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April 29, 2017, 08:32:53 pm
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| | |-+  What is more likely to be overturned by the Supreme Court within a decade
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Question: Which of these two cases are more likely to be overturned by the Supreme Court in the future
Roe v Wade   -30 (78.9%)
Obergefell v Hodges   -8 (21.1%)
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Total Voters: 38

Author Topic: What is more likely to be overturned by the Supreme Court within a decade  (Read 535 times)
Medal506
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« on: April 20, 2017, 10:36:40 pm »
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My prediction is Ginsburg or Kennedy will step down by 2019 giving Trump another vacancy which would tilt the Supreme Court 5-4 conservative. If Donald Trump is re elected in 2020 then he will likely get another two vacancies on the Supreme Court possibly even 3 if Thomas decides to retire which would make the Supreme Court 6-3 or 7-2 conservative. My prediction is Obergefell v Hodges will be overturned by 2025.
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anthony1691
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E: -7.74, S: -4.87

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« Reply #1 on: April 20, 2017, 10:45:06 pm »
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I doubt that either will happen, but probably Roe V. Wade as abortion is currently a more controversial issue than gay marriage.
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ExtremeRepublican
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E: 10.00, S: 8.96

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« Reply #2 on: April 20, 2017, 11:08:16 pm »
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This isn't even a question.  Even the most conservative courts would probably ignore a full rehearing of Obergefell, but they might entertain allowing individual judges or counties to abstain from partaking in gay weddings (and would certainly side with florists, bakers, and the like).  On the other hand, while I am somewhat concerned about Roberts's vote, overturning Roe is a common promise on the right today and the votes could theoretically be there by the end of 2017.
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TimTurner
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« Reply #3 on: April 21, 2017, 12:30:32 pm »
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I doubt that either will happen, but probably Roe V. Wade as abortion is currently a more controversial issue than gay marriage.
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Peebs
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« Reply #4 on: April 21, 2017, 02:32:05 pm »
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I doubt that either will happen, but probably Roe V. Wade as abortion is currently a more controversial issue than gay marriage.
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jfern
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« Reply #5 on: April 25, 2017, 02:24:24 am »
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Unless you just crawled out of a cave you entered several years ago, it's obviously option 1.
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #6 on: April 25, 2017, 06:06:23 pm »
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Neither
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Moderate Republican. #AmericaFirst
Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #7 on: April 27, 2017, 02:08:47 am »
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Neither
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Ichabod
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« Reply #8 on: April 27, 2017, 11:07:27 pm »
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This isn't even a question.  Even the most conservative courts would probably ignore a full rehearing of Obergefell, but they might entertain allowing individual judges or counties to abstain from partaking in gay weddings (and would certainly side with florists, bakers, and the like).  On the other hand, while I am somewhat concerned about Roberts's vote, overturning Roe is a common promise on the right today and the votes could theoretically be there by the end of 2017.

People believed votes actually are to overturn Roe v. Wade in 1992, but it didn't happen.
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