2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread

[Young Conservative]

When you think politics can't get any stranger:

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Bears a strong resemblance to the plot from a certain episode of Frasier.

Frighteningly so.

[McGovernForPrez]

When you think politics can't get any stranger:

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Only in Florida could this possibly happen.

[ajc0918]

Charlie Crist raised $353K in the third quarter and now has $1.4M in cash on hand.

http://floridapolitics.com/archives/247002-charlie-crist-adds-353k-q3-re-election-fund

[The Other Castro]

When you think politics can't get any stranger:

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Endorsed.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Mike Turner didn't raise all that much; I'd keep an eye on him as a dark horse retirement possibility.

[Kamala]

I saw on DKE that Rosen has raised $1.2 mil in Q3 and has about the same amount in COH.

[Ebsy]

I threw together fundraising numbers for all the GOP incumbents rated at less than Safe GOP. Some interesting members in the lowest echelon.

[Kamala]

Wow @ McSally. That is a solid haul.

Doesn't look like Knight or Rohrabacher want to be reelected. 145k and 182k will not go far in the LA media market, I assume. They have decent war chests, but LA is expensive...

[Ebsy]

McSally is always raking in insane amounts of cash for someone of her seniority. Donors see (saw?) her as a rising star in the GOP conference and there is likely speculation that she will one day be Speaker. Her's is probably the seat that the GOP will spend the most on to hold.

[Dr. Arch]

Money means nothing.

[windjammer]

I think Mcsally is mulling a senate bid.

[windjammer]

BOLD PREDICTION: Flake will be forced to retire and Mcsally will run.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

BOLD PREDICTION: Flake will be forced to retire and Mcsally will run.

I think they're keeping her on reserve for whenever McCain dies.  Fortunately, unlike Sinema, Stanton should be strong enough to beat McSally (who may well go down this year).

[GeorgiaModerate]

OK-5 is unlikely to flip, but it's interesting that incumbent Steve Russell has been outraised by Democratic newcomer Kendra Horn: http://newsok.com/fundraising-figures-show-a-contentious-oklahoma-city-congressional-race/article/5568279

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I think the fact that so many Republicans are getting outraised (some like Barr, Freelinghuysen, Bishop, Grothman, etc getting absolutely crushed) is another sign that there is a real wave building and a big one.

[mcmikk]

iirc Randy Bryce banked around $1 million or so in Q3.

[Oryxslayer]

Anyone got LoBoindo's numbers? I have had him pegged as a potential retirement since Reichart pulled the plug.

On McSally, I have (regretfully) been expecting McCain to announce his retirement over winter break as reports keep coming out that he is operating on limited time. Finish up the year, close all the books, that sort of thing. His votes on Healthcare certainly looked like a man with little left to lose. Once he retire, McSally is the obvious heir apparent.

[Young Conservative]

I think the fact that so many Republicans are getting outraised (some like Barr, Freelinghuysen, Bishop, Grothman, etc getting absolutely crushed) is another sign that there is a real wave building and a big one.

GOP donors will wait for polls before dropping major cash.

[Webnicz]

BOLD PREDICTION: Flake will be forced to retire and Mcsally will run.

I think they're keeping her on reserve for whenever McCain dies.  Fortunately, unlike Sinema, Stanton should be strong enough to beat McSally (who may well go down this year).

If you think Sinema is "weak"(even though she isn't, she's a stronger candidate than most democrats incumbents) wait until news drops about Stanton's involvement wasting hundreds of millions of tax payer money to buy a hotels some sort of government run business. It hasn't hit the news much yet and I assume you havent heard about it but now that Stanton is running for congress the republicans will go to town for wasteful spending like this. AZ is not a place thats nice to fiscal irresponsibility. I can already see the ads telling voters about Stanton's irresponsible stunt to make a communist government owned business with our tax dollars and then eventually loosing tens of millions.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

BOLD PREDICTION: Flake will be forced to retire and Mcsally will run.

I think they're keeping her on reserve for whenever McCain dies.  Fortunately, unlike Sinema, Stanton should be strong enough to beat McSally (who may well go down this year).

If you think Sinema is "weak"(even though she isn't, she's a stronger candidate than most democrats incumbents) wait until news drops about Stanton's involvement wasting hundreds of millions of tax payer money to buy a hotels some sort of government run business. It hasn't hit the news much yet and I assume you havent heard about it but now that Stanton is running for congress the republicans will go to town for wasteful spending like this. AZ is not a place thats nice to fiscal irresponsibility. I can already see the ads telling voters about Stanton's irresponsible stunt to make a communist government owned business with our tax dollars and then eventually loosing tens of millions.

I never said Sinema was a weak candidate, so I'm not sure why that is in quotes.  However, unlike Stanton, she has some major baggage.  I actually did know about the hotel thing (I looked it up because you mention it almost literally every time someone mentions Stanton's name ).  I don't think it is anywhere near as bad as you've made it out to be, at least politically.  I don't think it'll cause Stanton any real problems during his political career although I get that you are personally really pissed about it.

[SamTilden2020]

John Faso raised 843K so far this year:

https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/H6NY19169/

[GeorgiaModerate]

CNN, Oct 12-15

Among adults: 51 D, 37 R

Among RV: 54 D, 38 R

[Person Man]

CNN, Oct 12-15

Among adults: 51 D, 37 R

Among RV: 54 D, 38 R

I was going to post this. Sucks for them...

Let's say undecideds 2:4:1 ish R:I:D. That would be like 56-42-2. What would that give us?

[GeorgiaModerate]

CNN, Oct 12-15

Among adults: 51 D, 37 R

Among RV: 54 D, 38 R

I was going to post this. Sucks for them...

Let's say undecideds 2:4:1 ish R:I:D. That would be like 56-42-2. What would that give us?

Speaker Pelosi.

[Gustaf]

CNN, Oct 12-15

Among adults: 51 D, 37 R

Among RV: 54 D, 38 R

I was going to post this. Sucks for them...

Let's say undecideds 2:4:1 ish R:I:D. That would be like 56-42-2. What would that give us?

Speaker Pelosi.

Tied Senate.

I'm not sure much can be meaningfully inferred for the Senate from the GCB though. That's all down to individual races. Though I guess a landslide like this would suggest a general D wave.