Chait: Trump budget relies on 2 Trillion $ Math Error
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  Chait: Trump budget relies on 2 Trillion $ Math Error
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Author Topic: Chait: Trump budget relies on 2 Trillion $ Math Error  (Read 1281 times)
ApatheticAustrian
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« on: May 23, 2017, 02:18:02 PM »


Trump Budget Based on $2 Trillion Math Error
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2017/05/trump-budget-based-on-usd2-trillion-math-error.html?mid=twitter_nymag


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Hermit For Peace
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« Reply #1 on: May 23, 2017, 02:30:37 PM »


Trump math. An alternate system of evaluation, based in the imagination.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #2 on: May 23, 2017, 02:36:14 PM »

...amazing.
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American2020
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« Reply #3 on: May 23, 2017, 08:04:27 PM »

I have one word for Trump: Incompetence
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jfern
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« Reply #4 on: May 23, 2017, 08:06:03 PM »

The Bush administration also claimed that cutting taxes increases revenues.

http://www.brendan-nyhan.com/blog/2011/07/bush-white-house-said-tax-cuts-increase-revenue.html
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Santander
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« Reply #5 on: May 23, 2017, 08:23:20 PM »

Trump campaigned on the politics of addition. Hillary campaigned on the politics of division.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #6 on: May 23, 2017, 08:24:49 PM »

I have one word for Trump: Incompetence
Seriously forget everything else just make that the issue to run on in 2018 & 2020 because that sums everything going on now: Russia/Comey/Flynn, the Muslim ban losing in court, an the AHCA just pure incompetence
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #7 on: May 23, 2017, 08:32:31 PM »

Trump campaigned on the politics of addition. Hillary campaigned on the politics of division.

If that's true, he needs to learn how to add.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #8 on: May 23, 2017, 08:32:36 PM »

He's using the same math he uses to calculate his net worth.



(What really scares me is that is probably true.)
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #9 on: May 24, 2017, 01:15:58 AM »

Has the CBO confirmed this yet ?
Have they issued their numbers on the trump budget yet ?
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #10 on: May 24, 2017, 05:19:55 AM »

Has the CBO confirmed this yet ?
Have they issued their numbers on the trump budget yet ?

besides it being much too early for that, can the CBO really judge the revenue increase of 4 trillion through cutting revenue in a serious way? ;p
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Torie
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« Reply #11 on: May 24, 2017, 05:55:31 AM »

The budget guy in the executive branch missed this?  That seems hard to believe. Yes, I believe it of Trump, but not from his bean counters.
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Badger
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« Reply #12 on: May 24, 2017, 06:48:57 AM »

The budget guy in the executive branch missed this?  That seems hard to believe. Yes, I believe it of Trump, but not from his bean counters.

Torie, knowing everything everything we do about Trump and his being more reliant on yes men than literally any human being on the planet, why should the jettisoning of all truth in any calculations coming out of the White House be remotely surprising? 
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shua
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« Reply #13 on: May 24, 2017, 05:24:59 PM »

"Error" implies this was a mistake and not just the most shameless example yet of a kind of double counting that happens very often in DC.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #14 on: May 24, 2017, 06:05:32 PM »

The budget guy in the executive branch missed this?  That seems hard to believe. Yes, I believe it of Trump, but not from his bean counters.

Mick Mulvaney is an ideas guy, not a bean counter.
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Badger
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« Reply #15 on: May 25, 2017, 12:23:24 PM »

"Error" implies this was a mistake and not just the most shameless example yet of a kind of double counting that happens very often in DC.

There have been countless Rosie projections for budgets in Washington, sure. Mostly along the lines of projecting particularly and not altogether realistic economic growth to artificially increased Revenue, particularly when coupled with tax cuts that will supposedly stimulate the economy. This however is entirely on a new plane where it is absolute complete double Counting. It is the mathematical equivalent of saying two plus two equals 6 buy double counting the first two. It's unprecedented and it's grotesque dishonesty and disdain for the American public in their ability to see what's going on
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shua
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« Reply #16 on: May 25, 2017, 05:08:03 PM »

"Error" implies this was a mistake and not just the most shameless example yet of a kind of double counting that happens very often in DC.

There have been countless Rosie projections for budgets in Washington, sure. Mostly along the lines of projecting particularly and not altogether realistic economic growth to artificially increased Revenue, particularly when coupled with tax cuts that will supposedly stimulate the economy. This however is entirely on a new plane where it is absolute complete double Counting. It is the mathematical equivalent of saying two plus two equals 6 buy double counting the first two. It's unprecedented and it's grotesque dishonesty and disdain for the American public in their ability to see what's going on

lol double counting is not unprecedented.  only usually it's just hundreds of billions of dollars.
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #17 on: May 25, 2017, 07:09:30 PM »

https://www.forbes.com/sites/mikepatton/2012/10/15/do-tax-cuts-increase-government-revenue/#4f85545b4bf2
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #18 on: May 25, 2017, 07:15:38 PM »
« Edited: May 25, 2017, 07:19:03 PM by GeorgiaModerate »



For an opposing viewpoint...

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ETA: The author is the head of the Accounting Department and holds the Frank M. Burke Chair in Taxation at Texas Tech University: https://www.depts.ttu.edu/rawlsbusiness/people/faculty/accounting/robert-ricketts/
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Badger
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« Reply #19 on: May 25, 2017, 09:56:22 PM »


And Forbes is basically a supply-side rag. Nuff said.
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Badger
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« Reply #20 on: May 25, 2017, 09:58:09 PM »

"Error" implies this was a mistake and not just the most shameless example yet of a kind of double counting that happens very often in DC.

There have been countless Rosie projections for budgets in Washington, sure. Mostly along the lines of projecting particularly and not altogether realistic economic growth to artificially increased Revenue, particularly when coupled with tax cuts that will supposedly stimulate the economy. This however is entirely on a new plane where it is absolute complete double Counting. It is the mathematical equivalent of saying two plus two equals 6 buy double counting the first two. It's unprecedented and it's grotesque dishonesty and disdain for the American public in their ability to see what's going on

lol double counting is not unprecedented.  only usually it's just hundreds of billions of dollars.

No, there have been plenty of examples of inflating the revenue effects of tax cuts or revenue projections in general, but find one legit example of bona-fide double counting.

One can't play the "everyone does it" to excuse Trump. It's a whole new level of cheating.
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