French Legislative Election 2017

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

• Whether the France Insoumise crashes like FdG in 2011, or is this now a genuine social-political movement in communities that is not just willing to turn out for Méluche?

Maybe, but knowing that still in many electoral districts there will be both candidates of PCF and FI or even PG and FI I guess FI result will be probably much weaker than Melenchon as for the whole country. Although Laurent today said that PCF still want to continue talks but I can't tell if there are any chances for that (knowing their earlier quarrels before the presidential elections I doubt).

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

For Macron it is best that the left stays splintered. EM can gain many seats in a scenario of triangulaire of EM vs LR vs FN with the support of the left, which I imagine will occur in many seats.

Does anyone have an idea who Macron is going to choose as PM. And anyone know when he is going to announce it

http://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/macron-set-to-name-new-french-prime-minister-by-mid-may-1.3074826

But it would be funny if Bayrou #presidentBenAbbes

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

How is this even possible that there is ovet 70% of votes counted?

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

Still, I doubt that there is more than 70% counted. AFP shows only 32% of counted.

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

Why is the PS all of a sudden at 13%?

LREM 32 %
LR 21.2 %
Fi 14.2 %
FN 13.9 %
PS 13.3 %
Autres 5.4 %

https://twitter.com/HippoRds/status/873998749571444736

What is so shocking about PS result?

Most other exit polls had it at 9-10%. Just surprised by the sudden rise when the predictions for other parties were pretty much spot on.

I've just noticed that this was just prediction, not results. Maybe this would be thanks to some electoral districts where LREM do not have candidates. But still they will probably have less.

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

Did anyone find an example of a district where 3 candidates made it to the second round?  I could not find one.

Nope, turnout probably too low for that.

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

So there are apparently 4, not 3 candidates who won in first turn. Anyone knows who is the fourth one (the second one from LREM)?

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

So there are apparently 4, not 3 candidates who won in first turn. Anyone knows who is the fourth one (the second one from LREM)?

I think Paris 1st

Found him already, but thanks for answer.

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

Few among many.

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

Ipsos final turnout estimate: 43%. European election level.

In Poland European election level is ca. 25% so still it could be worse.

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

LASSALLE IS REELECTED!!!

Aww yisss

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

Whole Haute-Corse for regionalists.

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

At this point LREM & Co. can be happy if they break 310/577 seats ...

Or are the seats that are coming in later expected to be more friendly for them ?

Big cities are coming usually in the end so probably yes.

[Grand Wizard Lizard of the Klan]

So, there are 13 districts left to be declared who won and LREM+ have 341 (plus Annick Girardin) mandates so I guess they will barely have more than 350 MPs and some additional supporters from PS, PRG and LR. Still, probably Macron had greater appetite.