GA-06 runoff poll

[Gass3268]

I live in the district and just spoke to Handel about a month ago.....Ossoff and the Democrats have peaked....it's not longer fun...now it's work....GOP is just getting started.  She has been around a long time....53-47 Karen.

So many platitudes

[Xing]

I'll say Ossoff ekes out a win for now, but it could definitely go either way.

[Lourdes]

Ossoff, the Democrats have too much momentum in the district to lose at this point.

[cinyc]

Ossoff, the Democrats have too much momentum in the district to lose at this point.

The election is in 2 months.  Who knows who will have the momentum in June?  That's two eternities in politics.

I generally don't make predictions, and certainly don't make predictions two months out.  All I can say is that it's a true Tossup at this time.

[Pericles]

Republican vote in first round is 51.02%. Democrat vote is 48.89%. Republicans will be in a stronger position for the second round. Handel will win.

[Shadows]

I can't remember an election where a candidate consolidates more than 95% of all the other opponent's combined vote. Even if HRC lost 9% of the Dem vote to Trump, chances are those 9% etc were all Bernie voters & it would be 16-17% of all Bernie voters lost to Trump (forget Stein/Johnson defection from bernie). Even if those people hold Handel more favorable, will everyone of them turn out for Handel?

I predict Ossoff getting 10-15% of the other GOP vote depending on how the campaign goes. Ossoff 52/53 - Handel 47/48.

[SWE]

Handel wins 52-48 or so.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Ossoff wins 52-48. I doubt every single Republican who voted in the first round will vote for Handel, and right now Ossoff has all the momentum.

[MT Treasurer]

This is not just about consolidating all Republican support. Turnout, the national mood, ground game, Handel's campaign, the Independent vote (yes, I know this district is not very elastic, but even a small number of undecideds could make a difference here) will all be important factors, so I'm not convinced that Ossoff has this in the bag already. Tossup for now, and if I had to call it, 52-48 or 53-47 Handel.

[Skill and Chance]

Ossoff wins 52-48. I doubt every single Republican who voted in the first round will vote for Handel, and right now Ossoff has all the momentum.

I think this is an understated factor in the race.  If you add the 0.8% that voted for other Dems and the 0.9% who voted for the hardcore NeverTrump McMullin-endorsed candidate Abroms, Ossoff is basically there for the runoff, not to mention a few Bob Gray supporters staying home in the runoff.  I think it would be very hard for him to get to 52%, though.

[Kamala]

Ossoff wins 52-48. I doubt every single Republican who voted in the first round will vote for Handel, and right now Ossoff has all the momentum.

I think this is an understated factor in the race.  If you add the 0.8% that voted for other Dems and the 0.9% who voted for the hardcore NeverTrump McMullin-endorsed candidate Abroms, Ossoff is basically there for the runoff, not to mention a few Bob Gray supporters staying home in the runoff.  I think it would be very hard for him to get to 52%, though.

I think you could also add in the .2% of the Woke Muslim guy to Ossoff.

[Skill and Chance]

Ossoff wins 52-48. I doubt every single Republican who voted in the first round will vote for Handel, and right now Ossoff has all the momentum.

I think this is an understated factor in the race.  If you add the 0.8% that voted for other Dems and the 0.9% who voted for the hardcore NeverTrump McMullin-endorsed candidate Abroms, Ossoff is basically there for the runoff, not to mention a few Bob Gray supporters staying home in the runoff.  I think it would be very hard for him to get to 52%, though.

I think you could also add in the .2% of the Woke Muslim guy to Ossoff.

Yes, if Ossoff loses the runoff, it will be because people who voted for him in the 1st round don't show up.

[Tartarus Sauce]

Basically a coin flip right now.

[Ronnie]

The media is going to hype this race so much, to the point that it wouldn't even surprise me if one or more major TV networks air the debate between him and Handel.  For that reason alone, I think turnout is going to be really high, which I would guess benefits Handel more than Ossoff, considering there are just more Republicans in the district than Democrats.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The media is going to hype this race so much, to the point that it wouldn't even surprise me if one or more major TV networks air the debate between him and Handel.  For that reason alone, I think turnout is going to be really high, which I would guess benefits Handel more than Ossoff, considering there are just more Republicans in the district than Democrats.

I don't think the race could possibly get any more local visibility than it already has.

[Angrie]

50.0000000000000000000000000% to 50.0000000000000000000000000% exact tie.

What do they do if this happens? Have a coin toss as the tie breaker, right?

[ReaganLimbaugh]

Handel is actually a pretty good candidate....despite all the excuses and hatred on the left and extremist left she has won statewide and in Fulton (the largest county in the district)

[ReaganLimbaugh]

Handel is actually a pretty good candidate....despite all the excuses and hatred on the left and extremist left she has won statewide and in Fulton (the largest county in the district)

When did that ever happen?

[ReaganLimbaugh]

I'll go with 52-48 for the final outcome. I don't think Ossoff will pick up any further votes--reduced Dem turnout for the runoff will offset any GOPers that stay home rather than voting for Handel.

This is the likely outcome Hammy!

[GeorgiaModerate]

Handel is actually a pretty good candidate....despite all the excuses and hatred on the left and extremist left she has won statewide and in Fulton (the largest county in the district)

When did that ever happen?

She was elected as a Fulton County Commissioner in a 2003 special election, and as Georgia's Secretary of State in 2006.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Handel, probably 56-44.

[Brittain33]

Handel, probably 56-44.

I'm curious about your reasoning here. This presumes that either a number of Ossoff voters drop out between the primary and the runoff, or that Handel consolidates the votes all other Republicans got *and* brings in new voters, or both.

[The Arizonan]

I wonder what would happen if the Republicans aired a dog-whistle campaign ad in which they hinted that Jon Ossoff is Jewish without actually saying it.

Handel, probably 56-44.

I'm curious about your reasoning here. This presumes that either a number of Ossoff voters drop out between the primary and the runoff, or that Handel consolidates the votes all other Republicans got *and* brings in new voters, or both.

A portion of the Democrats that voted in the primary might not even show up and Karen Handel consolidates the Republican share of the vote.

[TheSaint250]

I wonder what would happen if the Republicans aired a dog-whistle campaign ad in which they hinted that Jon Ossoff is Jewish without actually saying it.

Handel, probably 56-44.

I'm curious about your reasoning here. This presumes that either a number of Ossoff voters drop out between the primary and the runoff, or that Handel consolidates the votes all other Republicans got *and* brings in new voters, or both.

A portion of the Democrats that voted in the primary might not even show up and Karen Handel consolidates the Republican share of the vote.

Where would you ever get this idea?

There is no chance this would happen.

[The Arizonan]

I wonder what would happen if the Republicans aired a dog-whistle campaign ad in which they hinted that Jon Ossoff is Jewish without actually saying it.

Handel, probably 56-44.

I'm curious about your reasoning here. This presumes that either a number of Ossoff voters drop out between the primary and the runoff, or that Handel consolidates the votes all other Republicans got *and* brings in new voters, or both.

A portion of the Democrats that voted in the primary might not even show up and Karen Handel consolidates the Republican share of the vote.

Where would you ever get this idea?

There is no chance this would happen.

What makes you so sure? This is the Bible Belt after all and I wouldn't put this crap past the Republican Party.