DCCC Top Congressional Recruits in 2018

[jbm4pres]

Just for fun who do you think should be the top recruits for Democrats in your state?

VA-02: Senators Lynwood Lewis or Monty Mason

VA-05: Former Delegate Ward Armstrong or Secretary of Commerce Todd Haymore

VA-07: Might be smart to look for a military or business type here. The bench isn't very big but R+6 seats are in play given recent Democratic performance. Maybe a member of the Ukrop family can parachute in from Richmond.

Who do you think would be the best potential candidate for congress in 2018 in your state?

[Dr. Arch]

Ron Kind for all districts except MKE and Madison's.

[Kamala]

SD-AL: Brendan Johnson. Jason Frerichs. Maybe even SHS if we want to do a retread.

[GoldenMainer]

ME-02: Troy Jackson

[Figueira]

Hmmm, that's a tough one.

[MarkD]

Scott Sifton for MO-02.

[Figueira]

Not that this matters in terms of House control, but I'd ideally like someone other than Brianna Wu and Stephen Lynch in MA-08. No idea who, though.

[Hindsight was 2020]

NY 01- Fred Thiele
NY 02- Steve Bellone
NY 11- Michael McMahon
NY 19- Michael Hein
NY 24- Stephanie Miner

[BuckeyeNut]

OH-01: Hamilton County Clerk of Courts Aftab Pureval or Cincinatti City Councilman P.G. Sittenfeld
OH-06: Former State Senator Lou Gentile
OH-10: Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley or Montgomery County Auditor Karl Keith
OH-12: ?
OH-14: Former U.S. Attorney Steve Dettelbach or State Senator Sean O'Brien, maybe former Congressman John Boccieri
OH-15: ?
OH-16: State Rep. Nick Celebrezze

DCCC should save its money in the 2nd, 4th, 5th, 7th, and 8th; even in a wave.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

The entire congressional delegation is blue in my two homestates

(CT and NH)

OH-14: Former U.S. Attorney Steve Dettelbach or State Senator Sean O'Brien, maybe former Congressman John Boccieri

Isn't Dettelbach running for AG?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

OH-01: Hamilton County Clerk of Courts Aftab Pureval or Cincinatti City Councilman P.G. Sittenfeld
OH-06: Former State Senator Lou Gentile
OH-10: Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley or Montgomery County Auditor Karl Keith
OH-12: ?
OH-14: Former U.S. Attorney Steve Dettelbach or State Senator Sean O'Brien, maybe former Congressman John Boccieri
OH-15: ?
OH-16: State Rep. Nick Celebrezze

DCCC should save its money in the 2nd, 4th, 5th, 7th, and 8th; even in a wave.

I'd remove Boccieri from CD-14 and add state representative John Patterson.  I'd have think about the best candidate, but OH-7 is winnable in a wave.

[BuckeyeNut]

OH-01: Hamilton County Clerk of Courts Aftab Pureval or Cincinatti City Councilman P.G. Sittenfeld
OH-06: Former State Senator Lou Gentile
OH-10: Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley or Montgomery County Auditor Karl Keith
OH-12: ?
OH-14: Former U.S. Attorney Steve Dettelbach or State Senator Sean O'Brien, maybe former Congressman John Boccieri
OH-15: ?
OH-16: State Rep. Nick Celebrezze

DCCC should save its money in the 2nd, 4th, 5th, 7th, and 8th; even in a wave.

I'd remove Boccieri from CD-14 and add state representative John Patterson.  I'd have think about the best candidate, but OH-7 is winnable in a wave.

A big wave, I guess. OH-16 would be largely skippable if it weren't for Gentile.

The sad thing is not being able to think of anyone in the 15th. Athens mayor Steve Patterson is pretty damn likable. He has small business and military experience, plus he used to teach. But no clue if he'd be up for it.

[Heisenberg]

The sad thing is not being able to think of anyone in the 15th. Athens mayor Steve Patterson is pretty damn likable, but no clue if he'd be up for it.

I don't think he could even win the primary. Athens is on the extreme edge of the district, which is mostly a Columbus district by weight of population.

[BuckeyeNut]

The sad thing is not being able to think of anyone in the 15th. Athens mayor Steve Patterson is pretty damn likable, but no clue if he'd be up for it.

