2017 Nova Scotia election (May 30)

[DC Al Fine]

NDP doing very well for only having 21-22% of the vote.

Tories really overperforming in Cape Breton, underperforming in the rural mainland.

Underperforming mainly in Anapolis Valley I think.

It's down everywhere. CTV estimates 39% in Metro Halifax.

Tory support or vote turnout?

Turnout

[DC Al Fine]

Green single seat target, didn't work. Leader has 7% in Clayton Park West.

[MAINEiac4434]

So I guess it's safe to say that the Grits underperformed their polling numbers.

[jaichind]

So I guess it's safe to say that the Grits underperformed their polling numbers.

Looks like NDP also under-performed their poll numbers.  I guess it did not impact their seat count as much since LIB also under-performed. 

[MAINEiac4434]

Disgraced PC candidate Brad Johns wins Sackville-Beaver Bank away from the Grits.

[136or142]

These are the NDP candidates who are likely to end up receiving 25-30% of the vote.  
1.Henderson Paris
2.John Davis
3.Linda Moxsom-Skinner
4.Rana Zaman
5.Nancy Jakeman
6.Shelley Fashan
7.Devin Ashley
8.Trish Keeping
9.Stephen Schneider
10.Marc Breaugh
11.Shawn McNamara
12.Dennis Kutchera
13.Moraig McGillveray

[DC Al Fine]

Disgraced PC candidate Brad Johns wins Sackville-Beaver Bank away from the Grits.

Must elaborate: while a councilor he used discretionary funds to buy a giant animatronic Christmas tree.

[136or142]

So I guess it's safe to say that the Grits underperformed their polling numbers.

Looks like NDP also under-performed their poll numbers.  I guess it did not impact their seat count as much since LIB also under-performed.  

Oh good grief.  The final Forum poll looks like it will be most accurate.

Liberal: 38%
P.C: 35
NDP 23

It's like I've always said, Forum polls are the (cough)best(cough) polls.

[DC Al Fine]

Tory vote efficiency is buggering them.

Burrill elected.

[MAINEiac4434]

Disgraced PC candidate Brad Johns wins Sackville-Beaver Bank away from the Grits.

Must elaborate: while a councilor he used discretionary funds to buy a giant animatronic Christmas tree.

The most Nova Scotia political scandal in history.

[Hatman 🍁]

Tory vote efficiency is buggering them.

Burrill elected.

Woohoo!

[MAINEiac4434]

Here's a weird one: PC candidate in Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank has taken the lead on the 28th poll. It had been Grit all night.

[DC Al Fine]

Liberals have one pickup, Chester-St. Margaret's, not declared yet.

[Hatman 🍁]

Liberals have one pickup, Chester-St. Margaret's, not declared yet.

Not anymore.

[King of Kensington]

A fascinating election. 

[MaxQue]

NDP hold in Truro-Something-Something Else-Again

[MAINEiac4434]

Five elected MLAs for the NDP mean they haven't had any losses. They had five at dissolution, but seven after the last election.

[DC Al Fine]

NDP hold in Truro-Something-Something Else-Again

It's interesting to see the NDP carve out rural fiefdoms like the Tories and Liberals.

[DC Al Fine]

Tories up 19%, Liberals down 17% in Cape Breton, largely over doctor shortages.

[MAINEiac4434]

It's come down to the last poll in Guysborough. The Tory is up 17 votes over the Grit in what would be a gain.

[Hatman 🍁]

NDP hold in Truro-Something-Something Else-Again

It's interesting to see the NDP carve out rural fiefdoms like the Tories and Liberals.

Does Truro count as rural??

[MaxQue]

Automatic recount is the lead is below 10 votes.

Candidates can also ask one, against a 100$ deposit.

[DC Al Fine]

NDP hold in Truro-Something-Something Else-Again

It's interesting to see the NDP carve out rural fiefdoms like the Tories and Liberals.

Does Truro count as rural??

Eh, small town I guess. Point still stands though.

[136or142]

Apparently a large amount of advanced polls are still to be counted, so that would explain why turnout is so low right now and could move the Liberals to a narrow majority government.

Liberals could still win these ridings
1.Cape Breton-Richmond
2.Chester-St. Margaret's
3.Cole Harbour-Eastern Passage
4.Guysborough-Eastern Shore-Tracadie
5.Sydney-Whitney Pier
6.Waveley-Fall River-Beaver Bank

[136or142]

It seems every riding still has the advanced poll out.  In P.E.I the Liberals gained a few seats when the advanced polls came in, so if this is the same in Nova Scotia, the Liberals would likely end up with a narrow majority.  There are also 22,000 out of district ballots to report.