Could Nevada's entire delegation turn Democratic after 2018?

[The Arizonan]

Since all of the House seats and Dean Heller's Senate seat are all up for election next year, is it probable for Nevada's entire congressional delegation to become Democratic after the midterm elections?

[Indy Texas]

I would think even in a worst case scenario the Republicans could hold onto NV-2.

[Xing]

Even in a massive Democratic landslide, Republicans would still hold NV-02.

[Kamala]

Even in a massive Democratic landslide, Republicans would still hold NV-02.

It looks like Amodei is angling for AG, and Sharron Angle has expressed desire to run for his seat. Of all people (save for Tarkanian, maybe) she has the greatest chance of losing the seat, especially in an open seat in a midterm election.

[windjammer]

Even in a massive Democratic landslide, Republicans would still hold NV-02.

Obama won it in 2008

[Figueira]

It's not "probable" but it could happen.

[The Arizonan]

I would think even in a worst case scenario the Republicans could hold onto NV-2.

Remember, Washoe County has voted Democratic in presidential elections since 2008.

[ApatheticAustrian]

I would think even in a worst case scenario the Republicans could hold onto NV-2.

Remember, Washoe County has voted Democratic in presidential elections since 2008.

yeah but 2 of 3 times only a stale-mate and local republicans like amodei out-run republican presidential candidates significantly, even in washoe.

and even if washoe would vote like in presidential elections, the sum of the "cow counties" (no offense) is just too much.

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/nevada-house-district-2-amodei-evans

[Anna Komnene]

Even in a massive Democratic landslide, Republicans would still hold NV-02.

Obama won it in 2008

Let me know when Obama declares his candidacy for this seat. 

But seriously, it's definitely worth considering that a Democrat is capable of winning the voters in this district, but the question is whether that Democrat exists in NV-02.  A lot of times the problem in districts like this isn't that voters will never vote for the minority party.  It's that the situation on the ground in local politics makes it unlikely that anyone in the minority party has made a name for themselves with the voters.

[publicunofficial]

Skip Daly would probably be the strongest candidate for NV-02. Holds a seat that went for both Romney and Trump by narrow margins.

[Indy Texas]

I would think even in a worst case scenario the Republicans could hold onto NV-2.

Remember, Washoe County has voted Democratic in presidential elections since 2008.

yeah but 2 of 3 times only a stale-mate and local republicans like amodei out-run republican presidential candidates significantly, even in washoe.

and even if washoe would vote like in presidential elections, the sum of the "cow counties" (no offense) is just too much.

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/nevada-house-district-2-amodei-evans

Maybe if Amodei randomly retired and some awful Angle-type candidate won the GOP primary and the Democrats recruited someone well-known.

[Tintrlvr]

It definitely could happen. I wouldn't call it especially probable, but maybe 10-15% chance?

[Cynthia]

Mark Amodei would hang on even in the most brutal Democratic wave. If he retires, then NV-2 is not THAT safe but probably still likely R.

[Nyvin]

I would think even in a worst case scenario the Republicans could hold onto NV-2.

Remember, Washoe County has voted Democratic in presidential elections since 2008.

yeah but 2 of 3 times only a stale-mate and local republicans like amodei out-run republican presidential candidates significantly, even in washoe.

and even if washoe would vote like in presidential elections, the sum of the "cow counties" (no offense) is just too much.

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/nevada-house-district-2-amodei-evans

Maybe if Amodei randomly retired and some awful Angle-type candidate won the GOP primary and the Democrats recruited someone well-known.

I'm thinking the chances of Mark Amodei retiring next year are actually pretty high,   he genuinely doesn't seem interested in staying in congress.   

Even still,  NV-2 would be a  really difficult target for the Dems.    Reno doesn't have enough pull in the district to flip it single-handedly.   

[KingSweden]

I think it's unlikely

[Rookie Yinzer]

Only worried about the Senate seat honestly. Hoping there is enough anti-Trump sentiment to sweep a Dem in there.

[peterthlee]

NV-02 is quite red. So...nay, unless the incumbent NV-02 representative retires, and Rs nominate a partisan hack.

[Brittain33]

Party resorting based on education levels is not going to help Democrats do better in NV-2 than in the past.