2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread
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  2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread  (Read 229941 times)
Holmes
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« Reply #375 on: July 24, 2017, 05:11:05 PM »

Why wet your pants over the possibility of an R vs R runoff in a top two primary a year out from the primary itself? Sounds like they just want to scare people for the sake of scaring them.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #376 on: July 25, 2017, 02:44:39 PM »

Chart from Brookings on the number of House challengers who have raised >$5000 by this point each election cycle:


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McGovernForPrez
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« Reply #377 on: July 25, 2017, 03:13:45 PM »

Chart from Brookings on the number of House challengers who have raised >$5000 by this point each election cycle:



I really would love to see what the correlation between these numbers overall house pickups mean. Just based off of the the graph shown there must be some sort of correlation.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #378 on: July 25, 2017, 03:30:15 PM »

Chart from Brookings on the number of House challengers who have raised >$5000 by this point each election cycle:



I really would love to see what the correlation between these numbers overall house pickups mean. Just based off of the the graph shown there must be some sort of correlation.

Ask and you shall receive:



X-axis is D advantage in recruits and the Y-axis is D gains in the House. 0.9055 is a pretty strong correlation, but if the formula is to be believed, Democrats are set to gain 260 seats next year, which is 19 seats more than Congress has. You heard it here first, folks.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #379 on: July 27, 2017, 10:57:08 AM »

EMILY's List might be recruiting outgoing State Rep. Alicia Reece to run against Steve Chabot in OH-01.
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #380 on: July 27, 2017, 12:21:15 PM »

Portune who be the better recruit
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #381 on: July 27, 2017, 01:41:48 PM »


Yeah, probably. More crossover appeal and represents more of the district already.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #382 on: July 27, 2017, 02:47:34 PM »


Reece would be a weak candidate.  Portune or even Sittenfield would be far better!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #383 on: July 27, 2017, 02:56:38 PM »

EMILY's List doesn't endorse or back dudes.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #384 on: July 31, 2017, 11:03:35 AM »

State Rep. Tom Patton (R) has announced for OH-16 which is being vacated by Jim Renacci in hopes of running for Governor.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #385 on: July 31, 2017, 03:33:41 PM »


Active unionist and active pro-lifer..... Interesting combination, and not so rare in Midwest...
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #386 on: July 31, 2017, 03:38:52 PM »


Less rare in Ohio than in other parts of the midwest.

Forgot that Patton running actually means there's going to be a decently serious Republican primary for the 16th, since state Rep. Christina Hagan announced months ago.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #387 on: July 31, 2017, 06:31:39 PM »


Interesting profile.
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #388 on: July 31, 2017, 06:37:04 PM »

I recall back in May that Michael Hein said he would announce by the end of July if he runs aganist Faso. Anyone got updates on that?
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ajc0918
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« Reply #389 on: August 01, 2017, 08:42:57 AM »

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell will announce a challenge to Carlos Curbelo (FL-26)

http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/curbelo-draws-democratic-challenger-in-swing-florida-district/2332195
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OkThen
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« Reply #390 on: August 01, 2017, 10:23:50 AM »

Impressive intro for Dem challenger to Andy Barr in KY-06

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CcjG2fK7kNk
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #391 on: August 01, 2017, 10:48:41 AM »


Jim Gray should still run. He won KY-06 by six last year. KY was a blowout for the GOP, and it's doubly impressive because Gray's gay.
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windjammer
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« Reply #392 on: August 01, 2017, 10:52:27 AM »

Solid candidate!!!
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KingSweden
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« Reply #393 on: August 01, 2017, 12:23:46 PM »


Jim Gray should still run. He won KY-06 by six last year. KY was a blowout for the GOP, and it's doubly impressive because Gray's gay.

Yeah I liked Gray. Still, impressive video intro
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #394 on: August 02, 2017, 02:12:28 AM »


Darn! At the time of this post, the video was #2 trending in the entire world! Totally endorsed!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #395 on: August 02, 2017, 10:18:54 AM »

Morning Consult/Politico, July 27-29, 1972 RV (MOE 2%)

D 44
R 37
Undecided 19
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KingSweden
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« Reply #396 on: August 02, 2017, 03:42:13 PM »


Darn! At the time of this post, the video was #2 trending in the entire world! Totally endorsed!

*whistles*
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Holmes
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« Reply #397 on: August 02, 2017, 04:53:32 PM »
« Edited: August 02, 2017, 05:03:14 PM by Holmes »


Jim Gray should still run. He won KY-06 by six last year. KY was a blowout for the GOP, and it's doubly impressive because Gray's gay.

Jim Gray was from Lexington though, but yeah, I don't think that's insignificant. McGrath seems like a good candidate on paper.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #398 on: August 02, 2017, 08:02:27 PM »


Jim Gray should still run. He won KY-06 by six last year. KY was a blowout for the GOP, and it's doubly impressive because Gray's gay.

I like Gray (in the non gay way) and think he has a lot of potential, and could definitely win, but McGrath is just in a totally higher league.
Jim Gray was from Lexington though, but yeah, I don't think that's insignificant. McGrath seems like a good candidate on paper.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #399 on: August 02, 2017, 08:07:17 PM »

Michael Grimm is thinking about primarying Donovan http://www.ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/politics/2017/08/2/michael-grimm-eyeing-run-for-congress-sources-say-staten-island-dan-donovan.html
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