State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread

[Ebsy]

So we are up to 4 Democratic special election tonight, 11 for the year. Unprecedented gains.

Is that 2 NH + 2 GA races?

1 NH HD and 3 GA (2 HD and 1 SD)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

DEMS WIN DISTRICT 45 IN WA:

Legislative District 45 - State SenatorCounty Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Manka Dhingra(Prefers Democratic Party)
16,156   55.42%
Jinyoung Lee Englund(Prefers Republican Party)
12,997   44.58%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   29,153   

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

3 calls in lesser profile races:

Legislative District 48 - State SenatorCounty Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Patty Kuderer(Prefers Democratic Party)
11,555   67.85%
Michelle Darnell(Prefers Libertarian Party)
5,474   32.15%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   17,029   

Legislative District 48 - State Representative Pos. 1County Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Vandana Slatter(Prefers Democratic Party)
12,139   72.73%
Ciaran Dougherty(Prefers Libertarian Party)
4,552   27.27%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   16,691   

Legislative District 37 - State SenatorCounty Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Rebecca Saldaña(Prefers Democratic Party)
14,891   

[Ebsy]

Now up to 5 for the night, 12 for the year.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

We can call the other 4 WA leg races now:

Legislative District 7 - State SenatorCounty Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Shelly Short(Prefers Republican Party)
1,324   69.54%
Karen Hardy(Prefers Democratic Party)
580   30.46%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   1,904   

Legislative District 7 - State Representative Pos. 1County Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Jacquelin Maycumber(Prefers Republican Party)
1,338   70.38%
Susan Swanson(Prefers Democratic Party)
563   29.62%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   1,901   

Legislative District 31 - State SenatorCounty Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Phil Fortunato(Prefers Republican Party)
9,601   57.06%
Michelle Rylands(Prefers Democratic Party)
7,224   42.94%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   16,825   

Legislative District 31 - State Representative Pos. 2County Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Morgan Irwin(Prefers Republican Party)
9,461   57.11%
Nate Lowry(Prefers Democratic Party)
7,106   42.89%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   16,567   

[Oryxslayer]

We can call the other 4 WA leg races now:

Legislative District 7 - State SenatorCounty Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Shelly Short(Prefers Republican Party)
1,324   69.54%
Karen Hardy(Prefers Democratic Party)
580   30.46%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   1,904   

Legislative District 7 - State Representative Pos. 1County Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Jacquelin Maycumber(Prefers Republican Party)
1,338   70.38%
Susan Swanson(Prefers Democratic Party)
563   29.62%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   1,901   

Legislative District 31 - State SenatorCounty Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Phil Fortunato(Prefers Republican Party)
9,601   57.06%
Michelle Rylands(Prefers Democratic Party)
7,224   42.94%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   16,825   

Legislative District 31 - State Representative Pos. 2County Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Morgan Irwin(Prefers Republican Party)
9,461   57.11%
Nate Lowry(Prefers Democratic Party)
7,106   42.89%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   16,567   

Have you got the numbers form the Michigan race - I didn't see them but its getting late so I just might have missed them.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

^ Not seeing any results for MI.


We can call the court race now for WA:

Spokane Superior Court - Judge Position 6County Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Tony Hazel
37,914   61.71%
Jocelyn Cook
23,526   38.29%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   61,440   

Still left: MA, MI, MS, District 60, 89 in GA

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Michigan District 1 goes to the DEMS:

Candidate Party Election Day AVCB Total
Mark Corcoran REP 769 1,782 2,551 25.03%
Tenisha Yancey DEM 5,070 2,196 7,266 71.30%


https://www.waynecounty.com/elected/clerk/election-results.aspx

[Ebsy]

Michigan HD 109 is an important race that could serve as a good indicator for control of the Michigan legislature next year. Very interested to see the result.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Runoff for Georgia 89:

State House - District 89 - Special General
14 of 14 Precincts Reporting - 100%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Nguyen, Bee   Dem   4,215   40%
Varghese, Sachin   Dem   3,604   34%
Keane, Monique   Dem   1,852   17%
Abbott, David   Dem   944   9%

[Skill and Chance]

Projecting a runoff for state senate district 6 in GA

State Senate - District 6 - Special General
18 of 50 Precincts Reporting - 36%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Howard, Jaha   Dem   3,848   31%
Jordan, Jen   Dem   2,911   24%
Aldridge, Leah   GOP   1,683   14%
Bentley, Matt   GOP   1,584   13%
Fiveash, Charlie   GOP   1,523   12%
Eichenblatt, Kathy   GOP   292   2%
Wynn, Taos   Dem   270   2%
Smith, Leo   GOP   176   1%

Isn't this a Dem pickup by default now?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

^ Yes.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Projecting a runoff for state senate district 6 in GA

State Senate - District 6 - Special General
18 of 50 Precincts Reporting - 36%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Howard, Jaha   Dem   3,848   31%
Jordan, Jen   Dem   2,911   24%
Aldridge, Leah   GOP   1,683   14%
Bentley, Matt   GOP   1,584   13%
Fiveash, Charlie   GOP   1,523   12%
Eichenblatt, Kathy   GOP   292   2%
Wynn, Taos   Dem   270   2%
Smith, Leo   GOP   176   1%

Isn't this a Dem pickup by default now?

