Alabama Megathread: Bombshell allegations

[TheSaint250]

So apparently this is what Moore said about America and Putin:

https://politicalwire.com/2017/08/11/roy-moore-suggests-america-evil/

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[Chief Justice Keef]

So apparently this is what Moore said about America and Putin:

https://politicalwire.com/2017/08/11/roy-moore-suggests-america-evil/

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He's right that America does promote a lot of bad things, but f[inks]ing hell, gay marriage is not one of them.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Wow, yeah, I was starting to send feelers towards potential support for Strange instead, but no, Roy Moore has won be back permanently. Anyone who says 'But America' is the perfect candidate for me. You can do it, Roy!

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

The Alabama Republican Assembly is backing Moore.

Also, I dug up Moore's election map from 2012. He lost by only 3.5%, even as Romney was walloping Obama by 22%. I'm starting to actually think Democrats should make a serious play if Moore is the nominee. Moore could be the GOP version of Martha Coakley.

This being a off-season election could help making or more competitive.

[Badger]

Has anyone seen polls of how Moore, Brooks, and Strange would each do in the head to head runoff?

The general? Or a primary runoff?

Moore vs Strange: Moore 45% Strange 34%

Jeez. So Moore actually may have a shot in the runoff after all. Wowzers!

No numbers regarding matchups with either candidate against Brooks, I assume?

[The Other Castro]

Roy Moore will apparently be riding horseback to the polls.

[Classic Conservative]

Has anyone seen polls of how Moore, Brooks, and Strange would each do in the head to head runoff?

The general? Or a primary runoff?

Moore vs Strange: Moore 45% Strange 34%

Jeez. So Moore actually may have a shot in the runoff after all. Wowzers!

No numbers regarding matchups with either candidate against Brooks, I assume?

Nothing with Brooks, that I have seen thus far.

[Mr. Reactionary]

Having a judge in the senate could be fun.

[Bojack Horseman]

It might get strange into the run-off lol.

Roy Moore is much more authentically trumpian. Strange is just an impostor. I think the Trumpkins will see that and give Moore the nomination.

Moore is a Constitutionalist.  He's also got credibility.  If I lived in AL, I'd vote for him.

There is nothing constitutional about standing in open defiance to two separate and correct Supreme Court decisions.

[The Other Castro]

Has anyone seen polls of how Moore, Brooks, and Strange would each do in the head to head runoff?

The general? Or a primary runoff?

Moore vs Strange: Moore 45% Strange 34%

Jeez. So Moore actually may have a shot in the runoff after all. Wowzers!

No numbers regarding matchups with either candidate against Brooks, I assume?

Nothing with Brooks, that I have seen thus far.

There was a runoff matchup of Moore and Brooks, with Moore absolutely demolishing Brooks.

[mcmikk]

Do you guys think that if Doug Jones and Roy Moore emerge as the nominees, this race could end up somewhat resembling Massachusetts 2010? It would give Democrats a pickup that they could hold just long enough that they have a slightly less steep hill to climb in 2018, and when they likely lose the seat in 2020, they will have picked up seats elsewhere.

The early polls(not that they're all that telling at this point in time) show it surprisingly close(at least for Alabama) and I think this could end up like a MA 2010 redux.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Do you guys think that if Doug Jones and Roy Moore emerge as the nominees, this race could end up somewhat resembling Massachusetts 2010? It would give Democrats a pickup that they could hold just long enough that they have a slightly less steep hill to climb in 2018, and when they likely lose the seat in 2020, they will have picked up seats elsewhere.

The early polls(not that they're all that telling at this point in time) show it surprisingly close(at least for Alabama) and I think this could end up like a MA 2010 redux.

Massachusetts is more flexible in elections downballot than olympic gymnasts. Meanwhile, Alabama makes this guy look flexible by comparison:

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Do you guys think that if Doug Jones and Roy Moore emerge as the nominees, this race could end up somewhat resembling Massachusetts 2010? It would give Democrats a pickup that they could hold just long enough that they have a slightly less steep hill to climb in 2018, and when they likely lose the seat in 2020, they will have picked up seats elsewhere.

