MT - AL (May 25) Predictions Thread

[Classic Conservative]

Quist +6 sadly.

[Progressive]

Quist                       49.5%
Violent snowflake     47.5%
Wicks                      3.0%

[Nyvin]

Gianforte:  50.6%
Quist: 46.6%
Wicks: 3.8%

[windjammer]

Final prediction: Gianforte +1

[Brittain33]

Gianforte 50%
Quist 47%
Wicks 3%

Assuming lower R turnout today and some Rs drifting to Wicks, I'm changing to:

Quist 50%
Gianforte 45%
Wicks 5%

This looks like a big change but really it's just Quist doing 3 points better.

[Beet]

Greg "The Wrestler" Gianforte 49%
Rob "The Nudist BernieBro" Quist 47%
Wicks 4%

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Quist: 53
Pianoforte: 43
Wicks: 4

[ajc0918]

Quist: 53
Pianoforte: 43
Wicks: 4

Umm I wish but no.

[_]

Gianforte 48
Quist 47
Wicks 5

[SoLongAtlas]

Gianforte 49
Quist 43
Wicks 6
Others 2

Even though he doesn't deserve it he still takes it because it's Montana.

[Sorenroy]

If I had to make some wild guesses,

Pre-Assault*
Greg Gianforte — 49.3%
Rob Quist — 46.6%
Mark Wicks — 4.1%

Post-Assault*
Rob Quist — 47.5%
Greg Gianforte — 45.9%
Mark Wicks — 6.6%

*While write-ins are allowed, they do not appear to be reported.

[The Other Castro]

Rob Quist - 49%
Preg Pianoforte - 47%

Keeping my earlier prediction with no change.

[Crumpets]

Gianforte - 46.5
Quist - 44.5
Wicks - 9.0

[McGovernForPrez]

Quist - 50
Crazy Greg - 45
Wicks - 5

I thought Quist would narrowly pull it out before this incident, so this solidifies my belief. With EV leaning Dem, I think Republican turnout will be squashed today or instead go to Quist/Wicks.

[Xing]

Alright, I'll make a last minute adjustment to my prediction, even though I'm totally shooting in the dark here.

Crazy Fortissimo 48.3%
Can't Twist the Quist 47.1%
Wicks 4.6%

I could definitely see Quist pulling this off, but I think yesterday's story broke just a little too late for him to win.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

A little less than 2 hours left, get your predictions in!

[Wells]

Quist 46.2
Gianforte 45.8
Wicks 7.9

[The_Doctor]

Sticking with Pianoforte by 5 because I want to be consistent. But my head and gut is all over the place.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I'll stick with my original prediction too (Gianforte, 49-47), but I'm a lot less confident in it than I was yesterday.  I now think Quist has a decent chance of pulling this out.

[heatcharger]

Okay so this story changed a bit since I last posted, so here are my final predictions:

48.5% Gianforte
47.3% Quist
4.2% Wicks

I really hope I'm wrong, but I don't have much faith.

[Talleyrand]

Gianforte 53
Quist 44
Wicks 3

[windjammer]

Gianforte 53
Quist 44
Wicks 3

You are still so pessimistic following the years lol

[Figueira]

Oh right, I'm supposed to predict the percentages of all the candidates.

Gianforte 48
Quist 47
Wicks 5

[PresidentSamTilden]

Quist 48
Dwayne "Gianforte" Johnson 46
Other dude 5

[Suburbia]

Gianforte 48
Quist 44
Wicks 5

Gianforte is out of there in 2018, Montana Republicans primary challenge him.