Looks like it. This is good news for Ossoff if he wants run again.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

And a runoff for GA district 60:

State House - District 60 - Special General
18 of 20 Precincts Reporting - 90%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Schofield, Kim   Dem   1,758   36%
Pickett, De'Andre   Dem   1,707   35%
Adams, Sparkle Dem   1,468   30%

Still left: MI 109, MS, MA

[Ebsy]

Michigan HD 109: Dem Hold

Cambensy wins with 61.5 percent. 8,735 - 5,465

[Antonio the Sixth]

DEMS WIN DISTRICT 45 IN WA:

Legislative District 45 - State SenatorCounty Results & Map
Candidate   Vote   Vote %
Manka Dhingra(Prefers Democratic Party)
16,156   55.42%
Jinyoung Lee Englund(Prefers Republican Party)
12,997   44.58%
Total Votes (not including write-ins)   29,153   

ATLAS-RED WEST COAST

[kph14]

Two days ago was the filing deadline in Georgia's 6th Senate district.
It is a suburban district that voted: 55-40 Clinton and 52-48 R in 2016.

Three Democrats (including the 2016 nominee) and five Republicans filed. Jungle Primary is on Nov 7 and a runoff would be on Dec 5. If no clear frontrunner appears on the Republican site maybe two Dems will make it to the runoff

I got this one right. Despite the fact that R leads D 51-49 with one precinct still missing, two Democrats will emerge to the runoff

[Skill and Chance]

Two days ago was the filing deadline in Georgia's 6th Senate district.
It is a suburban district that voted: 55-40 Clinton and 52-48 R in 2016.

Three Democrats (including the 2016 nominee) and five Republicans filed. Jungle Primary is on Nov 7 and a runoff would be on Dec 5. If no clear frontrunner appears on the Republican site maybe two Dems will make it to the runoff

I got this one right. Despite the fact that R leads D 51-49 with one precinct still missing, two Democrats will emerge to the runoff

Should the D vs. D runoff be considered an upset?  I'm sure CA's GOP congressmen are shuddering at the thought even though it's in another state.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Michigan HD 109: Dem Hold

Cambensy wins with 61.5 percent. 8,735 - 5,465

It looks like you were just looking at one County. Full result is:

      Votes   Percent   
REP
Rossway, Rich   8,362   42.17%
DEM
Cambensy, Sara   11,199   56.48%
GRN
Roberts, Wade   266   1.34%
Total Votes:   19,827

http://miboecfr.nictusa.com/election/results/2017SG2_CENR.html

Also, ballotpedia is reporting that Dems won both of the specials in MA. For MS (elections are non-partisan):

Senate 10: Sharon Gipson and Neil Whaley advance to runoff

House 38: Cheikh Taylor wins outright

House 54: Randy Easterling and Kevin Ford advance to runoff

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Here's the schedule for the rest of the year:

Nov. 14 - Oklahoma Senate 37, Senate 45, House 76

Nov. 18 - LA runoffs - House 77, Treasurer, Division J Civil District Judge

Nov. 28 - MS runoffs - Senate 10 and House 54

Dec. 5 - GA runoffs - House 60, 89, Senate 6, 39 + CA State Assembly 51, Massachusetts State Senate Worcester & Middlesex District, PA House 133

Dec. 12 - Iowa Senate 3

Dec. 19 - Florida House 58, Mississippi Senate 49, Tennessee Senate 17

[Ebsy]

Special Elections on Tuesday:

Oklahoma HD 76

This Tulsa area seat was last contested in 2016, voting for incumbent David Brumbaugh 68-32. Romney won it 71-29 in 2012 and Trump won it by a less impressive 65-30 in 2016.

DEM: Chris Vanlandingham
GOP: Ross Ford

Oklahoma SD 37

This seat in Tulsa was contested in 2016, with the GOP incumbent only garnering 55.7% of the vote against a Democratic and Independent opponent. It went 67-27 Trump in 2016 and 69-31 Romney in 2012. My gut instinct says that if patterns in Oklahoma are replicated, this seat seems likely to flip.

DEM: Allison Ikley-Freeman
GOP: Brian O'Hara

Oklahoma SD 45

This Oklahoma City seat has not been contested in several years at least, and went 67-27 Trump in 2016 and 70-30 Romney in 2012. This seat is definitely an uphill battle for Dems.

DEM: Steven Vincent
GOP: Paul Rosino

[Maxwell]

Martin O'Malley is coming down to campaign for Allison Ikey-Freeman - I almost went to see him.

[Doimper]

It feels like there's been a ton of Oklahoma special elections.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Martin O'Malley is coming down to campaign for Allison Ikey-Freeman - I almost went to see him.

Do people in OK generally know who O'Malley is?

[Maxwell]

It feels like there's been a ton of Oklahoma special elections.

there's been a lot of rats jumping off the sinking ship - also one guy (Brumbaugh) died, sadly.

Martin O'Malley is coming down to campaign for Allison Ikey-Freeman - I almost went to see him.

Do people in OK generally know who O'Malley is?

Only Dem activists - but that's his reason for coming anyway, to fire them up.