I don't think he could even win the primary. Athens is on the extreme edge of the district, which is mostly a Columbus district by weight of population.

Eh. Franklin County suburbs, yes. The actual city, less so. It'd probably be best to go with a Democrat with more rural appeal than someone like Senator Tavares, who's current turf fits in the district, but is way too liberal for it.

[Heisenberg]

The sad thing is not being able to think of anyone in the 15th. Athens mayor Steve Patterson is pretty damn likable, but no clue if he'd be up for it.

I don't think he could even win the primary. Athens is on the extreme edge of the district, which is mostly a Columbus district by weight of population.

Eh. Franklin County suburbs, yes. The actual city, less so. It'd probably be best to go with a Democrat with more rural appeal than someone like Senator Tavares, who's current turf fits in the district, but is way too liberal for it.

Sorry, I should have said "Columbus area/metro" instead. Still, I think for a Democrat to win, it'd have to be one who'd do well in the Columbus area suburbs. Athens will always go heavily Democrat. Just curious, you didn't think Mary Jo Kilroy would be the Democrats' best recruit?

I'd have think about the best candidate, but OH-7 is winnable in a wave.

How? It already has a double-digit R PVI and I don't think the Democrats even have a decent bench there.

[Rjjr77]

OH-01: Hamilton County Clerk of Courts Aftab Pureval or Cincinatti City Councilman P.G. Sittenfeld
OH-06: Former State Senator Lou Gentile
OH-10: Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley or Montgomery County Auditor Karl Keith
OH-12: ?
OH-14: Former U.S. Attorney Steve Dettelbach or State Senator Sean O'Brien, maybe former Congressman John Boccieri
OH-15: ?
OH-16: State Rep. Nick Celebrezze

DCCC should save its money in the 2nd, 4th, 5th, 7th, and 8th; even in a wave.

I'd remove Boccieri from CD-14 and add state representative John Patterson.  I'd have think about the best candidate, but OH-7 is winnable in a wave.

OH 7 would be really tough for Dems, i assume it is technically possible but recruiting a candidate would be really really hard there.

[Rjjr77]

OH-01: Hamilton County Clerk of Courts Aftab Pureval or Cincinatti City Councilman P.G. Sittenfeld
OH-06: Former State Senator Lou Gentile
OH-10: Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley or Montgomery County Auditor Karl Keith
OH-12: ?
OH-14: Former U.S. Attorney Steve Dettelbach or State Senator Sean O'Brien, maybe former Congressman John Boccieri
OH-15: ?
OH-16: State Rep. Nick Celebrezze

DCCC should save its money in the 2nd, 4th, 5th, 7th, and 8th; even in a wave.

I'd remove Boccieri from CD-14 and add state representative John Patterson.  I'd have think about the best candidate, but OH-7 is winnable in a wave.

A big wave, I guess. OH-16 would be largely skippable if it weren't for Gentile.

The sad thing is not being able to think of anyone in the 15th. Athens mayor Steve Patterson is pretty damn likable. He has small business and military experience, plus he used to teach. But no clue if he'd be up for it.

Jennifer Brunner for 15?

[BuckeyeNut]

The sad thing is not being able to think of anyone in the 15th. Athens mayor Steve Patterson is pretty damn likable, but no clue if he'd be up for it.

I don't think he could even win the primary. Athens is on the extreme edge of the district, which is mostly a Columbus district by weight of population.

Eh. Franklin County suburbs, yes. The actual city, less so. It'd probably be best to go with a Democrat with more rural appeal than someone like Senator Tavares, who's current turf fits in the district, but is way too liberal for it.

Sorry, I should have said "Columbus area/metro" instead. Still, I think for a Democrat to win, it'd have to be one who'd do well in the Columbus area suburbs. Athens will always go heavily Democrat. Just curious, you didn't think Mary Jo Kilroy would be the Democrats' best recruit?

There's no reason to think someone from Athens wouldn't perform well in the metro area. Though the twice failed Scott Wharton is certainly an argument against a purely rural candidate. Kilroy was great, but she's a lot more focused on the city now, and I doubt she'd want to run against Stivers again. He's decently well liked and rolling in cash as NRCC chair.

The 15th seems to be falling into the trap of the 10th. That is, a relatively moderate district is cementing around an otherwise beatable incumbent. Stivers will likely soon be entrenched.

