Where were the biggest Romney-Clinton swings?
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  Where were the biggest Romney-Clinton swings?
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Author Topic: Where were the biggest Romney-Clinton swings?  (Read 1161 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: May 14, 2017, 06:04:29 PM »

Where were the biggest swings from Mitt Romney to Hillary Clinton this election. We talk about the voters that Obama lost to Trump, but we don't dissect the part of the coalition Trump lost.
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2017, 06:27:51 PM »

Wealthier college educated whites.

Source.

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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #2 on: May 14, 2017, 06:30:56 PM »

Large sunbelt cities, some wealthy suburbs in the NE and there was an oddly large concentration in the Chicago area.
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #3 on: May 14, 2017, 09:27:53 PM »

Large sunbelt cities, some wealthy suburbs in the NE and there was an oddly large concentration in the Chicago area.

I never would have thought that Illinois was going to swing Democratic, especially in a Trump win. One of the most surprising results on election day.

I'm not sure that a .05% swing is really a "swing".
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #4 on: May 16, 2017, 09:21:52 AM »

Wealthier, college educated, socially liberal areas. For example, in MI (countervailing the statewide trend):

Washtenaw County, MI:

2012: 67.04% D 31.29% R
2016: 67.59% D 26.64% R

Kent County, MI:

2012: 45.35% D 53.00% R
2016: 44.61% D 47.66% R

Ottawa County, MI: (Ford's 4th best county in the NATION in '76; very GOP and conservative)

2012: 32.19% D 66.41% R
2016: 31.26% D 61.50% R

And plenty of suburbs along the Woodward Avenue corridor in Oakland County:

Birmingham, MI

2012: 44% D 55% R
2016: 52% D 41% R

Bloomfield Hills, MI

2012: 33% D 67% R
2016: 42% D 53% R

Huntington Woods, MI

2012: 70% D 29% R
2016: 76% D 19% R
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HAnnA MArin County
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« Reply #5 on: May 16, 2017, 08:39:39 PM »

The Gold Coast in Fairfield County, CT
Darien, CT
2012: Romney 65.39% - Obama 34.42% = R+ 30.97
2016: Clinton 52.75% - Trump 41.06% = D+ 11.69
Swing: D+ 42.66

New Canaan, CT
2012: Romney 64.13% - Obama 35.02% = R+ 29.11
2016: Clinton 52.59% - Trump 41.41% = D+ 11.18
Swing: D+ 40.29

Wilton, CT
2012: Romney 53.62% - Obama 45.37% = R+ 8.25
2016: Clinton 58.27% - Trump 36.44% = D+ 21.83
Swing: D+ 30.08

Greenwich, CT
2012: Romney 55.24% - Obama 43.90% = R+ 11.34
2016: Clinton 56.49% - Trump 39.14% = D+ 17.35
Swing: D+ 28.69

San Mateo County, CA
Atherton
2012: Romney 51.54% - Obama 46.64% = R+ 4.90
2016: Clinton 66.65% - Trump 26.05% = D+ 40.60
Swing: D+ 45.50

Hillsborough
2012: Romney 53.16% - Obama 45.47% = R+ 7.69
2016: Clinton 63.04% - Trump 30.72% = D+ 32.32
Swing: D+ 40.01
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #6 on: May 16, 2017, 09:00:02 PM »

Hamilton County, Indiana.  It's usually 65% or so GOP on average, but it ended up being only 57% Trump on Election Day.  Either that was an outlier or the beginning of a "Fairfax County" trend of sorts.
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