Clinton 2016 states most likely to flip (user search)

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2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)

Clinton 2016 states most likely to flip (search mode)

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Poll

Question:

What Democratic-voting swing states do you think are most likely to flip? Pick 3

#1 New Hampshire		55 (83.3%)
#2 Minnesota		42 (63.6%)
#3 Maine		44 (66.7%)
#4 Nevada		14 (21.2%)
#5 Colorado		4 (6.1%)
#6 Virginia		4 (6.1%)
#7 New Mexico		2 (3%)
#8 Other (comment below)		2 (3%)

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Partisan results

Total Voters: 66

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Author

Topic: Clinton 2016 states most likely to flip (Read 788 times)

Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 36,667

Re: Clinton 2016 states most likely to flip

« on: June 07, 2017, 12:02:25 PM »

It really looks like the rural North and Great Lakes could be the equivalent to Trump as Virginia and Colorado were to Obama. Colorado and Virginia could be to Trump what Missouri was to Obama. The states that seemed winnable but are trending away too quickly.

In 2020, if we are going through a renewal of the Reagan realignment, Colorado and Virginia will probably finally come home. If Trump gets what is now coming to him, or even if he pulls off another Field Goal or Safety margin win, Colorado and Virginia will have margins similar to New Mexico or do about as well as W did in NJ or Oregon.

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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 36,667

Re: Clinton 2016 states most likely to flip

« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2017, 12:51:19 PM »

I only think NH, ME, MN, and NV will flip in a close election. If Trump is somehow on fire, he will win CO,VA,NH and maybe even OR or DE.

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