Create a map for the 2020 map except all ethnic groups vote like its '76
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  Create a map for the 2020 map except all ethnic groups vote like its '76
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Author Topic: Create a map for the 2020 map except all ethnic groups vote like its '76  (Read 921 times)
The Chill Moderate Republican
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« on: May 23, 2017, 07:34:28 PM »

I wonder what an electoral map would look like if all the ethnic groups and age groups voted in the exact same way. I miss the good old days when we had more then 10+ swing states.
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #1 on: May 23, 2017, 08:32:10 PM »

I don't have a map for this, but Trump would get absolutely destroyed... 1976 whites only voted for Ford 52-47 and Hispanics voted Carter 75-24, though blacks voted for Carter "only" 82-16 while there wasn't any Asian voting data on Wikipedia (probably since they barely showed up on the radar outside Hawaii at the time).
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: May 23, 2017, 08:56:25 PM »

There won't be a 2016 or a 2000 map of any sort, cause the Dems are likely to control the House, Senate and Prez in 2020, meaning just like in 2008, since most of the Governorships will fall to the Dems, likewise, the swing states like PA, MI WI and VA will go Dem giving them at least 279
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #3 on: May 23, 2017, 09:06:29 PM »

it would be similar to the '96 map
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Figueira
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« Reply #4 on: May 23, 2017, 09:42:27 PM »

Just using racial data on the RCP calculator, I got a map that's identical to 2008 except with Arizona voting Democratic. Also Texas is really close.
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #5 on: May 24, 2017, 04:32:53 PM »

Just using racial data on the RCP calculator, I got a map that's identical to 2008 except with Arizona voting Democratic. Also Texas is really close.

Same except Texas wasn't close when I did it.

I used the data DPKdebator used. Whites (both college and no college) 52% Dem, Hispanics 75% Dem, and blacks 82% Dem. I didn't adjust the default turnout.

Popular vote w/ 2% third party: 54.7 - 43.6 Dem
Electoral college: 359 - 179 Dem
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #6 on: May 24, 2017, 07:30:49 PM »

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