French Legislative Election 2017 (user search)
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Author Topic: French Legislative Election 2017  (Read 98316 times)
RodPresident
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,157
Brazil


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -3.30

« on: May 17, 2017, 10:37:38 PM »

Harris Poll (post Edouard Philippe appointment of PM)

LREM    32 (+3)
LR-UDI  19 (-1)
FN         19 (-1)
FI/PG     15 (+1)
PS-PRG    6 (-1)
EELV       3 (-)
DLF         3 (-)
PCF         2

PS-PRG-EELV together form 9% which seems to low to get to second round in a meaningful number of seats.
Can all of this alliances out of party systems backfire hard in legislatives? LR, FN, FI and PS voters uniting against LREM candidates?
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RodPresident
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,157
Brazil


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -3.30

« Reply #1 on: May 28, 2017, 03:55:04 PM »

Constituencies polls by Ifop

Eure, 1st
Le Maire (economy minister, former LR, now LREM): 48%
Delacour (FN): 20%
Desprès (FI): 16%
Dioukhané (LR): 7%

Second round
Le Maire: 76%
Delacour: 24%

Essonne, 1st
Valls (DVG): 30%
Amrani (FI): 26%
Oger (FN): 12%
Varin (LR): 12%

Second round
Valls: 50%
Amrani: 50%
It would be hilarious if Valls loses to someone from FI
Would Mélenchon running in this constituency be more smart for him? Not safe, but he served much time as senator for Essonne.
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RodPresident
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,157
Brazil


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -3.30

« Reply #2 on: June 11, 2017, 11:01:54 PM »

Can so successful first round to LREM backfire on them in next Sunday? People can vote to refuse to give so much power to them. Or old political hates can be stronger?
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RodPresident
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,157
Brazil


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -3.30

« Reply #3 on: June 21, 2017, 09:57:05 PM »

PCF won't make a parliamentary group with FI. The FI-PCF split is 16-11 rather than 17-10 as indicated by Ministere de l'Interieur (they labelled a PCF as FI). PCF claim to have got 4 Outre-mer MPs to get the 15 required for a group.
Probably Bello (La Réunion 2), Azérot (Martinique 2), Nilor (Martinique 4) and Serville (Guyane 1).
There are 3 Corse Nationalists too.
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RodPresident
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,157
Brazil


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -3.30

« Reply #4 on: June 28, 2017, 11:56:43 AM »

Why did PRG not joined Socialist Group? And Corses? Which group would they fit best?
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