[publicunofficial]

WA-03: Probably Monica Stonier? Dean Takko is unlikely to run, and all the other strong Democratic candidates in this area live in Aberdeen which is in WA-06.

WA-08: Mark Mullet or Pat Sullivan

[Kamala]

WA-03: Probably Monica Stonier? Dean Takko is unlikely to run, and all the other strong Democratic candidates in this area live in Aberdeen which is in WA-06.

WA-08: Mark Mullet or Pat Sullivan

How popular are Newhouse and McMorris Rodgers? Are they at all beatable?

[Seattle]

WA-03: Probably Monica Stonier? Dean Takko is unlikely to run, and all the other strong Democratic candidates in this area live in Aberdeen which is in WA-06.

WA-08: Mark Mullet or Pat Sullivan

How popular are Newhouse and McMorris Rodgers? Are they at all beatable?

Newhouse is definitely not beatable. And if a Clint Didier or some other non-random R candidate runs in the primary, it could easily lead to the an R-R general election for the third time in as many elections.

McMorris Rodgers is entrenched and fairly popular. It would take a mighty wave to unseat her, though she's already being challenged by a decent candidate (a Spokane city councilman).

[publicunofficial]

WA-03: Probably Monica Stonier? Dean Takko is unlikely to run, and all the other strong Democratic candidates in this area live in Aberdeen which is in WA-06.

WA-08: Mark Mullet or Pat Sullivan

How popular are Newhouse and McMorris Rodgers? Are they at all beatable?

Newhouse is a generic R with no notable features whatsoever, but his district is extremely Republican, there are pretty much zero elected Democrats in the district (Even the Mayor of Yakima is a Republican).

WA-05 arguably already has one of the best possible candidates in Ben Stuckart. Besides him I would point to State Rep. Marcus Ricelli.

[Kamala]

WA-03: Probably Monica Stonier? Dean Takko is unlikely to run, and all the other strong Democratic candidates in this area live in Aberdeen which is in WA-06.

WA-08: Mark Mullet or Pat Sullivan

How popular are Newhouse and McMorris Rodgers? Are they at all beatable?

Newhouse is a generic R with no notable features whatsoever, but his district is extremely Republican, there are pretty much zero elected Democrats in the district (Even the Mayor of Yakima is a Republican).

WA-05 arguably already has one of the best possible candidates in Ben Stuckart. Besides him I would point to State Rep. Marcus Ricelli.

It would be pretty sweet to see Tom Foley's old seat back in its rightful hands.

[Heisenberg]

WA-03: Probably Monica Stonier? Dean Takko is unlikely to run, and all the other strong Democratic candidates in this area live in Aberdeen which is in WA-06.

WA-08: Mark Mullet or Pat Sullivan

How popular are Newhouse and McMorris Rodgers? Are they at all beatable?

Newhouse is a generic R with no notable features whatsoever, but his district is extremely Republican, there are pretty much zero elected Democrats in the district (Even the Mayor of Yakima is a Republican).

WA-05 arguably already has one of the best possible candidates in Ben Stuckart. Besides him I would point to State Rep. Marcus Ricelli.

It would be pretty sweet to see Tom Foley's old seat back in its rightful hands.

There's no such thing as a "rightfully Democratic" or "rightfully Republican" seat at all.

[publicunofficial]

WA-03: Probably Monica Stonier? Dean Takko is unlikely to run, and all the other strong Democratic candidates in this area live in Aberdeen which is in WA-06.

WA-08: Mark Mullet or Pat Sullivan

How popular are Newhouse and McMorris Rodgers? Are they at all beatable?

Newhouse is a generic R with no notable features whatsoever, but his district is extremely Republican, there are pretty much zero elected Democrats in the district (Even the Mayor of Yakima is a Republican).

WA-05 arguably already has one of the best possible candidates in Ben Stuckart. Besides him I would point to State Rep. Marcus Ricelli.

It would be pretty sweet to see Tom Foley's old seat back in its rightful hands.

There's no such thing as a "rightfully Democratic" or "rightfully Republican" seat at all.

TX-23 IS THE DEMOCRAT'S RIGHTFUL CLAY, DAMMIT.

But seriously, I want to win WA-03 in order to fulfill my dream of Democrats holding every seat that touches the west coast.