Trump approval ratings thread 1.1

[Gass3268]

[Dr. Arch]

I like that he's closing in on 60% disapproval. It doesn't matter whether he's at 35-42% approval if he's consistently at or near 60% disapproval with near or at 50% strong disapproval.

[GeorgiaModerate]

This thread is Rain Man levels of autism.

It's a thread about Trump's approval ratings.  People report and discuss Trump's approval ratings.  What's surprising about this?

Yes, it gets to an extreme level of detail at times.  But the same is true for threads on other topics.  This is the Internet.

[Brittain33]

Up from 36% in July,  which they point out is statistically insignificant but does mirror the small bump we're seeing everywhere since the debt deal and hurricanes.

[Doimper]

This thread is Rain Man levels of autism.

Duder, you posted an exhaustive economic analysis of future political trends in an Atlas timeline

Everyone here has a little Rain Man inside them

[Badger]

According to that surverymonkey poll, trump has seen a 11 point swing in his approval/disapproval spread since late august. If Hurricanes and "bipartisanship optics" will do that, can you imagine what a war with north korea would do? (at least in the short term?)

Hope he doesn't get any ideas. lol

Stuff like this is why I think the bad post thread is ill named. Marty's had some doozies, but he doesn't even ranked in the top 5 as far as bad posters on this

[Virginiá]

Gallup (September 23rd)

Approve 40% (+3)
Disapprove 54% (-2)


-

surging! first time at 40% since i believe, beginning of july

[Person Man]

Gallup (September 23rd)

Approve 40% (+3)
Disapprove 54% (-2)


-

surging! first time at 40% since i believe, beginning of july

What could be causing it? Could this be all noise or is the country lunging back to the right?

[Virginiá]

What could be causing it? Could this be all noise or is the country lunging back to the right?

I think it is probably just the natural disasters of late. They sucked up most of the media attention, which in the past has been shown to help him. Additionally, since the government didn't bungle the response(s), he is probably given credit for that on some level. Other than that, Trump really hasn't done anything. If this trend is due to the hurricanes/etc, then I would expect his numbers to again slide once the spotlight is fully back on him. As you can see, he is already generating controversy again, as is usual.

[windjammer]

What could be causing it? Could this be all noise or is the country lunging back to the right?

I think it is probably just the natural disasters of late. They sucked up most of the media attention, which in the past has been shown to help him. Additionally, since the government didn't bungle the response(s), he is probably given credit for that on some level. Other than that, Trump really hasn't done anything. If this trend is due to the hurricanes/etc, then I would expect his numbers to again slide once the spotlight is fully back on him. As you can see, he is already generating controversy again, as is usual.

Yes, I think it is because of the Hurricanes. No real controversies during this period and he didn't screw up.

[krazen1211]

President Trump is soaring in the polls.

[Tekken_Guy]

The NFL/NBA stuff will probably bring his ratings back down.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

The NFL/NBA stuff will probably bring his ratings back down.

Yea ok.

[HisGrace]

President Trump is soaring in the polls.

The fact that 40 percent approval is considered "soaring" is telling about the trouble he's in.

[BlueSwan]

Gallup (September 23rd)

Approve 40% (+3)
Disapprove 54% (-2)


-

surging! first time at 40% since i believe, beginning of july

What could be causing it? Could this be all noise or is the country lunging back to the right?

Return to the mean. We saw it constantly during the election campaign. Every time Trump didn't do something catastrophically idiotic his poll numbers would go back up. This was why I remained sceptical about Clinton winning throughout. It was very clear that people just needed an excuse - any excuse - to vote for Trump. This is also why the Comey letter was so effective - it provided the excuse needed for many republicans.

However, I do take come comfort in the fact that Trumps "strongly disapprove" numbers are usually 50+%.

[American2020]

Maryland

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.wbaltv.com/article/poll-approval-ratings-for-gov-hogan-pres-trump/12462526

[pbrower2a]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.wbaltv.com/article/poll-approval-ratings-for-gov-hogan-pres-trump/12462526

This is the first polling data that I have seen for any state for the last couple of weeks. I hope to see more soon from states more critical to the re-election of the President . Even if the state is Maryland, which President Trump cannot win in a free election, the "71% disapproval" is significantly worse than what I already had at "66% ".

This is the sort of support that one would expect of someone about to be overthrown in a military coup in some other country. Fortunately for President Trump Maryland is far out of the national average.

But just imagine how nasty things would be in America if the 71% approval were nationwide and we were nowhere near the next Presidential election.

Approval

Trump ahead      Trump behind

55% or higher    45% to 49%
50% to 54%       40% to 44%  
45% to 49%       under 40%

Ties are in white.



Disapproval:

60% or higher  (deep red)
57% to 59%
55% to 56%
50% to 54%
46% to 49%
43% to 45%
42% or less


Ties are in white.


That's 68 electoral votes in places in which the President has disapproval ratings of 70% or more,  108 in which his disapproval is in excess of 65%, and 231 in which his disapproval ratings are 60% or higher.  

[JA]

This is the first polling data that I have seen for any state for the last couple of weeks. I hope to see more soon from states more critical to the re-election of the President . Even if the state is Maryland, which President Trump cannot win in a free election, the "71% disapproval" is significantly worse than what I already had at "66% ".

This is the sort of support that one would expect of someone about to be overthrown in a military coup in some other country.

That's absurd and factually inaccurate. Have you seen the opinion polling of some other Western leaders? Francois Hollande was regularly in the single-digits for much/most of his Presidency in France.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 9/24

Approve 39 (-1)
Disapprove 54 (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, 9/25

Approve 39 (nc)
Disapprove 56 (+2)

[pbrower2a]

This is the first polling data that I have seen for any state for the last couple of weeks. I hope to see more soon from states more critical to the re-election of the President . Even if the state is Maryland, which President Trump cannot win in a free election, the "71% disapproval" is significantly worse than what I already had at "66% ".

This is the sort of support that one would expect of someone about to be overthrown in a military coup in some other country.

That's absurd and factually inaccurate. Have you seen the opinion polling of some other Western leaders? Francois Hollande was regularly in the single-digits for much/most of his Presidency in France.

1. I refer to Maryland, which is a huge, well-known outlier in American politics.

2. I can hardly imagine America going so bad that President Trump could ever have an approval rating near 71% nationwide until he is close to leaving office (like three years from now) when the solution is to wait him out. Truman and Dubya got similar disapproval ratings near the ends of their Presidencies. Nixon? The Vice-President (once Spiro Agnew resigned) was a viable option.

3. France is not the sort of country in which military coups happen.

[pbrower2a]

3. France is not the sort of country in which military coups happen.

Barack Obama got along well with the military and intelligence services, much unlike President Trump. Caution and decency go a long way in leadership.

The Obama Presidency was a bad time in which to be a terrorist.

[Virginiá]

Gallup (September 26th)

Approve 37% (-2)
Disapprove 58% (+2)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup (September 26th)

Approve 37% (-2)
Disapprove 58% (+2)

I think this is pretty close to Trump's norm in Gallup for now.  Occasionally it drifts up or down a few points, but soon reverts to the mean.  Unless something really game-changing occurs, this trend will probably continue for a while.

[BudgieForce]

Qunnipiac:

Approve - 36%(+1)
Disapprove - 57%(-2)

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2487