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Author Topic: Ross Perot's Best Urban Areas  (Read 595 times)
National Progressive
General Mung Beans
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« on: May 06, 2017, 05:34:18 pm »
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What were the biggest cities that Perot performed well (ie above his national PV average of 19%) in 1992? Were there any big cities (say over 100k or even 50k) where he was second place?
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mencken
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« Reply #1 on: May 06, 2017, 06:22:41 pm »
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St Lucie County probably is not an urban area, but Perot did fairly well there. Hillsborough and Pinellas were good performances as well.
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« Reply #2 on: May 06, 2017, 06:31:48 pm »
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Perot performed above his national popular vote in...

28.9% - Salt Lake County, UT (Salt Lake City)
25.6% - Ada County, ID (Boise)
25.3% - Sedgwick County, KS (Wichita)
24.9% - Clark County, NV (Las Vegas)
19.5% - Multnomah County, OR (Portland)
21.1% - Hennepin County, MN (Minneapolis)
20.1% - Ramsey County, MN (St. Paul)
25.3% - Maricopa County, AZ (Phoenix)
19.2% - Pima County, AZ (Tucson)
21.5% - King County, WA (Seattle)
24.7% - Pierce County, WA (Tacoma)
22.6% - Spokane County, WA (Spokane)
19.3% - Douglas County, NE (Omaha)
20.5% - El Paso County, CO (Colorado Springs)
22.3% - Providence County, RI (Providence)
21.6% - Oklahoma County, OK (Oklahoma City)
20.8% - Tulsa County, OK (Tulsa)
24.8% - Hampden County, MA (Springfield)
23.5% - Worcester County, MA (Worcester)
25.8% - Dallas County, TX (Dallas)
27.6% - Tarrant County, TX (Fort Worth)
20.3% - Travis County, TX (Austin)
22.7% - Jackson County, MO (Kansas City)
20.5% - Hartford County, CT (Hartford)
21.0% - New Haven County, CT (New Haven)
21.8% - Brown County, WI (Green Bay)
23.4% - Mahoning County, OH (Youngstown)
24.2% - Stark County, OH (Canton)
22.8% - Summit County, OH (Akron)
23.8% - Riverside County, CA (Riverside)
20.2% - Sacramento County, CA (Sacramento)
23.0% - San Bernardino County, CA (San Bernardino)
26.3% - San Diego County, CA (San Diego)
21.4% - Santa Clara County, CA (San Jose)
20.3% - Hillsborough County, FL (Tampa)
23.9% - Pinellas County, FL (St. Petersburg)
23.1% - Genesee County, MI (Flint)
21.6% - Lehigh County, PA (Allentown)
27.3% - Erie County, NY (Buffalo)
21.0% - Onondaga County, NY (Syracuse)
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #3 on: May 06, 2017, 10:25:06 pm »
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I don't have access to detailed county level precinct results from '92, but here is his performance in the largest cities in Oregon in order of '16 Population (Precinct level data):

1.) Portland--- 18.4% Perot
2.) Salem--     21.7% Perot
3.) Eugene--- 18.0% Perot
4.) Gresham-- 24.4% Perot
5.) Hillsboro-- 26.6% Perot
6.) Beaverton--23.4% Perot
7.) Bend--- 26.1% Perot
8.) Medford-- 23.0% Perot
9.) Springfield-- 26.4% Perot
10.) Corvallis-- 19.3% Perot
11.) Albany-- 28.5% Perot
12.) Tigard--- 23.9% Perot
13.) Lake Oswego-- 19.6% Perot
14.) Keizer-- 23.6% Perot
15.) Grants Pass--- 22.7% Perot

If we look at incorporated "cities" in Oregon where Perot captured 30.0% of the vote or more, I have a list of 35 "cities", with the vast majority of them with <5,000 residents.

If drill down the list and look at cities that Perot won in '92 we see the following list:

1.) Scio (Linn County)- 35.7% Perot
2.) Boardman (Morrow County)- 34.2% Perot


He placed 2nd in the following cities:

1.) Pilot Rock- (Umatilla County)--- 35.1%
2.) Carlton- (Yamhill County)--   35.0%
3.) Depoe By--- (Lincoln County)- 34.6%
4.) Oak Ridge--- (Lane County)  33.7%
5.) Yoncalla--- (Douglas County)--- 33.5%
6.) Athena-- (Umatilla County)--- 33.3%     (Split Precinct)
7.) Jefferson- (Linn County)-- 33.0%
8.) Vernonia- (Columbia County)- 32.6%
9.) Aumsvilla- (Marion County)-   32.6%
10.) Shady Cove- (Josephine Count)- 32.6%
11.) Brookings- (Curry County)--- 32.5%
12.) Brownsville- (Linn County)--- 32.3%
13.) Union-- (Union County)--- 32.2%
14.) Waldport- (Lincoln County)-- 32.2%
15.) Oakland--- (Douglas County) - 32.0%
16.) Gold Hill--- (Josephine County)- 31.8%
17.) Stanfield- (Umatilla County)--- 31.8%    (Split Precinct)
18.) Canyonville- (Douglas County)-- 31.7%
19.) Powers--- (Coos County)--- 31.7%
20.) Bay City-- (Tillamook County)- 31.4%
21.) Elgin-- (Union County)--- 31.3%
22.) Port Orford- (Curry County)-- 30.8%
23.) Canyon City- (Douglas County)-- 30.8%
24.) Falls City-- (Dallas County)--- 30.3%
25.) North Plains--- (Washington County)--- 30.1%
26.) Myrtle Creek---(Douglas County) 29.6%
27.) Toledo--- (Lincoln County)--- 29.1%
28.) Rainier-- (Columbia County)-- 29.1%
29.) St Helens-- (Columbia County)-- 28.7%
30.) Riddle-- (Douglas County)-- 28.6%
31.) Siletz-- (Lincoln County)== 28.6%

Now, eyeballing that list, it looks like the City in Oregon with the largest population, where Perot placed 1st or 2nd, would be St Helens (Columbia County) with a current pop of about 13k.... Many of the other cities on the list are current/former Timber Mill towns.

Although Perot overall performed extremely well in Oregon, taking votes from both Mondale/Dukakis voters from '84 and '88, he also did quite well among Reagan '84/Bush Sr '88 voters as well....

This is a whole separate topic that I was planning to explore on a different thread, also looking at the Obama '08/'12/Trump '16 swings in certain smaller communities, but at least here's what I can offer for now to this conversation.


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