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+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Claude Trollo, Apocrypha)
| | |-+  Post Random Maps Here 2.0.
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Author Topic: Post Random Maps Here 2.0.  (Read 17571 times)
NHI
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« Reply #50 on: May 13, 2017, 07:09:56 pm »
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Unable to retrieve my lost document on TL, but as promised he's how the election of 1980 would play out had Reagan been elected in '76.

Let's make America great again.

✓ Senator Gary Hart/Senator Lloyd Bentsen: 365 (47,590,201)
President Ronald Reagan/Vice President Richard Schweiker: 173 (42,402,951)
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Favorite Presidents: FDR, Washington, Lincoln, Reagan, Truman, JFK, TR, Ike
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« Reply #51 on: May 14, 2017, 12:56:14 am »
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Senator Robert Taft (Constitutional Union-OH)/Vice President Jack Nance Garner (Constitutional Union-NY) - 270 EV
President Franklin D. Roosevelt (Democratic-NY)/Agriculture Secretary Henry A. Wallace (Democratic-IA) - 261 EV
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The fundamental question of our time is whether the West has the will to survive. Do we have the confidence in our values to defend them at any cost? Do we have enough respect for our citizens to protect our borders? Do we have the desire and the courage to preserve our civilization in the face of those who would subvert and destroy it? - President Donald J. Trump
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« Reply #52 on: May 14, 2017, 01:41:49 pm »
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Chris Christie doesn't do Bridgegate and spends more time in his state, rather than campaign for himself and others.

Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ)/Governor Susana Martinez (R-NM) - 349 EV
Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 183 EV
Officer Evan McMullin (I-UT)/Businesswoman Mindy Finn (I-DC) - 6 EV
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Endorsements:
2017:
VA-Gov: Ralph Northam (D)
NJ-Gov: Gina Genovese (I)
NYC Mayoral: Bo Dietl (I)
AL-Sen: Doug Jones (D)

2018:
AZ-Sen: Kyrsten Sinena (D)
CA-Gov: John Chiang (D)
IN-Sen: Joe Donnelly (D)
NJ-Sen: #NeverMenendez
NJ-05: Josh Gottheimer (D)
NJ-11: Mikie Sherrill (D)
OH-Sen: Sherrod Brown (D)
WV-Sen: Joe Manchin (D)


The GOP's Best Senators
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #53 on: May 14, 2017, 02:26:38 pm »
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Maps based on this WaPo write up based on realisticidealist's Precinct Maps

2008

John McCain 487 EVs 74.9%
Barack Obama 51 EVs 25.1%



Note: WaPo's graphics were a bit blurry on my phone. I can't tell who won Delaware because it's so close. I gave it to McCain on this map.

2012

Mitt Romney 74.2% 495 EVs
Barack Obama 25.8% 43 EVs



2016

Donald Trump 78.7% 514 EVs
Hillary Clinton 21.3% 24 EVs



*Note: Evan McMullin won about 0.5% of Utah, but that's negligible on state or national level
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John Chiang for CA Gov 2018; E: -3.48 S: -7.48

NZ endorsements
Preferred PM: ❤️ Jacinda Ardern ❤️
Party Vote: Green
Te Tai Tokerau: Hone Harawira
Waiariki: Te Ururoa Flavell
Epsom: Paul Goldsmith
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« Reply #54 on: May 14, 2017, 04:40:47 pm »
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Chris Christie doesn't do Bridgegate and spends more time in his state, rather than campaign for himself and others.

Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ)/Governor Susana Martinez (R-NM) - 349 EV
Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 183 EV
Officer Evan McMullin (I-UT)/Businesswoman Mindy Finn (I-DC) - 6 EV

Why is McMullin in this race?
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« Reply #55 on: May 14, 2017, 08:45:47 pm »
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Chris Christie doesn't do Bridgegate and spends more time in his state, rather than campaign for himself and others.

Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ)/Governor Susana Martinez (R-NM) - 349 EV
Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 183 EV
Officer Evan McMullin (I-UT)/Businesswoman Mindy Finn (I-DC) - 6 EV

Why is McMullin in this race?
Same reason as OTL. Christie is not a "true conservative".
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Endorsements:
2017:
VA-Gov: Ralph Northam (D)
NJ-Gov: Gina Genovese (I)
NYC Mayoral: Bo Dietl (I)
AL-Sen: Doug Jones (D)

2018:
AZ-Sen: Kyrsten Sinena (D)
CA-Gov: John Chiang (D)
IN-Sen: Joe Donnelly (D)
NJ-Sen: #NeverMenendez
NJ-05: Josh Gottheimer (D)
NJ-11: Mikie Sherrill (D)
OH-Sen: Sherrod Brown (D)
WV-Sen: Joe Manchin (D)


The GOP's Best Senators
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« Reply #56 on: May 14, 2017, 09:03:38 pm »
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Chris Christie doesn't do Bridgegate and spends more time in his state, rather than campaign for himself and others.

Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ)/Governor Susana Martinez (R-NM) - 349 EV
Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 183 EV
Officer Evan McMullin (I-UT)/Businesswoman Mindy Finn (I-DC) - 6 EV

Why is McMullin in this race?
Same reason as OTL. Christie is not a "true conservative".

More to the point, he would have similar problems with Mormons that Trump did--loud, harsh sounding Northeasterner whose reputation relies on being "tough" but not particularly pious, and with some breaks from conservative orthodoxy in his past (though not as glaring as Trump's). I fail to see, however, how these would be worse than any problems Trump suffered with that group.
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« Reply #57 on: May 14, 2017, 09:13:12 pm »
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The Big Guy Takes the Plunge

Governor Christopher J. Christie (R-NJ)/ Fmr. Governor Timothy Pawlenty (R-MN): 305 Electoral Votes, 49.7%
President Barack H. Obama (D-IL)/ Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE): 233 Electoral Votes, 48.3%
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« Reply #58 on: May 14, 2017, 09:55:44 pm »
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Johnson 2016 Bisected:



Stein 2016 Bisected:
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« Reply #59 on: May 15, 2017, 06:27:36 am »
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Future scenario:

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Hello, I'm Richard "Robin Hood" Cordray. I take from the rich financial institutions and give it to the working class. I'm basically Bernie Sanders if Bernie Sanders actually did work and had accomplishments.

• 12 billion dollars back to consumers.
• Head of the CFPB.
• 5 time Jeopardy champion.
• Next Ohio Governor.

And just what has lazy Bernie done? Yeah, that's what I thought.

NHI
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« Reply #60 on: May 15, 2017, 06:50:50 pm »
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Goldwater: 280 (50.4%)
Johnson: 258 (49.0%)
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« Reply #61 on: May 18, 2017, 09:14:13 am »
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1992 three way PV tie

202-195-141
TX is a photo finish between Bush and Perot and might take a while to be called.
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clash
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« Reply #62 on: May 18, 2017, 08:16:58 pm »
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2012: The Undefeated



Former Governor Sarah Palin (R-AK)/Former Senator Rick Santorum (R-PA)- 270 EV ✓
President Barack Obama (D-IL)/Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE) - 269 EV
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The fundamental question of our time is whether the West has the will to survive. Do we have the confidence in our values to defend them at any cost? Do we have enough respect for our citizens to protect our borders? Do we have the desire and the courage to preserve our civilization in the face of those who would subvert and destroy it? - President Donald J. Trump
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« Reply #63 on: May 19, 2017, 01:37:03 am »
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Medium Comey effect

Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine-Democratic: 307 EV 49.03%
Donald Trump/Mike Pence-Republican: 231 EV 44.94%
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« Reply #64 on: May 19, 2017, 09:01:11 am »
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Gore/Bayh - 400 votes - 52.2%
Bush/Cheney - 138 votes - 45.1%
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Fla Gov 2018: Gwen Graham
Fla CFO 2018: Jeremy Ring
Fla SD40 2017: Annette Taddeo
Fla HD116 2017: Gabriela Mayaudon

Fla Sen 2018: Bill Nelson
Fla's 15th 2018: Andrew Learned
Fla's 18th 2018: Pam Keith
Fla's 27th 2018: Jose Javier Rodriguez or Kristen Rosen Gonzalez
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« Reply #65 on: May 19, 2017, 09:41:15 pm »
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Making another thread after posting here already is spamming.
It was an accident – I realised I ought to have posted in this thread.

