Trump approval ratings thread 1.1

[windjammer]

YouGov, May 20-23 compared to May 13-16
All Adults:
39 (-/-)
51 (-/-)
RV:
40 (+1)
53 (-1)


Morning Consult, May 18-22 compared to May 16-18
RV:
46 (+5)
50 (-2)


Ipsos, May 18-22 compared to May 13-17
All Adults:
37 (-2)
57 (+1)
LV:
36 (-5)
58 (+3)

That means absolutely nothing,...

[windjammer]

New York (Siena):

Favorable 30%
Unfavorable 65%

NYC: 27/67
Suburbs: 32/66
Upstate: 33/63

Job Approval:

Excellent/Good 27%
Fair/Poor 71% (Poor is at 57%)

NYC: 24/73
Suburbs: 30/70
Upstate: 30/70

Wow, didn't he carry upstate in 2016?

[windjammer]

I believe he will end up around 30% job approval for the midterms.

[windjammer]

Texas Tribune/YouGov - TX: 43/51

Second poll to have Trump underwater in Texas

That seems to be in line with his -20 approval

[windjammer]

West Virginia still holding strong for Trump

Trump approval: 62/31

He carried it by 50 points right?
So that is in line with his national job approval

[windjammer]

Gallup (July 1st)

Approve 37% (-1)
Disapprove 57% (-/-)

He's in the high 30's low 40's for quite a while.

[windjammer]

Gallup (July 3rd)

Approve 37% (-2)
Disapprove 57% (+1)

I wonder if he could go down under 35%.

[windjammer]

Still significant in that we have someone else matching Gallup's numbers. Gallup and Quinnipiac have consistently been the only two showing this big of a gap. Granted, other pollsters have had his disapproval mired in the mid to upper 50's, but his approval has ranged from 35-43 among all the non-Morning Consult polls.

Oh, well when you put it like that, I guess it is kind of significant. I'm just wondering if he'll stay this far underwater both this November and the late October/early November after that. Those are the most important time periods of the next 2 years where it'll count.

Given his consistently high 'strong disapprove' numbers, I'm inclined to think it has some serious staying power.

I think he can go down to 30% approval ratings.

[windjammer]

Arkansas - Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College poll of Trump approval:

Approve - 50%
Disapprove - 47%

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http://katv.com/news/local/president-trumps-job-approval-in-arkansas-50-47

That means he's likely unpopular in MO and IN

[windjammer]

Paging pbrower2a: Gallup daily tracking poll averages of approvals in all 50 states

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WV (60), ND (59), and SD (57) are Trump's best states, while VT (26), MA (29), CA & MD (30 each) are his worst.

These kind of 50 states polls are almost always garbage for the record.

[windjammer]

Gallup

Approve 36% (-1)
Disapprove 59% (+1)

What was his worst Gallup approval?

[windjammer]

Gallup (July 29th)

Approve 38% (-1)
Disapprove 57% (+1)

It has been for a long time he's between 35-40 now right?

[windjammer]

Trump below 40% for the first time ever in a Rasmussen poll:

Approve - 39%
Disapprove - 61%

http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_jul31

Rassy is and will always be trash, but this is amusing.

^^

[windjammer]

I would love him to go under 35, but I'm dreaming

[windjammer]

Gallup (August 3rd)

Approve 36% (-/-)
Disapprove 58% (-/-)

I want him under 35

[windjammer]

At this point, even I disapprove.

May I ask why?

[windjammer]

Opinion Savvy National Poll:

Lol I thoight that was 47% strongly support trump, I was scared haha

[windjammer]

Gallup (8/22)

Approve 35% (-)
Disapprove 60% (+1)

He's close to his record right?

[windjammer]

Guys, that poll of WV is garbage: please don't take it seriously. The only metric anybody should have any credence in is the fact that Manchin has likely almost wrapped up his re-election.

Give all the undecideds/others to the GOP in each contest and it might be somewhat accurate; Trump and Capito are probably around 60% in WV, and Justice is probably around 55%.

"Wrapped up his election"
What does that mean?

[windjammer]

What could be causing it? Could this be all noise or is the country lunging back to the right?

I think it is probably just the natural disasters of late. They sucked up most of the media attention, which in the past has been shown to help him. Additionally, since the government didn't bungle the response(s), he is probably given credit for that on some level. Other than that, Trump really hasn't done anything. If this trend is due to the hurricanes/etc, then I would expect his numbers to again slide once the spotlight is fully back on him. As you can see, he is already generating controversy again, as is usual.

Yes, I think it is because of the Hurricanes. No real controversies during this period and he didn't screw up.