Trump approval ratings thread 1.1

[Gass3268]

Politico/Morning Consult:

39% Approval (20% Strongly)
56% Disapprove (43% Strongly)

Source

These are Trump's worst numbers for this poll. Only 73% of Republicans approve of Trump.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Politico/Morning Consult:

39% Approval (20% Strongly)
56% Disapprove (43% Strongly)

Source

These are Trump's worst numbers for this poll. Only 73% of Republicans approve of Trump.

If this continues, it spells midterm disaster for the GOP.

[Inmate Trump]

Politico/Morning Consult:

39% Approval (20% Strongly)
56% Disapprove (43% Strongly)

Source

These are Trump's worst numbers for this poll. Only 73% of Republicans approve of Trump.

If this continues, it spells midterm disaster for the GOP.

I'm not so sure.

Russia will help their beloved one again.

[pbrower2a]

Politico/Morning Consult:

39% Approval (20% Strongly)
56% Disapprove (43% Strongly)

Source

These are Trump's worst numbers for this poll. Only 73% of Republicans approve of Trump.

If this continues, it spells midterm disaster for the GOP.

I'm not so sure.

Russia will help their beloved one again.

The Russian government and the Russian Mafia abandon hopeless liabilities fast -- and with very nasty means to those who cannot pay what is expected. 

[Gass3268]

PPP - National:

40% Approve
53% Disapprove

Source

[GeorgiaModerate]

PPP - National:

40% Approve
53% Disapprove

Source

For comparison, in July PPP had 41/55.  Some other tidbits from the new poll:

Generic Congressional ballot is 49 D, 35 R.  Congress approval is 9/73, McConnell is 9/61, Ryan is 16/62.

48/41 in favor of impeachment.  46/37 think the Russia story is not "fake news".  Also:

If evidence comes out that proves conclusively that members of Donald Trump’s campaign
team worked in association with Russia to help Trump win the election for President, do you
think Trump should continue to serve as President, or do you think he should resign?

Continue: 34
Resign: 54

[Hindsight was 2020]

PPP - National:

40% Approve
53% Disapprove

Source

For comparison, in July PPP had 41/55.  Some other tidbits from the new poll:

Generic Congressional ballot is 49 D, 35 R.  Congress approval is 9/73, McConnell is 9/61, Ryan is 16/62.

48/41 in favor of impeachment.  46/37 think the Russia story is not "fake news".  Also:

If evidence comes out that proves conclusively that members of Donald Trump’s campaign
team worked in association with Russia to help Trump win the election for President, do you
think Trump should continue to serve as President, or do you think he should resign?

Continue: 34
Resign: 54

I fail to see between dems hatred of Trump and Trumpers hatred of the reps in congress how 2018 isn't ugly

[Wiz in Wis]

PPP - National:

40% Approve
53% Disapprove

Source

For comparison, in July PPP had 41/55.  Some other tidbits from the new poll:

Generic Congressional ballot is 49 D, 35 R.  Congress approval is 9/73, McConnell is 9/61, Ryan is 16/62.

48/41 in favor of impeachment.  46/37 think the Russia story is not "fake news".  Also:

If evidence comes out that proves conclusively that members of Donald Trump’s campaign
team worked in association with Russia to help Trump win the election for President, do you
think Trump should continue to serve as President, or do you think he should resign?

Continue: 34
Resign: 54

If Generic Ballot were to hold at that level, it would be a bloodbath in the House. If Trump keeps attacking his own party (see: McConnell, Graham, Flake, Heller, Murkowski, Collins, McCain), I can see a good chunk of his core supporters forcing a ton of bad-news primaries and then staying home in the general when their candidates (Kelli Ward, for example) don't win the primary election.

[Classic Conservative]

Why do 5% of Black people have a favorable view of white supremacists?

[Kamala]

Why do 5% of Black people have a favorable view of white supremacists?

Small sample sizes and subsamples generally lead to weird results. Also, some people end up trolling pollsters if questions are ridiculous.

[HisGrace]

Why do 5% of Black people have a favorable view of white supremacists?

5% of people have a favorable opinion of just about anything. You could probably find 5% of people who had a favorable opinion of cancer.

[Gass3268]

Quinnipiac:

Approve 35% (27% Strongly)
Disapprove 59% (54% Strongly)

Source

[BlueSwan]

Why do 5% of Black people have a favorable view of white supremacists?

Small subsample.

Probably some guy who misunderstood the question or doesn't know what white supremacy entails.

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

Why do 5% of Black people have a favorable view of white supremacists?

5% of people have a favorable opinion of just about anything. You could probably find 5% of people who had a favorable opinion of cancer.

Don't forget to allow for sarcastic answers.

[Coraxion]

Why do 5% of Black people have a favorable view of white supremacists?

Those must be the black Republicans.

[Kamala]

Don't think today's Gallup numbers have been posted :

Approve: 35% (-)
Disapprove: 59% (-1)

[pbrower2a]

Why do 5% of Black people have a favorable view of white supremacists?

5% of people have a favorable opinion of just about anything. You could probably find 5% of people who had a favorable opinion of cancer.

I have a favorable view of pancreatic cancer -- so long as it afflicts someone like Charles Manson. Otherwise, no.

[GeorgiaModerate]

GW Battleground poll, Aug 13-17, 1009 RV

Approve 42
Disapprove 55

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Generic Congressional: 46D, 40R

Favorables:

Trump 41/56
Ryan 36/48
McConnell 19/46
Pelosi 34/50
Schumer 27/29
McCain 53/36
Sanders 52/39

[pbrower2a]

GW Battleground poll, Aug 13-17, 1009 RV

Approve 42
Disapprove 55

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Generic Congressional: 46D, 40R

Favorables:

Trump 41/56
Ryan 36/48
McConnell 19/46
Pelosi 34/50
Schumer 27/29
McCain 53/36
Sanders 52/39

The background questions are damning.

[Devout Centrist]

Gallup:
34(-1)
60(+1)

[Kamala]

Gallup:
34(-1)
60(+1)

This is tied with his record right?

[The Other Castro]

Gallup:
34(-1)
60(+1)

This is tied with his record right?

Tied for lowest approval, though highest disapproval was 61%.

[GeorgiaModerate]

538: 7 Rules For Reading Trump’s Approval Rating

[Stranger in a strange land]

Looking at the trendline on FiveThirtyEight's Trump Approval Average, he should cross below 30% approval sometime in February, and his approval should be in the low 20s by November 2018. Of course, he could speed up the process by crashing the economy by shutting down the government or triggering a default.

Trump's danger zone for removal from office is probably around 25% or so. I previously thought the floor for his approval was in the 20-25% range, and I now think it's closer to 15-20%.

[Tintrlvr]

Looking at the trendline on FiveThirtyEight's Trump Approval Average, he should cross below 30% approval sometime in February, and his approval should be in the low 20s by November 2018. Of course, he could speed up the process by crashing the economy by shutting down the government or triggering a default.

Trump's danger zone for removal from office is probably around 25% or so. I previously thought the floor for his approval was in the 20-25% range, and I now think it's closer to 15-20%.

I think it's reasonably likely (though hardly guaranteed) that there will be at least one poll before year-end with Trump's approval rating below 30%.