Post body-slam: Who wins in MT-AL?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Quist pre-bosy slam, Quist post-body slam as well, only by a bigger margin.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Quist pre-bosy slam, Quist post-body slam as well, only by a bigger margin.

[Webnicz]

We are going to be up late tonight.

Quist +0.4

[cvparty]

going with gianforte...a majority of the votes had already been cast

[The Arizonan]

Sticking with Gianforte, as if the GOP voter cares about all this - The freaking President kept making racist, sexist & despicable attacks & bragged about sexually assaulting women.

Look how that turned out! I doubt it hurts Gianforte too much, this is the guy who believes Dinosaurs walked in Noah's ark or something & retirement is against the Bible ! His voters will be perfectly okay with all this !

*Trump mode* But Greg Gianforte is a tremendous candidate for Congress, believe me.

[_]

Please god let Quist win, I don't want another special election and we can beat him in 2018.

[Tintrlvr]

I think still Gianforte, in part because early voting means there are relatively few votes still to be cast, but Gianforte might have won even without any early voting because Quist ran a pretty bad campaign.

[Figueira]

I don't see why the early voting thing is bad for Quist, when he probably won most of the early votes anyway. The danger is  people not knowing/caring about the bodyslam on Election Day, or actually approving of it.

[OneJ]

Due to the fact that I am pessimistic about this race and don't want my heart to be torn to pieces today, I will give Gianforte the 3 point edge.

A good case scenario is that  Gianforte wins, but may have to decline the seat, do something else outrageous, wait until the trial on June 7, or whatever else, then a special election would be held, giving Quist another chance (and likely a better chance) of getting that seat. As you can see, that's a dream.

So it looks like I will be up late tonight.

[SoLongAtlas]

Gianforte. Over 2/3rds of the vote has already been cast and most people will not change their early vote (which is legal in MT).

EDIT: Same day voting is legal in Montana, early vote changing is not.

[ApatheticAustrian]

Gianforte. Over 2/3rds of the vote has already been cast and most people will not change their early vote (which is legal in MT).

it is?

yesterday i read, people want to change the law to allow it.

[Devout Centrist]

Quist  by 3.6%

[SoLongAtlas]

Gianforte. Over 2/3rds of the vote has already been cast and most people will not change their early vote (which is legal in MT).

it is?

yesterday i read, people want to change the law to allow it.

Ok yeah, what I read was wrong the other day. They do allow for same day registration which might help Quist but it prob won't be enough. https://townhall.com/tipsheet/cortneyobrien/2017/05/25/after-rescinding-endorsement-of-gianforte-montana-newspaper-wants-early-voting-changed-n2331639

Fixed it above. I think vote changing would be a good idea to reflect last minute insanity like yesterday. The laws haven't caught up to the modern era on this, 24/7 news cycle, etc.

[Tender Branson]

Still Gianforte.

By about 3-10%.

[Figueira]

I guess my official prediction will be Gianforte winning by an infuriatingly close margin, like 1%.

[JMT]

I originally thought Gianforte would win, but I now think Quist will narrowly pull off a victory. But man, I really don't know. Could go either way, and it will be really close.

[Horsemask]

Gianforte will win. All this will do is strengthen his support among the Trumpite strain of GOP.

[krazen1211]

Gianforte will win.

And Navy Seal Rob O'neill is preparing to run for Senate!

Link

[_]

Gianforte will win.

And Navy Seal Rob O'neill is preparing to run for Senate!

Link

Lol, this guy will go nowhere in the primary.

Also, I changed my vote from Quist to Gianforte. I think he will make it, but it will be way closer than it should have been, not just because of what happened yesterday. I'm the glad the election will be over very soon.

Who will be the GOP Nominee for the second special after Gianforte resigns?

[The_Doctor]

Gianforte will win.

And Navy Seal Rob O'neill is preparing to run for Senate!

Link

Lol, this guy will go nowhere in the primary.

Also, I changed my vote from Quist to Gianforte. I think he will make it, but it will be way closer than it should have been, not just because of what happened yesterday. I'm the glad the election will be over very soon.

You're making me dizzy I can't keep up and I rely on you for field reports

[Talleyrand]

Gianforte by 9.