu]

Make that second one-term Tom.

[Figueira]

I'll say yes because governors usually win re-election. It could go either way though.

[I’m not Stu]

I'll say yes because governors usually win re-election. It could go either way though.

There's a very good chance Rauner loses in IL.

[PoliticalShelter]

I'll say yes because governors usually win re-election. It could go either way though.

There's a very good chance Rauner loses in IL.

I think he is referring to governors from swing states or states friendly to the governors party.

[The Arizonan]

I think that Tom Wolf wins reelection during a midterm with a Republican president in office, but his victory is by no means guaranteed.

[Figueira]

I'll say yes because governors usually win re-election. It could go either way though.

There's a very good chance Rauner loses in IL.

I think he is referring to governors from swing states or states friendly to the governors party.

No, I'm referring to governors in general.

Rauner is the only governor I think is likely to lose; he has a lot going against him. But he could still pull off a victory.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Most likely Penn don't ususally kick governors out unless they are really bad an Tom has been meh

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

I think that Tom Wolf wins reelection during a midterm with a Republican president in office, but his victory is by no means guaranteed.

[politicallefty]

I'll say yes because governors usually win re-election.

Wasn't that always the case in PA before Corbett lost in 2014?

[President Johnson]

I'll say yes because governors usually win re-election.

Wasn't that always the case in PA before Corbett lost in 2014?

Yes, it was since the 1970s when governors were allowed to run for a second term.

But yes, Wolf is probably headed for a second term. I see no strong GOP candidate and with a Trump midterm, he should be able to win. However, I'm not sure by which margin. Probably the election is a little closer than 2014.

[Badger]

I think that Tom Wolf wins reelection during a midterm with a Republican president in office, but his victory is by no means guaranteed.

[Fuzzy Says: "Abolish NPR!"]

I'll say yes because governors usually win re-election.

Wasn't that always the case in PA before Corbett lost in 2014?

Yes, it was since the 1970s when governors were allowed to run for a second term.

But yes, Wolf is probably headed for a second term. I see no strong GOP candidate and with a Trump midterm, he should be able to win. However, I'm not sure by which margin. Probably the election is a little closer than 2014.

This.

I think Wolf is going to be at least on the bottom of the Democratic Ticket in 2020 if he wins.

[MasterJedi]

With Trump in office and deeply unpopular he's going to win, likely comfortably.

[Maxwell]

Wolf is probably going to have a tough race on his hands, but I think ultimately he's not nearly as unpopular as Corbett and will probably win narrowly. The Republican field against Wolf will probably be pretty good though, so I'd rate this Tilt D Toss-up if I'm just viewing it from a 50,000 foot view.

[Bojack Horseman]

I think PA-2018 will be like MI-2006. They weren't very spectacular, but a midterm wave propelled them to a second term.

[President Johnson]

I'll say yes because governors usually win re-election.

Wasn't that always the case in PA before Corbett lost in 2014?

Yes, it was since the 1970s when governors were allowed to run for a second term.

But yes, Wolf is probably headed for a second term. I see no strong GOP candidate and with a Trump midterm, he should be able to win. However, I'm not sure by which margin. Probably the election is a little closer than 2014.

This.

I think Wolf is going to be at least on the bottom of the Democratic Ticket in 2020 if he wins.

I don't think Wolf will be a vice-presidential candidate. He seems to have no national ambitions. He'll also be 72 in 2020.