2017 Nova Scotia election (May 30) (user search)
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  2017 Nova Scotia election (May 30) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2017 Nova Scotia election (May 30)  (Read 18017 times)
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« on: May 18, 2017, 06:27:20 AM »

Prediction: the Liberals form government again, with the Tories as official opposition. The NDP is almost level with the Tories on raw votes, but FPTP screws them over and they end up with like four seats.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #1 on: May 18, 2017, 07:37:29 AM »

And my wife has just told me it's time to take her to the hospital to have the baby. Have fun watching the debate guys.
Congratulations! Name the baby "Jack Layton." No matter the gender.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #2 on: May 30, 2017, 06:21:14 PM »

Momboquette is in third in Sydney-Whitney Pier. Looks like the Grits union-busting is helping the Dippers - they're way up. It's only one poll though.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #3 on: May 30, 2017, 06:27:22 PM »

A lot of ridings are super close in the earlygoing.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #4 on: May 30, 2017, 06:40:58 PM »

The PC candidate is running away in Queens-Shelburne, which was an NDP seat.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #5 on: May 30, 2017, 06:41:54 PM »

Tories HOLD Northside-Westmount.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #6 on: May 30, 2017, 06:42:25 PM »

Tories HOLD Inverness
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #7 on: May 30, 2017, 06:45:26 PM »

Tories HOLD Pictou Centre.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #8 on: May 30, 2017, 06:45:58 PM »

Tories HOLD Sydney River-Mira-Louisbourg
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #9 on: May 30, 2017, 06:47:23 PM »

Tories HOLD Pictou West
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #10 on: May 30, 2017, 06:50:36 PM »

Grits HOLD Yarmouth
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #11 on: May 30, 2017, 06:52:40 PM »

Sackville-Beaver Bank is one to watch. All (major party) candidates within 10 votes of eachother.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #12 on: May 30, 2017, 06:53:13 PM »

Tories HOLD Argyle-Barrington
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #13 on: May 30, 2017, 06:55:53 PM »

Tories take an eleven-vote lead in Cape Breton-Richmond.
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #14 on: May 30, 2017, 06:56:22 PM »

Grits HOLD Clayton Park West
Logged
MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #15 on: May 30, 2017, 07:02:34 PM »
« Edited: May 30, 2017, 07:06:49 PM by MAINEiac4434 »

Grits SORT OF HOLD Hants-West.

Traditionally a Tory stronghold, Hants-West's incumbent MP Chuck Porter was elected as a Tory in 2013, but crossed the floor to the Liberals in 2014. It stays with Porter.

EDIT: Burrill has also taken the lead in Halifax-Chebucto.

EDIT 2: Victoria-The Lakes and Pictou East both called for the Tories.

EDIT 3: As is Clochester-Musquodoboit Valley.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #16 on: May 30, 2017, 07:10:29 PM »
« Edited: May 30, 2017, 07:12:08 PM by MAINEiac4434 »

Disgraced former councillor Brad Johns is up in Sackville-Beaverbank, and the Tories are up in Cape Breton-Richmond. Both VERY surprising.
The anti BJ (lol) vote is being split between the Grit and the Dip.

EDIT: Cowell and Maguire sent back.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #17 on: May 30, 2017, 07:14:33 PM »
« Edited: May 30, 2017, 07:16:50 PM by MAINEiac4434 »

Despite looking good for the Tories early on, Bedford is held for the Grits.

EDIT: As is Annapolis (the Premier's seat) and Clare-Digby.

EDIT 2: Tories GAIN Queens-Shelburne from NDP.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #18 on: May 30, 2017, 07:19:27 PM »

Despite looking good for the Tories early on, Bedford is held for the Grits.

EDIT: As is Annapolis (the Premier's seat) and Clare-Digby.

Preston-Dartmouth, too.
Yeah. It's looking like the Grits will have anywhere from 23 to 26 seats with the NDP having as many as 10.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #19 on: May 30, 2017, 07:24:35 PM »

Weirdly, Baillie's seat hasn't been called yet.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #20 on: May 30, 2017, 07:28:45 PM »
« Edited: May 30, 2017, 07:31:19 PM by MAINEiac4434 »

Sackville-Cobiquard becomes the first NDP called seat.

At the same time, Grits hold Lunenburg West and the Tories hold Kings North & Cumberland North.

EDIT: NDP hold Halifax-Needham.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #21 on: May 30, 2017, 07:42:12 PM »

NDP gains back Cape Breton Centre, lost in a by-election to the Grits.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #22 on: May 30, 2017, 07:51:39 PM »

So I guess it's safe to say that the Grits underperformed their polling numbers.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #23 on: May 30, 2017, 07:55:24 PM »

Disgraced PC candidate Brad Johns wins Sackville-Beaver Bank away from the Grits.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,269
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78

« Reply #24 on: May 30, 2017, 08:03:55 PM »

Disgraced PC candidate Brad Johns wins Sackville-Beaver Bank away from the Grits.

Must elaborate: while a councilor he used discretionary funds to buy a giant animatronic Christmas tree.
The most Nova Scotia political scandal in history.
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