MD-Expedition Strategies/Hogan Leads Gansler in Match-up

[mds32]

Governor

Hogan (R) 47%
Gansler (D) 38%

Hogan (R) 48%
Delaney (D) 35%

Hogan (R) 48%
Baker (D) 34%

Hogan (R) 49%
Kamenetz (D) 34%

Hogan (R) 49%
Jealous (D) 33%

https://marylandmattersblog.wordpress.com/2017/05/22/poll-shows-gansler-faring-better-against-hogan-than-other-dems/

[TheSaint250]

Likely R to Safe R.

[_]

Lean to Likely R, barring a major scandal Hogan wins reelection, same as Baker.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean to Likely R, barring a major scandal Hogan wins reelection, same as Baker.

Its early, the only R's that's really safe are Walker, open seat in Iowa and Scott, an anti Trump environment can wash away Hogen and win the governorship mansion in Ohio with Sutton

Dems should really pound OH, MI, PA, NH and MD hard as well as IL, NV, VA, CO and NJ

[MT Treasurer]

This is a Democratic pollster. I suspect the race will tighten anyway, though. Tossup.

[Maxwell]

There is literally another year before this election happens.

Lean to Likely R, barring a major scandal Hogan wins reelection, same as Baker.

Likely R to Safe R.

also oh dear god I hope Maryland dems don't nominate Doug Gansler the guy is a walking disaster.

[History505]

Not surprised, Hogan is having the advantage on incumbency and having not terrible approval ratings at the moment. But it is still very early and the primaries are not even until June of next year,  and people are not really focused on an Election about over a year away.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MD, NH, ME and IL should be very tight as well as OH and FL, Dems should not give up on these races.  But, Phil Scott, Walker  Iowa and MA with Baker are completely gone

[_]

MD, NH, ME and IL should be very tight as well as OH and FL, Dems should not give up on these races.  But, Phil Scott, Walker  Iowa and MA with Baker are completely gone

Wait you think Illinois will be close?  Is it because the now likely nominee is Pritzker?

[Figueira]

Lean R, regardless of this poll.

[KingSweden]

With Gansler: Safe R

Anyone else: Lean R

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

These are good numbers. Because Maryland is Marylander I'd hesitate to call it anymore more than Lean R but this is quite encouraging.

[Doimper]

Ugh.

[Mike Thick]

What's so awful about Gansler?

[Maxwell]

What's so awful about Gansler?

Major gaffe machine, censured for discussing evidence at a new conference, attended his sons party where there was underage drinking, and is John Edwards-level phony.

Gansler only polls so high because of name recognition. Democrats can do a million times better.

[Lothal1]

What's so awful about Gansler?

Major gaffe machine, censured for discussing evidence at a new conference, attended his sons party where there was underage drinking, and is John Edwards-level phony.

Gansler only polls so high because of name recognition. Democrats can do a million times better.

He's not much better than most of the Democrats in Maryland, IMO. Most are corrupt or are hacks.

[Kamala]

Could Donna Edwards potentially run? She ran for Senate last year but was defeated by Van Hollen in the primary.

[Pollster]

I've never worked in Maryland politics and have no idea what the field looks like, but a quick skim over the race leads me to believe that Rushern Baker would be the best candidate against Hogan. Am I on the right track?

[PragmaticPopulist]

These are very early numbers, and I don't believe any Republican, no matter how popular, is safe in Maryland unless Democrats nominate a laughable candidate. Gonna give it Lean R for now.

[sg0508]

The GOP ceiling is very low in MD, maybe 53-54%.  Ironically, I think a third party candidate would help Hogan more than hurt him.

The problems? Mitch McConnell and Donald Trump. it will be the same problem that Linc Chafee had in RI in his '06 Senate Campaign despite high popularity.  "Do you really want a Republican governor with these guys destroying the nation?" It was NOT a hard case for Sheldon Whitehouse to make.

The same will happen to Mr. Hogan based upon the political environment of the GOP leadership.

I believe the Democrats win this one back.

[Kleine Scheiße]

This is an election that hasn't actually started yet. I can promise you Rushern Baker would be polling considerably higher if anyone knew who he was yet.

Hogan is not as popular as many think.