Why has North Carolina and Virginia trended Democrat 4 times in a row now? (user search)
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  Why has North Carolina and Virginia trended Democrat 4 times in a row now? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why has North Carolina and Virginia trended Democrat 4 times in a row now?  (Read 3342 times)
cvparty
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Posts: 2,100
United States


« on: July 20, 2017, 04:31:52 PM »
Quote from: GGSETTER on July 20, 2017, 04:22:44 PM
Quote from: hopper on July 08, 2017, 05:44:20 PM
NC still trended Dem in 2016 but very very lightly.

Are you sure? I don't believe it did.
https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ view with the "trend" tab
and here are the calculations:
2012: NC +2.04%, US -3.86%, lean +5.90%)
2016: NC +3.66%, US -2.09%, lean +5.75%)
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cvparty
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,100
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 20, 2017, 04:41:36 PM »
Quote from: slightlyburnttoast on July 20, 2017, 12:56:34 PM
Unless I'm calculating something incorrectly, didn't NC trend Republican from 2012 to 2016? Using NYT results, Obama won nationally by 2.8 and lost NC by 2.2 in 2012 (R+5.0). Clinton won nationally by 2.1 and lost NC by 3.6 (R+5.7).

Is it just a discrepancy between the source of results?
does the New York Times really have Obama's margin as 2.8%? it's more like 3.8%
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