UK General Election, June 8th 2017

[jeron]

Is there any indication Corbyn actually want to win, or even have a good enough result so as to gain seats? Or is he basically the death wish personified?

Well he's visiting target seats but no...

He never wanted to run for the leadership in 2015, he then never expected to win, and then wanted to leave last summer during the no-confidence vote. He'd 'apparently' given a retirement date to his inner circle, and it was expected he'd leave after conference this autumn, or at the latest stay until 2018-2019.
 

Well, he won't make it to the conference now that Labour is headed for its worst defeat in at least 80 years. And if it does turn out that way, there is no one to blame but him. He really should have stood down when the no-confidence vote was passed by the Labour MPs last year.

[jeron]

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/03/voting-intention-conservatives-48-labour-29-2-3-ma/ here's the Yougov poll for crosstabs

Fun statistic from the crosstabs, only 50% of 2015 lib dem voters plan on voting for them again this time around.

That's a bit weird though, they lose half of their supporters, got 8% last time and would still end up with 10% according to this poll.

[jeron]

Also has Conservatives on 37% in Scotland and tied with Labour in the North of England but eh not drawing conclusions based on a nationwide poll like this

I dont buy that, its a small subsample of "190"
Con 37%
SNP 41%
4% gap ?
i find it hard to believe

Also considering the fact that the Conservatives had 15% in 2015 and SNP 50%.

[jeron]

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/03/voting-intention-conservatives-48-labour-29-2-3-ma/ here's the Yougov poll for crosstabs

Fun statistic from the crosstabs, only 50% of 2015 lib dem voters plan on voting for them again this time around.

Yes, I know, but it still seems like it doesn't add up
That's a bit weird though, they lose half of their supporters, got 8% last time and would still end up with 10% according to this poll.

9% of labour 2015 voters and 5% of conservative 2015 voters go to them