How were the special Congressional elections going at this point in 2009?
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Author Topic: How were the special Congressional elections going at this point in 2009?  (Read 661 times)
Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
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« on: May 25, 2017, 06:46:06 PM »
I have seen a chart on RCP for the 2010 midterm generic ballot, it actually had Democrats winning the generic Congressional ballot against the GOP up until July 2009. It was very back and forth for the rest of the summer and fall. How did the early Congressional special elections go at this time back in 2009? Was the big GOP surge apparent then?


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2010_generic_congressional_vote-2171.html
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: May 25, 2017, 08:43:58 PM »
Quote from: PNM on May 25, 2017, 06:47:22 PM
Quote from: Zyzz on May 25, 2017, 06:46:06 PM
I have seen a chart on RCP for the 2010 midterm generic ballot, it actually had Democrats winning the generic Congressional ballot against the GOP up until July 2009. It was very back and forth for the rest of the summer and fall. How did the early Congressional special elections go at this time back in 2009? Was the big GOP surge apparent then?


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2010_generic_congressional_vote-2171.html

Democrats were literally winning everything and even gained a seat in Upstate NY.

Interesting. It really shows what a disaster Trump's first 4 months have been compared to Obama's first 4 months. But it also shows how early this is and how fast things can change.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #2 on: May 25, 2017, 11:16:31 PM »
Quote from: PNM on May 25, 2017, 06:47:22 PM
Quote from: Zyzz on May 25, 2017, 06:46:06 PM
I have seen a chart on RCP for the 2010 midterm generic ballot, it actually had Democrats winning the generic Congressional ballot against the GOP up until July 2009. It was very back and forth for the rest of the summer and fall. How did the early Congressional special elections go at this time back in 2009? Was the big GOP surge apparent then?


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2010_generic_congressional_vote-2171.html

Democrats were literally winning everything and even gained a seat in Upstate NY.

To build on this, Dems were overconfident going into '10 because of their results in these specials
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