CA-34 prediction thread

[Figueira]

Didn't see one of these. Sorry if I'm not following protocol.

Gomez 68
Ahn 32

Reasoning: higher Korean turnout leads to Ahn overperforming.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Gomez 57
Ahn 43

[Vosem]

Just as a note, more early votes have been cast by people with Korean last names than people with Latino last names. (% of Latinos have turned out so far, along with 30% of Koreans). I don't think this one is quite as safe as you guys seem to think; single digits for Ahn seems quite reasonable to me.

[smoltchanov]

Gomez. But - not by that much. 57-43? Possible.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I could really care less who wins this one since it is between two dems, but just because I usually like underdogs, I support Ahn.

[NewYorkExpress]

Gomez 61%
Ahn 39%

Gomez has the support of everyone in the establishment, so I think that will be enough for an easy victory.

[Figueira]

Just as a note, more early votes have been cast by people with Korean last names than people with Latino last names. (% of Latinos have turned out so far, along with 30% of Koreans). I don't think this one is quite as safe as you guys seem to think; single digits for Ahn seems quite reasonable to me.

There are plenty of people in the district who are neither Korean nor Latino though, and I would guess they would favor Gomez. However I'm not on the ground there, so I don't know.