What are the most over and under rated demographic trends today? (user search)
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  What are the most over and under rated demographic trends today? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What are the most over and under rated demographic trends today?  (Read 4670 times)
Virginiá
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« on: April 22, 2017, 02:11:04 PM »

Overrated
-The age-gap.  For one, Trump cut significantly into it in 2016, and the Senate races had even smaller ones (or none).  Secondly, while there are more conservative and more liberal age cohorts, all do get somewhat more Republican as they age.

I'd say this aspect is underrated with many people. What you stated, getting more Republican as they age, is a myth. How do you define 'somewhat' more Republican? Even if what you were saying is true, what does it even mean? Are you talking about Millennials voting instead of 36% for a Republican president, they'll vote 40% in 20-30 years? When a party has such a massive advantage with a certain generation of voters, it's not that unreasonable to assume there will be some erosion with support with age, but if you think there will be a massive shift just based on time alone, I'd say you are dead wrong. So far we have young gen'xers entering middle age that still seem to be voting as they did decades ago.

Conservatives who base their ideas on this should also consider what happens if they are wrong, and those young people they ignored for so many years grow up and still reject the Republican Party at similar numbers.
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