MT - AL (May 25) Predictions Thread

[The Mikado]

I have it 51-45 for Gianforte.

It's a very boring prediction, though.

[Nyvin]

I'm expecting something like 50-51% to Gianforte.  Something like 4% to third party, the rest to Quist.

People are really over-hyping Quist's chances here.

[Xing]

Gianforte 49%
Quist 47%
Wicks 4%

I'll stand by this, but I honestly have no idea what will happen.

[JGibson]

My final prediction:
Quist (D): 48.8%
Gianforte (R): 45.1%
Wicks (L): 6.1%

[GlobeSoc]

50% Quist (D)
44% Gianforte (R)
6% Wicks (L)

[heatcharger]

Okay, I'll slightly adjust my prediction. I still think Gianforte will win this since most of the ballots have already been cast, but I suppose Wicks will pick up some:

49.9% Gianforte (R)
46.4% Quist (D)
3.7% Wicks (L)

[Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God]

Quist beats Violent Greg <50%.

I'm feeling bold now.  Must be a taste of Violent Greg's super male vitality.

[Horus]

Gianforte - 50
Quist - 46
Wicks - 4

[Mike Thick]

Quist beats Violent Greg <50%.

I'm feeling bold now.  Must be a taste of Violent Greg's super male vitality.

Broke down laughing reading this, in front of my very confused mother

[TheSaint250]

Quist: 47%
Gianforte: 46.5%
Wicks: 5%

[RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm]

Quist 49%
Pianoforte 46%
Wicks 5%

Quist 50.5%
Fortissimo 44%
Wicks 5.5%

[Maxwell]

Quist - 48.1%
The Piano Man - 48%
Wicks - 3.9%

[Technocracy Timmy]

After the misdeamor charge,

Quist 99.99% - Gianforte .01% (marty's vote).

[Ronnie]

Final, final prediction (for real)

Violent Piano: 48.6%
Quist: 47.3%
Wicks: 4.1%

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Part of me wants to change my prediction to a Quist victory, part of me doesn't. I'm honestly not sure what to do now. Something like this has never happened before, LOL.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Gianforte 50%
Quist 45%
Wicks 4%

[Lachi]

Quist 48
Gianforte 46
Wick 6

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Taking into account the bodyslam incident...

Gianforte: 48.5%
Quist: 47%
Wicks: 4.5%

[smoltchanov]

I would like to err, but, IMHO, it's too late to have serious impact (would it be 3=4 days before election - another matter). But it can reduce Gianforte margin. Again - would like to err, but his 3-4% victory seems to be most likely Very well known because of previous race, enough money plus general leaning of the stae and Quist problems. An "ideal" Democratic candidate must be like Bullock or Tester. Quist is different.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

quist +3

[peterthlee]

Tilt D
Quist 49-48

[Mr. Smith]

With the bodyslam into account:

Gianforte: 52% 51%
Quist: 45% 48.6%
Wicks: 3% 2.4%

Decent surge for Quist, and a slight fall for Gianforte and Wicks, but not enough to flip the seat.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

49% Quist
45% Gianforte
4% Wicks

[Niemeyerite]

Quist 48.3%
Gianforte 42.6%
Wicks 8.5%

EDIT:

Quist 48.8%
Gianforte 43.9%
Wicks 7.4%

[Tender Branson]

My final prediction:

50.0% Gianforte (R)
45.8% Quist (D)
  4.1% Wicks (L)
  0.1% Write-Ins