French Legislative Election 2017

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Whatever happened to the really small centrist satellite parties that are part of the centre right last time round?

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- Who is in charge now and leads the PS for the legislative election? Hamon?

Cambadélis (lol) or probably Le Foll.

It's actually Cazeneuve now. And the PS has published a new common program for all the candidates, which scraps most of Hamon's program. No more universal income or fight against burn-out. In return, Hamon has called for an alliance with France Insoumise, and has not ruled out supporting FI/PCF candidates over PS ones.

Is Hamon standing as a candidate?

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Is PCF still something relevant? With 1-2 % in opinion polls, it seems they diminished to the level of Trotskyists.

They have a strong local government base in parts of the country, notably in old red belt of working class residential areas around (well these days in in all senses except officially, and not even in the outer ring...) Paris and some areas of former heavy industry:



Of course given that French Commie Local Government was almost as good an argument against Communism as the USSR this fact is a bit of a mystery, but such is France.

They were massively racist iirc?

Also what's up with that bizarrely shaped green commune up top?

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Big ask, but does anybody have a list of which constituencies have the highest combined left vote and are most likely to have left candidates in the second round?

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I wonder if this will continue on down to a municipal level. Is Hidalgo, for example, popular enough to survive the apocalyPSe?

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Question: will Taubira survive in Guinea?

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Tapura Huiraatira (centre right, anti independence, split from corrupt machine Tahoera) have seemingly swept Polynesia and will align with Macron.

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Pyrénées-Atlantiques, 4th (Jean Lassalle)

Corrégé (LREM): 25.41%
Lassalle: 17.71%

Lassalle better win, damnit.

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Valls gets 25, he'll be facing an FI opponent.

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Hollande's coalition in 2012 won ~57% of the seats, at ~57% turnout. That means that statistically speaking, he in total got 32.8303812824957% of a mandate. If Macron wins 430 seats, 74.52339688% of the seats, and gets about 48% turnout, he will have a 35.77% of a mandate. 81.45580589% of the seats, 470 seats, times 48% turnout is a mandate of 39.0987868284229%. Turnout would have to be ~44.05% and his seats won would have to be 430 in order for Macron's mandate to reach Hollande's mandate.

Wow, this guy sure likes his significant figures. I guess that means he knows what he's talking about!

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Didn't Valls say something pretty racist a few years back?

He's said a lot of crappy stuff about Roma, but that's par for course in France.

I think Valls represents a different sort of centrism to Macron - the former has more of a tough image, the latter a sort of technocratic TED talk style.

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Probably one of the few times when I'm rooting for FI.

Thought I opened the Italian thread, and was very confused!