Is Rod Blum going to lose in 2018?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He's walking out of town hall meetings due to Obamacare repeal. He's not up to the challenge of taking on voters in effect to repeal healthcare.

[Hindsight was 2020]

I really don't get into House races; however, Dems can pick up House seats in Iowa if they fail to capture the governor's chair.

WI and OH are redder at the governor's race than at the senate or House of representatives level and Dems are optimistic about picking up OH 18 and Baldwin's and Sherrod Brown's chances.

There is no OH-18

[Vosem]

Possibly. His seat voted for Obama by 12 and Trump by 4; it's clearly to the left of Iowa as a whole. Blum outperformed Trump in 2016 but he still isn't particularly entrenched and could easily lose if the campaign goes poorly for him.

[MT Treasurer]

Relevant:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=244399.0
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=202963.0

Not even saying that 2018 will be a GOP-friendly year, but you'd think people wouldn't be declaring Blum DOA before the campaign has even begun.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Blum's in a lot of trouble.  He's a very weak incumbent, 2018 will more likely than not be a Democratic wave year, and (most importantly) he probably won't be facing an absolutely awful opponent this time around (the only reason he did so well in 2016 was that Vernon turned out [unexpectedly IIRC] to be a very weak candidate who ran an extremely lazy campaign)

[Badger]

Blum's in a lot of trouble.  He's a very weak incumbent, 2018 will more likely than not be a Democratic wave year, and (most importantly) he probably won't be facing an absolutely awful opponent this time around (the only reason he did so well in 2016 was that Vernon turned out [unexpectedly IIRC] to be a very weak candidate who ran an extremely lazy campaign)

From the posts I read I would've assumed he won by better than 60-40. Imagine my surprise when this "strong incumbent" got only 53% of the vote.

Yeah, he's a top Democratic target.

[AudmanOut]

Yep!