GA-06 runoff poll

[JMT]

I think Handel pulls off a very narrow win (51% Handel - 49% Ossoff). What do you think? Feel free to provide margins of victory!

[Hindsight was 2020]

Ossoff wins 51-49

[Brittain33]

Ossoff wins with 50.1 - 51%.

[Tender Branson]

Ossoff wins with 50.1 - 51%.

[Ronnie]

So many variables at hand...will Trump take a break from golfing to fire up GOPers who don't seemed enthused with low energy Handel?

My guess is very narrow Ossoff win

That is likely.  Congress is just spinning its wheels, so campaigning is the only thing he can really do at this point.

OT: My best guess is that Handel ekes it out, but this race is the closest thing to a pure toss up that I've seen in a while.

[Mr. Smith]

49-46 for Handel

[Tintrlvr]

49-46 for Handel

This is not possible; there will be only two candidates on the ballot.

[Gass3268]

Very narrow lean to Ossoff, but this is one of the purest toss ups we've had in a long time.

[Frodo]

Ossoff pulls off a narrow win -the energy is all on our side, not the GOP.

So many variables at hand...will Trump take a break from golfing to fire up GOPers who don't seemed enthused with low energy Handel?

My guess is very narrow Ossoff win

That is likely.  Congress is just spinning its wheels, so campaigning is the only thing he can really do at this point.

It is also an imperative for him -he really doesn't want Democrats to gain control of either house of Congress so long as he is in the White House.  Once that happens, his administration will not just be checked but derailed by investigations into his links with Russia, his tax returns, his family business, etc.  Trump is more likely to be impeached in that scenario than to have any legislative accomplishments, as non-existent as they are even with Republicans controlling everything.  

[Mr. Smith]

49-46 for Handel

This is not possible; there will be only two candidates on the ballot.

Fine, 48.5 - 51.5 for Handel.

[Figueira]

Currently I'll say Handel 52-48. Tossup though.

[The_Doctor]

Osoff wins 51-49%. He needs just 3% from his 48.1% (with all precincts reporting) to win. The GOP will coalesce around Handel but it's clear at this point that the district has swung sharply away from the GOP since 2012 and disgusted Atlanta suburban voters are breaking Democratic heavily.

Given that suburban educated Republicans are the weakest part of Trump's coalition and given most of them are still infuriated at the President, I would say that Ossoff keeps his 48% and picks up a handful of Atlanta suburban voters that allow him to eke out the win.

Eventually, this district will become strongly Democratic at some point between the Trump - Pence era. Republicans are on borrowed time with this educated Atlanta suburbs with a strong grouping of minority voters.

What you are seeing here, ladies and gentlemen, is Georgia beginning the transition to becoming a blue (Atlas red) state.

EDIT: Expect the winning Democratic President of 2024 to take 55-58% of the vote in this district, if the lines remain the same.

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Ossoff. Dem energy will be at a fever pitch, and Handel will be hard pressed to get 100% of all non-Ossoff voters to show up again, let alone vote for her unanimously. Still think it'll be within two points though.

Pretty nuch this. Ossoff won't break 52%. He'll be lucky to break 51%.

[tallguy23]

Gut says Ossof pulls it off. He has the energy and enthusiasm.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I figured Ossoff needed at least 47% in the first round to have an even chance in the runoff.  Since he beat that, I'll now predict him to win narrowly, say 51-49.

[Matty]

Does Handel's jewish heritage decrease turnout in the racist northern parts of fulton county?

[mieastwick]

Ossoff wins by less than 3%.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

Lean Handel

[Heisenberg]

Does Handel's jewish heritage decrease turnout in the racist northern parts of fulton county?

...No. Ossoff is Jewish too, and no one even cares/knows about it.

Wouldn't his resemblance to Anthony Weiner give it away, not that anyone really cares. Also, Handel is definitely not Jewish.

[Maxwell]

50.5% Ossoff
49.5% Handel

I'm optimistic but aware of the circumstances - this is a tough district no matter how you slice it. R+8 Districts don't just get won everyday.

[Hammy]

I'll go with 52-48 for the final outcome. I don't think Ossoff will pick up any further votes--reduced Dem turnout for the runoff will offset any GOPers that stay home rather than voting for Handel.

[windjammer]

52-48 Ossoff, he's definitely the favorite to win now barring any changes in turnout

[exopolitician]

Jon Solo wins it 51-49

[Skill and Chance]

Bare Ossoff win with 51% or less.

[ReaganLimbaugh]

I live in the district and just spoke to Handel about a month ago.....Ossoff and the Democrats have peaked....it's not longer fun...now it's work....GOP is just getting started.  She has been around a long time.

Ossoff has an opponent now....I predict he will crack.

...53-47 Karen.