French Legislative Election 2017 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 01, 2024, 07:23:44 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  French Legislative Election 2017 (search mode)
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: French Legislative Election 2017  (Read 99203 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: May 09, 2017, 01:38:05 AM »
This was the constituency map of round 1:



Does anyone know how many were won by each candidate ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: May 09, 2017, 04:22:46 AM »
So what about the constituencies won ? Does any1 know ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: May 10, 2017, 01:52:19 AM »
Quote from: Tirnam on May 10, 2017, 01:34:16 AM
Valls won't be LREM candidate in his constituency.

Macron should appoint him for museum director of the Louvre or something instead ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: June 11, 2017, 11:57:49 AM »
I wonder how many candidates will actually win 50%+ today, but will have to go to Round 2 because of the crappy turnout (requirement) today ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: June 11, 2017, 11:16:12 PM »
Final map by constituency:
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #5 on: June 12, 2017, 12:29:20 AM »

The ones in the South around Marseille, Nice, Monaco etc. I guess are having a big share of immigrants.

The ones in the North are 95%+ French and mostly struggling former PS areas, coal mining and industrial areas ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #6 on: June 15, 2017, 11:19:20 AM »
Quote from: Tirnam on June 15, 2017, 04:45:40 AM
NKM fainted after being assaulted in a Paris market.

France's Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet knocked out while campaigning

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-40293395
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #7 on: June 16, 2017, 01:12:34 AM »
Quote from: Helsinkian on June 15, 2017, 10:39:05 PM
One party getting 80% of the seats in parliament reminds me of Kazakhstan, not Western Europe.

Well, there's a saying: "Democracy is the dictatorship of the majority."

And in France's case right now, it's even clearer because the LREM-folks are highly motivated - whereas the voters from the other parties have already given up ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #8 on: June 18, 2017, 06:40:08 AM »
Turnout until 12:00 was even lower than in the 1st round, with only 17.8% (1st round: 19.2%)

Probably not more than 44-45% will vote today ... a new record low.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #9 on: June 18, 2017, 12:14:27 PM »
Franceinfo has a regional turnout map for 17:00 and areas that already went to Macron in round 1 during the Presidential and Legislative elections have "high" turnout. FN areas in the North-(East) have low turnout.

Nothing really surprising ... Macron-folks were motivated to vote today, everyone else stayed home.

450+ seats here we go.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #10 on: June 18, 2017, 12:58:43 PM »
Quote from: Tirnam on June 18, 2017, 12:58:03 PM
There are "some surprises" TF1 and France 2 say.

Le Pen doesn't win her seat ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #11 on: June 18, 2017, 01:01:41 PM »

Really ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #12 on: June 18, 2017, 01:03:15 PM »
Probably some last-minute tactical voting for other parties to prevent a super-majority for LREM.

Or some of their people stayed home.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #13 on: June 18, 2017, 01:10:09 PM »
Quote from: jaichind on June 18, 2017, 01:08:35 PM
Quote from: Tirnam on June 18, 2017, 01:05:58 PM
First results are in line with the Ipsos projection

If so it seems lower turnout was also LREM lowER turnout

Or some LREM voters had some last-minute mercy with the other parties (PS and Republicans), instead of fully destroying them.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #14 on: June 18, 2017, 01:13:22 PM »
Live map by La-Croix:

http://www.la-croix.com/France/Politique/Legislatives-carte-resultats-second-tour-elections-2017-06-18-1200855991
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #15 on: June 18, 2017, 01:33:46 PM »
I hate low turnout elections. Imagine if turnout was twice as high as today: 85%.

But people are stupid.

Days like this make me pessimistic about our own turnout on Oct. 15 ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #16 on: June 18, 2017, 01:48:43 PM »
In the LaCroix map, LREM & MoDem only have 38 of 89 fully-counted seats so far ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #17 on: June 18, 2017, 01:52:15 PM »
In the France 24 map, LREM & MoDem have 90/176 fully-counted seats so far ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #18 on: June 18, 2017, 01:58:09 PM »
According to the Interior Ministry page that jaichind mentioned, there are already some 300 seats counted. And LREM+MoDem only have slightly more than half of them so far ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #19 on: June 18, 2017, 01:59:53 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on June 18, 2017, 01:58:09 PM
According to the Interior Ministry page that jaichind mentioned, there are already some 300 seats counted. And LREM+MoDem only have slightly more than half of them so far ...

146/280 to be exact.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #20 on: June 18, 2017, 02:08:01 PM »
At this point LREM & Co. can be happy if they break 310/577 seats ...

Or are the seats that are coming in later expected to be more friendly for them ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #21 on: June 18, 2017, 02:19:00 PM »
75% of the vote counted:

LREM & Co. currently have 48% of the vote and 199/361 (=55%) of counted seats.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #22 on: June 18, 2017, 02:23:40 PM »
Quote from: Tirnam on June 18, 2017, 02:20:51 PM
Ipsos projection update

LREM: 311
MoDem: 44

LR: 104
UDI-DVD: 24

PS: 33
PRG-DVG: 15

FI: 18
PCF: 10

FN: 8

Others: 10

This projection assumes that LREM & Co. win 72% of the remaining uncounted seats.

Currently, they have won 55% of all counted seats.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #23 on: June 18, 2017, 02:31:33 PM »
The FNers in the North have all been comfortably elected with 52%+, while the ones in the South have only squeaked out victories with 50-51% of the vote ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #24 on: June 18, 2017, 02:38:20 PM »
Just a 8 vote difference ...
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.056 seconds with 12 queries.