The early polls(not that they're all that telling at this point in time) show it surprisingly close(at least for Alabama) and I think this could end up like a MA 2010 redux.

No, Roy Moore is clearly not Martha Coakley in terms of campaigning ability. And even if it did, it just means that democrats don't need a three-way in Utah. They'd still have to hold every seat they have and pick up NV/AZ, which is an extremely difficult path.

[mcmikk]

Do you guys think that if Doug Jones and Roy Moore emerge as the nominees, this race could end up somewhat resembling Massachusetts 2010? It would give Democrats a pickup that they could hold just long enough that they have a slightly less steep hill to climb in 2018, and when they likely lose the seat in 2020, they will have picked up seats elsewhere.

The early polls(not that they're all that telling at this point in time) show it surprisingly close(at least for Alabama) and I think this could end up like a MA 2010 redux.

Massachusetts is more flexible in elections downballot than olympic gymnasts. Meanwhile, Alabama makes this guy look flexible by comparison:

lol, true. I feel like blue states in general are more open to electing conservatives/Republicans than vice-versa.

[Coraxion]

Seriously. There's tons of chatter about primary polling there. I don't get it. It's about as exciting as the special to replace Xavier Becerra: not at all.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Do you guys think that if Doug Jones and Roy Moore emerge as the nominees, this race could end up somewhat resembling Massachusetts 2010? It would give Democrats a pickup that they could hold just long enough that they have a slightly less steep hill to climb in 2018, and when they likely lose the seat in 2020, they will have picked up seats elsewhere.

The early polls(not that they're all that telling at this point in time) show it surprisingly close(at least for Alabama) and I think this could end up like a MA 2010 redux.

Massachusetts is more flexible in elections downballot than olympic gymnasts. Meanwhile, Alabama makes this guy look flexible by comparison:

lol, true. I feel like blue states in general are more open to electing conservatives/Republicans than vice-versa.

Then why are there 15 Democratic Senators from red* states and only 3 Republican Senators from blue* states?

*Red and blue are defined relative to the 2016 popular vote

[Anna Komnene]

[GlobeSoc]

There are 3 statewide elections this year. 1 of them is in Alabama, and that one happens to be the only senatorial election in 2017.

[MT Treasurer]

lol, true. I feel like blue states in general are more open to electing conservatives/Republicans than vice-versa.

This is definitely not the case when you look at the number of red state Democrats (4-6, depending on what you count as "red") vs. blue state Republicans (only 2-3, 1 of who is DOA in 2020 and the other who will likely lose in 2018) in the Senate. MA is just as inflexible as AL in federal races, and arguably even more so.

[SATW]

[Pollster]

If Moore becomes the GOP nominee (of which I think there is a 49% chance) it could potentially be competitive and draw some attention.

[Dr. Arch]

If Moore becomes the GOP nominee (of which I think there is a 49% chance) it could potentially be competitive and draw some attention.

A Democratic senator, in Alabama, in 2017, yeah, well, okay. I don't think I'll ever see that.

[_]

If Moore becomes the GOP nominee (of which I think there is a 49% chance) it could potentially be competitive and draw some attention.

A Democratic senator, in Alabama, in 2017, yeah, well, okay. I don't think I'll ever see that.

Competitive, not a D win but competitive with Moore is possible.

[MT Treasurer]

If Moore becomes the GOP nominee (of which I think there is a 49% chance) it could potentially be competitive and draw some attention.

A Democratic senator, in Alabama, in 2017, yeah, well, okay. I don't think I'll ever see that.

Competitive, not a D win but competitive with Moore is possible.

If it's competitive with Moore, it'll be competitive with Strange as well.

[Fudotei]

Moore's pretty popular in Alabama, as far as I've seen. Moreso than Strange or Brooks. It's not inconceivable he could do better than Strange will, it's not like he needs money (like 95% name recognition for being involved in Alabama politics for a decade and a half).