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April 26, 2024, 08:27:01 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  OSSOFF
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Author Topic: OSSOFF  (Read 6991 times)
Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #25 on: May 07, 2017, 03:38:20 PM »

What did the first round of California's gubernatorial look like?
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Progressive
jro660
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« Reply #26 on: May 07, 2017, 04:33:54 PM »

What did the first round of California's gubernatorial look like?

California Primary
Gavin Newsom (D)           31%
Antonio Villaraigosa (D)    16%
Steve Poizner (R)             16% *supported by Trump*
John Chiang (D)               14%
John Cox (R)                    11%
Delaine Estin (D)               5%
Phil Angelides (D)              5%
Rosey Grier (R turned I)     2%

California General
Gavin Newsom (D)          58%
Antonio Villaraigosa (D)   42%
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Gass3268
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« Reply #27 on: May 07, 2017, 04:43:48 PM »

I believe that Georgia requires a run-off if no candidate receives a majority. Also Nevada would be a pickup for Democrats.
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Progressive
jro660
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« Reply #28 on: May 07, 2017, 04:50:08 PM »

I believe that Georgia requires a run-off if no candidate receives a majority. Also Nevada would be a pickup for Democrats.

Thanks fixed!
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Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #29 on: May 08, 2017, 12:10:07 AM »

What did the first round of California's gubernatorial look like?

California Primary
Gavin Newsom (D)           31%
Antonio Villaraigosa (D)    16%
Steve Poizner (R)             16% *supported by Trump*
John Chiang (D)               14%
John Cox (R)                    11%
Delaine Estin (D)               5%
Phil Angelides (D)              5%
Rosey Grier (R turned I)     2%

California General
Gavin Newsom (D)          58%
Antonio Villaraigosa (D)   42%

Interesting - thanks!
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VPH
vivaportugalhabs
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« Reply #30 on: May 08, 2017, 11:18:10 AM »

How did the Kansas primaries turn out on either side?
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NHI
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« Reply #31 on: May 08, 2017, 07:22:33 PM »
« Edited: May 08, 2017, 07:27:12 PM by NHI »

Yay Chris Sununu lost!
Also, great timeline!!
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #32 on: May 09, 2017, 12:41:50 PM »

Yay Chris Sununu lost!
Also, great timeline!!
What's so great, from your perspective, of Chris losing?
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Progressive
jro660
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« Reply #33 on: May 11, 2017, 10:52:13 AM »

How did the Kansas primaries turn out on either side?

Kansas General

Josh Svaty (D)         45%   +1 D
Kris Kobach (R)        44%
Ed O'Malley (I)         11%

Kansas (D) Primary

Josh Svaty               69%
Nicole Corcoran       31%   *former Sebelius aide*

Kansas (R) Primary

Kris Kobach           50%
Derek Schmidt       44% *Koch backed, relatively anti-Trump*
Wink Hartman         6%

HOUSE RESULTS COMING NEXT!


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jro660
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« Reply #34 on: May 20, 2017, 10:21:40 AM »
« Edited: May 26, 2017, 03:52:08 PM by Progressive »

2018 Midterm Elections
Part 1 of House Results: COMPETITIVE SEATS ALASKA - COLORADO


AK  **incumbent Young did not run again due to health issue**
Ethan Berkowitz (D)   51%  +1D
Sean Parnell (R)        44%

AZ-1
Tom O'Halleran* (D)  54%
Steve Smith (R)        42%

AZ-2
Matt Heinz (D)            49.4% +1D
Martha McSally (R)      49.2%

CA-7
Ami Bera* (D)   54%
Scott Jones (R)  46%

CA-10
Jose Hernandez (D) 51% +1D
Jeff Denham* (R)    49%

CA-21 *received substantial support from Clinton political apparatus*
Amanda Renteria (D)  53.5% +1D
David Valadao* (R)    46.5%

CA-25 *Galperin lives just outside the district but ran anyway*
Ron Galperin (D)   52%  +1D
Steve Knight* (R) 48%

CA-39 *Sanchez moved into the district*
Linda Sanchez (D)   50.3%  +1D
Ed Royce* (R)         49.7%

CA-45
Sharon Quirk-Silva (D)  50.5% +1D
Mimi Walters* (R)         49.5%

CA-48
Dana Rohrbacher* (R)   53%
Matt Harper (D)            47%

CA-49
Doug Applegate (D)  55% +1D
Darrell Issa* (R)      45%

CO-06
Andrew Romanoff (D)    52%  +1D
Mike Coffman* (R)        45%

FLORIDA - ILLINOIS COMPETITIVE HOUSE RESULTS TO BE POSTED NEXT

1. If you would like to see a race not mentioned here for Alaska - Colorado, let me know.
2. Let me know how you  think the night will turn out!
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wjx987
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« Reply #35 on: May 20, 2017, 10:32:14 AM »

Darrel Issa should most certainly be gone if you have people like Royce, Knight, Walters and Denham getting defeated. He was reelected by a thinner margin than any of these in 2016.
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Progressive
jro660
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« Reply #36 on: May 20, 2017, 11:15:40 AM »

Darrel Issa should most certainly be gone if you have people like Royce, Knight, Walters and Denham getting defeated. He was reelected by a thinner margin than any of these in 2016.

