GA-06 Predictions Thread (June 20)

[jamestroll]

I fear Karen Handel will win..

52.2% Handel
47.8% Ossoff.

[jamestroll]

51.2 Handel
48.8 Ossoff

[jamestroll]

Ossoff by .5, but he's no where near as big a favorite as the 70% in the poll suggests. MT-AL indicates to me that these red districts are just tough for the Democrats, polls or no.

Quist was not a good candidate and the body slam news broke out too late in the campaign for it to skew results at all.

KS-04 was an impressive swing but a bridge to far for Democrats to overcome. But that race proves some points that Midwestern districts may be easier for Democrats, especially ones with high single digit R PVI's.

[jamestroll]

Ossoff by .5, but he's no where near as big a favorite as the 70% in the poll suggests. MT-AL indicates to me that these red districts are just tough for the Democrats, polls or no.

Quist was not a good candidate and the body slam news broke out too late in the campaign for it to skew results at all.

KS-04 was an impressive swing but a bridge to far for Democrats to overcome. But that race proves some points that Midwestern districts may be easier for Democrats, especially ones with high single digit R PVI's.

Early voting before the body slam also hurt Quist's chance.

That is one of the reasons I am not a huge fan of early voting

On the hand hand imagine how badly Clinton could have lost if there was no early voting last year though..

[jamestroll]

Anyway, my prediction for now (will probably update it before election day):

51.5% Ossoff (D)
48.5% Handel (R)

Lean D.

Sticking with this prediction for tonight. I don't see Ossoff losing, honestly.

I think it will be 52.3% Handel though.

[jamestroll]

Anyway, my prediction for now (will probably update it before election day):

51.5% Ossoff (D)
48.5% Handel (R)

Lean D.

Sticking with this prediction for tonight. I don't see Ossoff losing, honestly.

I think it will be 52.3% Handel though.

Ha, not bad.

I am awful at this, though.

I overestimated Handel a bit! And people on this site accuse me of being biased towards Democrats in predictions. haha