2020 Trump votes at 40% or less maps
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Author Topic: 2020 Trump votes at 40% or less maps  (Read 1929 times)
American2020
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« on: May 18, 2017, 06:20:04 AM »
What would be the maps if Donald Trump 40% of votes or less ?
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #1 on: May 18, 2017, 10:35:17 AM »

TX, MO, and SC may be D though.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2017, 11:40:58 AM »
Knowing our luck, probably:



Trump/Pence - 39.9% 270 EV
Biden/Harris - 44.2% 268 EV
Gabbard/Stein - 6.7% 0 EV
Paul/Amash - 5.3% 0 EV
McMullin/Lahren - 2.0% 0 EV
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Xing
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« Reply #3 on: May 18, 2017, 06:23:33 PM »

This, though IN and UT could go R as well.
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McGovernForPrez
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« Reply #4 on: May 18, 2017, 08:13:56 PM »
I think any map with the Democrat getting less than mid to high 300's is probably not a good map. If you have only 40% or less of the PV, the best electoral scenario you can have is probably a Ross Perot situation. Worst case scenario you have a 1984 or 1972 type of map.
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #5 on: May 18, 2017, 09:05:58 PM »
Quote from: McGovernForPrez on May 18, 2017, 08:13:56 PM
I think any map with the Democrat getting less than mid to high 300's is probably not a good map. If you have only 40% or less of the PV, the best electoral scenario you can have is probably a Ross Perot situation. Worst case scenario you have a 1984 or 1972 type of map.
The way our country is today, you would probably have to get around 10% of the vote to produce a 1984/1972 situation.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #6 on: May 18, 2017, 10:21:29 PM »

This minus Indiana plus Texas.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #7 on: May 20, 2017, 06:10:05 AM »
This map would be tremendous.



Governor Steve Bullock (D-MT)/Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA): 377 EV. (54.49%)
President Donald Trump (R-NY)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN): 155 EV. (40.00%)
CIA Officer Evan McMullin (I-UT)/Representative Justin Amash (I-MI): 6 EV. (4.09%)
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McGovernForPrez
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« Reply #8 on: May 20, 2017, 12:37:13 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on May 20, 2017, 06:10:05 AM
This map would be tremendous.



Governor Steve Bullock (D-MT)/Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA): 377 EV. (54.49%)
President Donald Trump (R-NY)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN): 155 EV. (40.00%)
CIA Officer Evan McMullin (I-UT)/Representative Justin Amash (I-MI): 6 EV. (4.09%)
I think with a near 15 point margin a lot more states would be flipping to the Democrats. I'd say Missouri and Indiana would probably flip. Ohio was just as republican as Texas in 2016, so if you show a Dem Ohio, and a 15 point spread I think seeing a Dem Texas is totally reasonable. Also ME-2 is Dem under this map as well. Other than that I could see this map happening.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #9 on: May 20, 2017, 03:01:52 PM »

404: Ron Wyden/Henry Cuellar - 54.9%
134: Donald Trump/Mike Pence - 40.4%

Trump gets the lowest percentage of votes since 1972.
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Ridge
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« Reply #10 on: May 20, 2017, 10:28:41 PM »
Quote from: Crumpets on May 18, 2017, 11:40:58 AM
Knowing our luck, probably:



Trump/Pence - 39.9% 270 EV
Biden/Harris - 44.2% 268 EV
Gabbard/Stein - 6.7% 0 EV
Paul/Amash - 5.3% 0 EV
McMullin/Lahren - 2.0% 0 EV

Wow... Your honesty is admired.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #11 on: May 21, 2017, 03:47:55 AM »
Quote from: McGovernForPrez on May 20, 2017, 12:37:13 PM
Quote from: President Johnson on May 20, 2017, 06:10:05 AM
This map would be tremendous.



Governor Steve Bullock (D-MT)/Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA): 377 EV. (54.49%)
President Donald Trump (R-NY)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN): 155 EV. (40.00%)
CIA Officer Evan McMullin (I-UT)/Representative Justin Amash (I-MI): 6 EV. (4.09%)
I think with a near 15 point margin a lot more states would be flipping to the Democrats. I'd say Missouri and Indiana would probably flip. Ohio was just as republican as Texas in 2016, so if you show a Dem Ohio, and a 15 point spread I think seeing a Dem Texas is totally reasonable. Also ME-2 is Dem under this map as well. Other than that I could see this map happening.

Maybe Missouri and Maine-02. I'm still reluctant about Texas. I think it won't flip so fast.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: May 21, 2017, 09:37:06 AM »


This is the map that's possibe with Dems winning all three branches in 2020,
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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #13 on: May 21, 2017, 09:56:26 AM »
If Trump is right at or around 40%:



Dem: 289 (of course, this depends on the candidate more than anything)
Trump: 249


If Trump is at or around 30%:



Dem: 351
Trump: 187


If Trump is anywhere in the 20% range:



Dem: 456 (give or take a Dakota or two; maybe Mississippi and/or Kansas)
Trump: 82
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The Mikado
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« Reply #14 on: May 21, 2017, 10:59:52 AM »


Sanders 40% 258 EVs
Trump 39% 280 EVs
Kasich 19% 0 EVs
Other 2% 0 EVs
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Former President tack50
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« Reply #15 on: May 21, 2017, 01:24:46 PM »
Assuming the same third parties as in 2016 more or less:



Democratic nominees: 469 EVs (55%)
President Donald Trump/Vice President Mike Pence 63 EVs (35%)
Evan McMullin/McMullin's VP 6 EVs (5%)
Libertarian nominee (3.5%)
Green nominee (1%)
Others (0.5%)

If the libertarian nominee isn't all that good, maybe McMullin does better and the Libertarians worse
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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #16 on: May 21, 2017, 04:59:38 PM »
Quote from: Clay on May 21, 2017, 09:56:26 AM
If Trump is right at or around 40%:



Dem: 289 (of course, this depends on the candidate more than anything)
Trump: 249


If Trump is at or around 30%:



Dem: 351
Trump: 187


If Trump is anywhere in the 20% range:



Dem: 456 (give or take a Dakota or two; maybe Mississippi and/or Kansas)
Trump: 82

Oops, I misread the OP and made maps of Trump's approval rather than the vote count. Ah well.
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