Sorry about that, I thought I included him. Done Smiley
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America Needs R'hllor
Parrotguy
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« Reply #37 on: May 20, 2017, 11:29:40 AM »

Awh, Rohrbacher stayed Sad Great job, waiting for more!
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Progressive
jro660
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« Reply #38 on: May 26, 2017, 02:17:19 PM »

2018 Midterm Elections
Part 2 of House Results: COMPETITIVE SEATS FLORIDA - ILLINOIS


FL-06
Milissa Holland (D)  49.8% (top OurRevolution target) +1D
Ron DeSantis* (R)  49.6%

FL-07
Stephanie Murphy* (D)  53%
Patricia Mica (R)            46%

FL-13
Charlie Crist* (D)   52.5%
David Jolly (R)       47.0%

FL-15
Dennis Ross* (R)             53%
Cameron Magnuson (D)   46% (top OurRevolution target)

FL-18
Patrick Murphy (D)   51% +1D
Brian Mast* (R)       46%

FL-25
Mario Diaz-Balart* (R) 51%
J.C. Bermudez (D)      47%

FL-26
Annette Taddeo (D)  50% +1D
Carlos Curbelo* (R)  48%

FL-27
Jose Javier Rodriguez (D)  54% +1D
Raquel Regalado (R)         43%

GA-06
Jon Ossoff* (D)   54%
Bob Gray (R)       45%

GA-09
Rick Allen* (R)     53%
John Barrow (D)   46%

ID-01
Dave Bieter (D)      47.3%   +1D
David Leroy (R)      46.0%
Remainder was an Evan McMullin-backed candidate

IL-06
Kelly Mazeski (D)   50% (Bernie Sanders campaigned for her day before election) +1D
Pete Roskam* (R)  49%

IL-08
Brad Schneider* (D) 55% (Hillary Clinton and Michelle Obama held a rally for him)
Jeremy Wyner  (R)   44%

IL-12
Mike Bost* (R)        52%
William Enyart (D)   47%
**hugely controversial primary: Our Revolution and others backed a primary candidate who lost to Enyart by 80 votes. Happy to discuss.**

IL-13
Tari Renner (D)         49.6% +1D
Rodney Davis* (R)    49.1%

IL-14
Randy Hultgren* (R)  54%
Victoria Swanson (D) 45% (Sanders robocalled for her)

IL-17
Cheri Bustos* (D)    63%
Patrick Harland (R)  36%

As always if you want more details about the races, feel free to ask!

NEXT UP: Indiana - Nebraska


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P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
razze
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #39 on: May 26, 2017, 04:08:09 PM »

FL-18
Patrick Murphy (D)   51% +1D
Brian Mast* (R)       46%

FL-25
Mario Diaz-Balart* (R) 51%
J.C. Bermudez (D)      47%

FL-26
Annette Taddeo (D)  50% +1D
Carlos Curbelo* (R)  48%

FL-27
Jose Javier Rodriguez (D)  54% +1D
Raquel Regalado (R)         43%
Dream scenario right here!
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Hoosier_Nick
Nicholas_Roberts
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« Reply #40 on: May 26, 2017, 07:00:51 PM »

Excited for Indiana's!
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #41 on: May 26, 2017, 08:24:17 PM »

I can't see Rohrbacher holding on even as Jeff Denham loses by two percent.
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Progressive
jro660
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« Reply #42 on: May 26, 2017, 08:28:35 PM »

I can't see Rohrbacher holding on even as Jeff Denham loses by two percent.

His opponent was a Republican Assemblyman turned Democrat who finagled his way into a primary and ran a horrendous, Shakespearean-style embarrassing campaign.
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Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
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« Reply #43 on: May 26, 2017, 08:30:54 PM »

I can't see Rohrbacher holding on even as Jeff Denham loses by two percent.

His opponent was a Republican Assemblyman turned Democrat who finagled his way into a primary and ran a horrendous, Shakespearean-style embarrassing campaign.
In a typical wave, there's going to be one or two "survivors" here and there.
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#gravelgang #lessiglad
Serious_Username
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« Reply #44 on: June 02, 2017, 01:12:43 PM »

2018 Midterm Elections
Part 2 of House Results: COMPETITIVE SEATS FLORIDA - ILLINOIS


IL-14
Randy Hultgren* (R)  54%
Victoria Swanson (D) 45% (Sanders robocalled for her)



What happened to Jim Walz?
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #45 on: June 03, 2017, 04:52:11 PM »

Interesting to see Stephanie Murphy hold on in FL-07.
Also, plz more details on the Bost-Enyart race. Tongue
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #46 on: June 03, 2017, 05:03:35 PM »

I can't see Rohrbacher holding on even as Jeff Denham loses by two percent.

His opponent was a Republican Assemblyman turned Democrat who finagled his way into a primary and ran a horrendous, Shakespearean-style embarrassing campaign.
In a typical wave, there's going to be one or two "survivors" here and there.
Yeah, but Denham seems quite a bit more likely to be a survivor than Rohrbacher in my opinion.
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Progressive
jro660
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« Reply #47 on: June 08, 2017, 08:32:55 PM »

On hold until the GA-06 special so I can use more graphics, context, etc.
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kyc0705
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« Reply #48 on: June 21, 2017, 08:54:15 AM »
« Edited: June 21, 2017, 08:58:23 AM by kyc0705 »

On June 20, 2017 Jon Ossoff won the Georgia's 6th Congressional District Special Election with 53.2% to Karen Handel's 46.8%.

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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #49 on: June 21, 2017, 08:55:07 AM »

This TL ought to continue regardless of OTL events.
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