State Legislature Special Election Mega Thread

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Harris wins portion of IA-12 special in van buren county 1031-612
https://mobile.twitter.com/libmeyer/status/895107790292824064

[Virginiá]

The general for Washington  is in November not next month.

oopsies, corrected. I wasn't sure, which is why I put a (?) after month.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Miller wins Jefferson County 2792-1200
https://mobile.twitter.com/libmeyer/status/895117732865339392

Edit: Miller wins IA-82 4021-3324

[Ebsy]

32 point swing from the 2016 presidential results.

[Mike Thick]

32 point swing from the 2016 presidential results.

Was just about to post this. We're winning bigly, folks.

[jamestroll]

Well at least one bit of good news tonight.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Next election:

Senate   RI   13   8/22/17

[Ebsy]

Obama won IA HD-82 50-48 in 2012 so this is a fantastic performance for Democrats.

[Dr. Arch]

That is a ginormous win. There is a light in IA yet.

[Holmes]

That is a ginormous win. There is a light in IA yet.

Yup. Iowa was never gone but it'll take some work to get the state back to 2008-2012 levels for Democrats. A full slate and good showing in 2018 and a strong Democratic candidate in 2020 would go a long way.

[MarkD]

Breakdown of the MO HD-50 vote.
Boone County ....... Sara Walsh (R) 2,540 to Michela Skelton (D) 2,875
Cole County .......... Sara Walsh (R) 132 to Michela Skelton (D) 67
Cooper County ...... Sara Walsh (R) 212 to Michela Skelton (D) 85
Moniteau County ... Sara Walsh (R) 853 to Michela Skelton (D) 412

The raw number of votes cast in this special election -- 7,176 -- is only slightly smaller than the number of votes that were cast in a St. Louis suburban, predominantly black, district three years ago; HD-67 had a special election in which 7,372 votes were cast. But these races had higher turnout than most Missouri mid-term special elections, which is often 6,000 down to less than 2,000.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Pretty excited for HD-50 on Tuesday. Hopefully Skelton does well.

I predict a Skelton win. As well as a Miller win in IA-HD-82 (the seat is a Democratic seat that Trump won 58-37)

I think Miller wins with the sympathy vote. I think Skelton could too, although I am putting my fake money on Walsh, though if Skelton does win, I would credit it to her last name. Skalicky definitely loses, too R. Nothing in terms of margins of the Missouri seats, as they don't have enough recent history to compare it with, and I don't know much about the two districts. But, I think Miller wins 54-46.

Were my guesses good, or were they good? Particularly talking about Iowa here folks.

[Donerail]

Special election will be happening in Florida's 58th House District (in northeast HIllsborough County) after incumbent Rep. Dan Raulerson (R) resigned because of back pain. Initially this looked like it may be competitive - it's a GOP-leaning seat that Trump won by ten, but Dems were recruiting a credible candidate in former Plant City Mayor John Dicks and do have a registration advantage. Dicks, however, decided not to run, and as he was the only candidate the local party had been "actively recruiting" it seems like the FDP is gonna punt on this race.

Meanwhile, in House District 44 (eastern Orange County), a seat Hillary won by 7, a special election will be happening on October 10th. Democrats nominated some dude Paul Chandler, but a recent lawsuit may throw him off the ballot. Candidates must live in Florida for two years in order to run for state office, and the lawsuit claims Chandler voted in Missouri in November of 2016.

[mds32]

Next special election will be RI-SD-13 on Aug. 22nd:
Dawn Euer (D)
Michael Smith (R)
Gregory Larson (G)
Kimberly Ripoli (I)

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

IK it is a little off topic, but could we please get links for fairfax at large school board race, birmingham al mayoral race, mobile al mayoral race, and Rhode Island sd 13 elections today please? As well as the candidates, their bios, their beliefs, and affiliations, thanks.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

This is for state leg results, not candidate research or school board/mayoral elections, and there does not appear to be a page for RI-13.

[Ebsy]

Polls closed in Rhode Island, still looking around for results.

[Ebsy]

Shenanigans afoot in Rhode Island SD 13. Apparently half of a batch of mail ballots have been embargoed because they were all notarized by the same person.

[Ebsy]

From the counted mail ballots: https://twitter.com/JohnMarionjr/status/900148205052186626

John Marion‏ @JohnMarionjr  2m2 minutes ago
More
 Mail ballot totals for District 13: Euer 181, Smith 78, other 2.

So,

Euer (DEM): 181
Smith (GOP): 78

[Ebsy]

The seat was a 65-30 Clinton seat, 65-33 Obama.

[Ebsy]

Euer has won by a lot, not seeing a good source on the exact numbers however.

Edit: Looks like it is going to end up being around 60-40.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Do we have actual vote totals?

[Ebsy]

Do we have actual vote totals?

I think I saw election day vote totals but nothing final from election day and vote by mail due to the embargoed ballots.

Euer (DEM): 1811
Smith (GOP): 1217
Larson (GRE): 19
Ripoli (LIB): 71

[Holmes]

IK it is a little off topic, but could we please get links for fairfax at large school board race, birmingham al mayoral race, mobile al mayoral race, and Rhode Island sd 13 elections today please? As well as the candidates, their bios, their beliefs, and affiliations, thanks.

Re: Birmingham Mayor:

"Excitement building at Randall Woodfin party. Mayoral challenger has 46% of vote with 1/3 of vote counted. Mayor Bell trails @WVTM13"

Wonderful news!

Crazy, but not unwelcome.

[Holmes]

I've just read the articles that have popped up here and there over the past few days about the race. You've probably seen them too. It's my impression that Bell isn't unpopular but people want someone new. Bell is basically Some Guy who became mayor.