Having read The Emerging Republican Majority, although it does not address the issue directly that book does show why La Follette did so badly in upper New England. Simply put, the “Yankee” heartland was pro-“Establishment”, regardless of that establishment’s positions, and La Follette was not. In many of the classic “Yankee” counties, La Follette only got 2 or 3 percent.
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NHI
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« Reply #66 on: May 20, 2017, 08:48:54 am »
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2012: The Undefeated



Former Governor Sarah Palin (R-AK)/Former Senator Rick Santorum (R-PA)- 270 EV ✓
President Barack Obama (D-IL)/Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE) - 269 EV
Very interesting!
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« Reply #67 on: May 20, 2017, 11:57:21 am »
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If Hillary won every state she lost at ~40%

Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 340 EV
Businessman Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Governor Mike Pence (R-IN) - 198 EV

If Trump won every state he lost at ~40%

Businessman Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Governor Mike Pence (R-IN) - 355 EV
Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 183 EV
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Endorsements:
2017:
VA-Gov: Ralph Northam (D)
NJ-Gov: Gina Genovese (I)
NYC Mayoral: Bo Dietl (I)
AL-Sen: Doug Jones (D)

2018:
AZ-Sen: Kyrsten Sinena (D)
CA-Gov: John Chiang (D)
IN-Sen: Joe Donnelly (D)
NJ-Sen: #NeverMenendez
NJ-05: Josh Gottheimer (D)
NJ-11: Mikie Sherrill (D)
OH-Sen: Sherrod Brown (D)
WV-Sen: Joe Manchin (D)


The GOP's Best Senators
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« Reply #68 on: May 20, 2017, 03:30:11 pm »
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JFK is not assassinated.

President John F. Kennedy (D-MA)/Vice President Lyndon B. Johnson (D-TX) - 276 EV
Governor Nelson A. Rockefeller (R-NY)/Congressman John W. Byrnes (R-WI) - 262 EV
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Endorsements:
2017:
VA-Gov: Ralph Northam (D)
NJ-Gov: Gina Genovese (I)
NYC Mayoral: Bo Dietl (I)
AL-Sen: Doug Jones (D)

2018:
AZ-Sen: Kyrsten Sinena (D)
CA-Gov: John Chiang (D)
IN-Sen: Joe Donnelly (D)
NJ-Sen: #NeverMenendez
NJ-05: Josh Gottheimer (D)
NJ-11: Mikie Sherrill (D)
OH-Sen: Sherrod Brown (D)
WV-Sen: Joe Manchin (D)


The GOP's Best Senators
ExtremeConservative
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« Reply #69 on: May 21, 2017, 02:06:19 pm »
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Any guesses for this one?
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« Reply #70 on: May 21, 2017, 03:09:54 pm »
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Any guesses for this one?


Has something to do with 2000-2004 swings (at least, based on how often I've looked at that map).
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America.
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« Reply #71 on: May 21, 2017, 03:28:13 pm »
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Any guesses for this one?


Has something to do with 2000-2004 swings (at least, based on how often I've looked at that map).

Nope, but it is interesting you suggested that because what it really is may be a cause of the 2000-2004 swings.
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Roy Moore for Senate!
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« Reply #72 on: May 22, 2017, 04:17:22 pm »
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Omaha Saves The World!



Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine - 270 - 47.6%
Donald Trump/Mike Pence - 268 - 47.3%

I might want to write a TL about this... interesting scenario.
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« Reply #73 on: May 22, 2017, 04:21:43 pm »
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^No credit to rural Maine? Sad! Wink
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President Rich Cordray
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« Reply #74 on: May 22, 2017, 04:22:27 pm »
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^No credit to rural Maine? Sad! Wink

Yeah I'm much more curious about Maine in that scenario than Nebraska Tongue
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Hello, I'm Richard "Robin Hood" Cordray. I take from the rich financial institutions and give it to the working class. I'm basically Bernie Sanders if Bernie Sanders actually did work and had accomplishments.

• 12 billion dollars back to consumers.
• Head of the CFPB.
• 5 time Jeopardy champion.
• Next Ohio Governor.

And just what has lazy Bernie done? Yeah, that's what I thought.

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