What are the most over and under rated demographic trends today? (user search)
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  What are the most over and under rated demographic trends today? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What are the most over and under rated demographic trends today?  (Read 4666 times)
hopper
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Posts: 3,414
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« on: April 22, 2017, 06:00:29 PM »

Overrated
-The age-gap.  For one, Trump cut significantly into it in 2016, and the Senate races had even smaller ones (or none).  Secondly, while there are more conservative and more liberal age cohorts, all do get somewhat more Republican as they age.

Underrated
-The absolute Democratic collapse with Christians (both evangelicals and Catholics), largely due to family values and abortion.  If the Republicans can extend this to religious Hispanics and blacks, the Democrats will have to become socially conservative or be irrelevant for good.

LOL. Yeah, Trump, "grab them by the pussy," "if she weren't my daughter" ((family values)) GOP President. That party? Yeah, you lost that mirage the moment your party even considered nominating him.
Trump isn't gonna be President forever though.
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hopper
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Posts: 3,414
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 22, 2017, 06:04:42 PM »

Overrated
-The age-gap.  For one, Trump cut significantly into it in 2016, and the Senate races had even smaller ones (or none).  Secondly, while there are more conservative and more liberal age cohorts, all do get somewhat more Republican as they age.

Underrated
-The absolute Democratic collapse with Christians (both evangelicals and Catholics), largely due to family values and abortion.  If the Republicans can extend this to religious Hispanics and blacks, the Democrats will have to become socially conservative or be irrelevant for good.

I know you probably want to believe this but no, social conservatism is dying.
I don't think Social Conservatism is dying at all in the "The South" though.
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hopper
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Posts: 3,414
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« Reply #2 on: April 22, 2017, 06:09:27 PM »

Another underrated one:

Liberal whites do not really have many kids anymore and tend not to marry until very late in life, while conservative whites are still having a lot of babies.

Babies that they then kick out of the house at age 14 when they come out of the closet.
Maybe 20 years ago that was the case but not today except if you live in "The South".
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hopper
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Posts: 3,414
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« Reply #3 on: April 22, 2017, 06:13:18 PM »

Another underrated one:

Liberal whites do not really have many kids anymore and tend not to marry until very late in life, while conservative whites are still having a lot of babies.
I think the only High Birth Rate demographic is Foreign Born-Hispanic Women currently. I don't think Non-Hispanic White Women Republicans are having any more or any less babies than Non-Hispanic White Democrat Women.
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hopper
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Posts: 3,414
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« Reply #4 on: April 29, 2017, 03:27:05 PM »

Another underrated one:

Liberal whites do not really have many kids anymore and tend not to marry until very late in life, while conservative whites are still having a lot of babies.






I didn't know the Muslim Birth Rate was that high but it could have slowed down since '03 though.
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hopper
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Posts: 3,414
United States


« Reply #5 on: April 29, 2017, 03:30:03 PM »

Growing Hispanic populations in certain rural meatpacking areas.
Nah Hispanic Populations in some rural meatpacking areas is neither underrated or overrated in my opinion.
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hopper
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Posts: 3,414
United States


« Reply #6 on: April 29, 2017, 03:57:49 PM »

Underrated: how much of the suburban D trend is due to minorities moving in.

Overrated: Rhode Island's R trend, suburban D trend (a lot of suburbs actually trended towards Trump). Also Virginia's D trend is slightly overrated, although it does exist.
Yeah I don't see RI going R at the Presidential Level in the future although the state isn't as socially liberal as its neighbor MA.

As far as the suburban D trend goes the LA, Houston and Dallas Burb's had a moderate D trend as well as the Northern Virginia Burb's.

Yeah Trump did do well in some suburban areas like in the Detroit Burb's like in Macomb and Saginaw Counties. He actually won NY-18 CD too in the Hudson Valley area of New York State.  
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