GA-06 Predictions Thread (June 20)

[Hydera]

I have a bad feeling so sadly...


50.30% Handel
49.70% Ossoff

[DavidB.]

Going with my gut and saying Ossoff. The only Democrat who consistantly led in polls as much as he has and lost that I can think of is Kay Hagen, and 2017 does not feel like 2014.

Russ Feingold?

[Skunk]

Going with my gut and saying Ossoff. The only Democrat who consistantly led in polls as much as he has and lost that I can think of is Kay Hagen, and 2017 does not feel like 2014.

Russ Feingold?

Johnson won the last two SurveyMonkey polls.

[All Along The Watchtower]

If the outcome is a win without a recount:
- 30% chance of Ossoff winning by 3 points or less
- 25% chance of Handel winning by 3 points or less,
- 15% chance of Ossoff winning by 3-5 points
- 15% chance of Handel winning by 3-5 points
- 10% chance of Ossoff winning by more than 5 points
- 5% chance of Handel winning by more than 5 points

If the outcome is a win on a recount
- 70% chance of Ossoff winning on a recount
- 30% chance of Handel winning on a recount

Chances that there will be a recount: about 50-50

^^^All of this being my humble opinion, of course.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Anyway, my prediction for now (will probably update it before election day):

51.5% Ossoff (D)
48.5% Handel (R)

Lean D.

Same prediction here. That being said, I have had a gut feeling for the past few days that we are going to be shocked tonight in some way, shape, or form...

Don't say things like that.   We'll probably end up with six recounts and an exact tie.

[Person Man]

What happens in an exact tie?

[McGovernForPrez]

Can't cross-off the Ossoff!!!

Ossoff 51.7
Handel 48.3%

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Revised my prediction to
Handel - 50.8%
Ossoff - 49.2%

[jamestroll]

Anyway, my prediction for now (will probably update it before election day):

51.5% Ossoff (D)
48.5% Handel (R)

Lean D.

Sticking with this prediction for tonight. I don't see Ossoff losing, honestly.

I think it will be 52.3% Handel though.

[Mr. Smith]

Going with my gut and saying Ossoff. The only Democrat who consistantly led in polls as much as he has and lost that I can think of is Kay Hagen, and 2017 does not feel like 2014.

Russ Feingold?

Hillary Clinton, albeit by technicality.

[President Johnson]

Very bold prediction:

Ossoff: 50.27%
Handel: 49.73%

[Pericles]

Jon Ossoff (D)-53.22%
Karen Handel(R)-46.78%

I might lower Ossoff's percentage by 1% but I think he'll win clearly but not by a landslide. Maybe 52.52%.

[Talleyrand]

Handel 52.7
Ossoff 47.3

[Skye]

Ossoff 51
Handel 49

[The Mikado]

No guts, no glory.

Ossoff 51.9
Handel 48.1

[rob in cal]

   In under the wire, Ossoff 52-48. Dems seems to have momentum, the district is changing their way, lots of money, good national environment, whats not to like for Ossoffs chances.

[Ronnie]

Final prediction before results start rolling in:

Handel: 50.9%
Ossoff: 49.1%

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Handel: 50.6%
Ossoff: 49.4%

Can't see either getting more then 52%

[I’m not Stu]

It's R+6. I would guess Handel wins with about 52%.

[Thomas Jackson]

What an echo chamber.

[NewYorkExpress]

Well, I was wrong...again.

[The Mikado]

No guts, no glory.

Ossoff 51.9
Handel 48.1

If I had reversed this I would've looked brilliant. Oh, well.

[krazen1211]

Now we gerrymander the district for 2018.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Now we gerrymander the district for 2018.

No need to. Handel will carry this district 60+ in 2018. No dem is winning a seat in the house in this district in a loooooong time.

[Skunk]

Ossoff (D): 50.8%
Handel (R): 49.2%

I go by Skunk because my predictions/takes usually stink.